External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Nirmal Bang

Nirmal Bang

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

A Relationship Beyond Broking

Nirmal Bang, one of the leading stock broking companies in India, caters to retail and institutional clients by offering them a range of financial products and services, including equities, derivatives, commodities, currency derivatives, mutual funds, IPOs, insurance, depository services and PMS.

Nirmal Bang is drawn from a diversity of professional backgrounds, and blend of experience, skill and dedication is shared with its clients. Nirmal Bang emphasizes adequate, thorough research local and world-wide developments, balancing these with the astute discovery of intrinsic values, synergies and growth. The aim is simply to help the investors to maximize their returns.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>We maintain our earnings estimates on Aurobindo Pharma Limited (APL) and reiterate our Buy rating on the stock with a target price (TP) of Rs864, valuing it at 16x March EPS.</li><li>APL may be on a rerating journey over the next two years, led by multiple events.</li><li>Potential demerger/divestment of Injectables business Approval and ramp-up of biosimilar drugs in the US and Europe Gradual ramp-up of domestic formulations business...(continued).</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We maintain our earnings estimates on Aurobindo Pharma Limited (APL) and reiterate our Buy rating on the stock with a target price (TP) of Rs864, valuing it at 16x March EPS.APL may be on a rerating journey over the next two years, led by multiple events.Potential demerger/divestment of Injectables business Approval and ramp-up of biosimilar drugs in the US and Europe Gradual ramp-up of domestic formulations business...(continued).Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Aurobindo Pharma- Company Update- A strong rerating candidate

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>4QFY22 is expected to be a flattish quarter for most Pharma companies in our coverage universe.</li><li>We expect a few companies to benefit from the US market, including Sun Pharma, Natco Pharma, Biocon and Cipla.</li><li>Sun Pharma is expected to gain on Winlevi ramp-up and growth in key products, including Cequa and Ilumya Revlimid launch in March 2022 will see some favourable impact in 4QFY22.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

4QFY22 is expected to be a flattish quarter for most Pharma companies in our coverage universe.We expect a few companies to benefit from the US market, including Sun Pharma, Natco Pharma, Biocon and Cipla.Sun Pharma is expected to gain on Winlevi ramp-up and growth in key products, including Cequa and Ilumya Revlimid launch in March 2022 will see some favourable impact in 4QFY22.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Pharmaceutical Sector: Sequentially Flattish Quarter Expected

Indian Accounting Research Analyst, Trudence Capital Advisors

Nitin Mangal

Indian Accounting Research Analyst

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

<ul>
<li>On Monday, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aurobindo-pharma-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19974:1" rel="noopener">Aurobindo Pharma (ARBP IN)</a> had announced the acquisition of the branded generic business and certain assets of Veritaz Healthcare Limited for a cash consideration of INR 1.7 bn.</li>
<li>It should be known that Veritaz is a promoter group entity, which is why acquisition will fall within the scope of Related Party Transactions.</li>
<li>Being a promoter company and having had some red flags in the past such as negative net-worth, continuous loss making nature, etc. The cash consideration looks questionable.</li>
</ul>


On Monday, Aurobindo Pharma (ARBP IN) had announced the acquisition of the branded generic business and certain assets of Veritaz Healthcare Limited for a cash consideration of INR 1.7 bn.
It should be known that Veritaz is a promoter group entity, which is why acquisition will fall within the scope of Related Party Transactions.
Being a promoter company and having had some red flags in the past such as negative net-worth, continuous loss making nature, etc. The cash consideration looks questionable.


Aurobindo-Veritaz Acquisition: No Justice

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Apollo Hospitals Enterprise / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-bank-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26811:1" rel="noopener">Nifty Bank Index (NSEBANK INDEX)</a> and NIFTY NEXT50 Indices were announced on 24 February and will be implemented at the close today.</li>
<li>There is a fair amount to trade on the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-bank-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26811:1" rel="noopener">Nifty Bank Index (NSEBANK INDEX)</a> stocks given the sizeable passive assets that track the indices.</li>
<li>There is pre-positioning on some of the names and there could be opportunities to build positions to play for a reversal.</li>
</ul>


The changes to the NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX), Nifty Bank Index (NSEBANK INDEX) and NIFTY NEXT50 Indices were announced on 24 February and will be implemented at the close today.
There is a fair amount to trade on the NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX) and Nifty Bank Index (NSEBANK INDEX) stocks given the sizeable passive assets that track the indices.
There is pre-positioning on some of the names and there could be opportunities to build positions to play for a reversal.


NIFTY Index Rebalance: Flows at the Close Today

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Dr. Reddy's Laboratories / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dr-reddy-s-laboratories-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16406:1" rel="noopener">Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN)</a> is outperforming the domestic pharma industry and aims to expand its market share. Currently, India business contributes 19% of revenue. </li>
<li>The company’s largest revenue segment, the U.S. generic business continues to see pricing pressure. It plans to launch new products, including complex generics to combat the impact of price erosion.</li>
<li>Dr. Reddy also has around 13% revenue exposure to Russia and other CIS countries. Sharp depreciation of Russian currency will negatively impact revenue from the region.</li>
</ul>



Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN) is outperforming the domestic pharma industry and aims to expand its market share. Currently, India business contributes 19% of revenue. 
The company’s largest revenue segment, the U.S. generic business continues to see pricing pressure. It plans to launch new products, including complex generics to combat the impact of price erosion.
Dr. Reddy also has around 13% revenue exposure to Russia and other CIS countries. Sharp depreciation of Russian currency will negatively impact revenue from the region.


Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN): India Business Is the Only Bright Spot Amid Many Headwinds

India

Aurobindo Pharma Limited manufactures and markets oral and sterile antibiotics, antibacterials, anti-ulcerants and other generic basic drugs. Products include semi-synthetic penicillin drugs like ampicillin and amoxycillinas well as antibiotics, which include cloxacillin and dicloxacillin. The Company also manufactures formulations like astemizole, domeperidone and omeprazole.

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Aurobindo Pharma (ARBP IN)

Aurobindo Pharma- Company Update- A strong rerating candidate

We maintain our earnings estimates on Aurobindo Pharma Limited (APL) and reiterate our Buy rating on the stock with a target price (TP) of Rs864,...

Nirmal Bang

Pharmaceutical Sector: Sequentially Flattish Quarter Expected

4QFY22 is expected to be a flattish quarter for most Pharma companies in our coverage universe. We expect a few companies to benefit from the US...

Nirmal Bang

Aurobindo-Veritaz Acquisition: No Justice

Negative net-worth and continuous loss making nature, coupled with large debt size does not do justice to the valuation. The fact that Veritaz is a...

Nitin Mangal

NIFTY Index Rebalance: Flows at the Close Today

The March rebalance for the NIFTY family of indices will be implemented at the close of trading today. There is a fair amount to trade on the adds,...

Brian Freitas

Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN): India Business Is the Only Bright Spot Amid Many Headwinds

Despite price erosion headwinds in North America generics and revenue exposure to Russia, Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories look attractive due to its...

Tina Banerjee

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