SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li><strong>The biggest SGX-listed stocks that respectively represent the hardware, software and semiconductors industries are Venture Corporation, Silverlake Axis and UMS Holdings. </strong></li><li><strong>These three stocks have averaged a 19.2% total return in the 2016 year-to-date.</strong></li><li><strong>These three current leaders of the Sector have also had to embrace innovation and transformation for the last 25-30 years. The foundations of the trio track back to the 1980s.</strong></li></ul>

The biggest SGX-listed stocks that respectively represent the hardware, software and semiconductors industries are Venture Corporation, Silverlake Axis and UMS Holdings. These three stocks have averaged a 19.2% total return in the 2016 year-to-date.These three current leaders of the Sector have also had to embrace innovation and transformation for the last 25-30 years. The foundations of the trio track back to the 1980s.

Innovative Transformation of Singapore's Technology Sector

Asia and Global Semiconductor and Tech Research

Andrew Lu

Equity Bottom-Up

<h2>Summary</h2><ul>
<li><em><strong>Results beat, but guidance miss: </strong>Intel reports US$0.03 better 3Q16 EPS than Bloomberg consensus' but guides 1% lower 4Q16 sales, lower margins, and US$0.04 lower 4Q16 EPS.</em></li>
<li>
<em><strong>Demand driver was the client computing; in-house inventory was healthy: </strong>Client computing (21% q/q) drove the 3Q16 sales growth of 17% q/q and contributed 74% q/q growth on operating profits. Intel reports 3Q16 2.99 months of inventory, down 4% q/q and only 5% higher than 3-year Avg of 2.85 months but comments few days</em>…</li>
</ul>

Summary
Results beat, but guidance miss: Intel reports US$0.03 better 3Q16 EPS than Bloomberg consensus' but guides 1% lower 4Q16 sales, lower margins, and US$0.04 lower 4Q16 EPS.

Demand driver was the client computing; in-house inventory was healthy: Client computing (21% q/q) drove the 3Q16 sales growth of 17% q/q and contributed 74% q/q growth on operating profits. Intel reports 3Q16 2.99 months of inventory, down 4% q/q and only 5% higher than 3-year Avg of 2.85 months but comments few days…


Intel Guides a Pause in 4Q16; Losing Short Term Momentum

<h2>Summary</h2><ul>
<li><em>Starting October 13, 2016, TSMC will be the first company to report 3Q16 results and provide 4Q16 guidance to kick off semi/tech earnings season. Driven by iPhone 7, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/666" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:666:1">Apple Inc (AAPL US)</a> Watch 2 production built, open market smartphones in emerging countries, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/191" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1">Samsung Electronics Co Ltd (005930 KS)</a> Note 7 battery problem, our 3Q16 sales report takeaways suggest y/y strengths in foundry and fabless vendors and q/q strengths in Apple's touch panel/pressure sensor and OEM/EMS vendors.  </em></li>
<li>
<em>On</em>…</li>
</ul>

Summary
Starting October 13, 2016, TSMC will be the first company to report 3Q16 results and provide 4Q16 guidance to kick off semi/tech earnings season. Driven by iPhone 7, Apple Inc (AAPL US) Watch 2 production built, open market smartphones in emerging countries, and Samsung Electronics Co Ltd (005930 KS) Note 7 battery problem, our 3Q16 sales report takeaways suggest y/y strengths in foundry and fabless vendors and q/q strengths in Apple's touch panel/pressure sensor and OEM/EMS vendors.  

On…


Taiwan Semi/Tech 3Q Sales Takeaway as an Early Indicator for Global Tech Earnings

<h2>Summary</h2><p><em>After <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/8628" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8628:1">Jiangsu Changjiang Electronics Tech Co (600584 CH, JCET) </a>in China consolidated with Singapore STATS ChipPAC starting 3Q15, we have seen JCET to turn losses for past three quarters but <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/721" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:721:1">Advanced Semiconductor Engr (2311 TT)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/720" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:720:1">Siliconware Precision Inds (2325 TT)</a> remained as key OSAT vendors to dominate over 80% of industry profits among key vendors (vs. 58% market share in 2Q16). We thus believe most of analysts to remain positive on ASE and SPIL over others before or after <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/721" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:721:1">ASE</a> and</em>…</p>

SummaryAfter Jiangsu Changjiang Electronics Tech Co (600584 CH, JCET) in China consolidated with Singapore STATS ChipPAC starting 3Q15, we have seen JCET to turn losses for past three quarters but Advanced Semiconductor Engr (2311 TT) and Siliconware Precision Inds (2325 TT) remained as key OSAT vendors to dominate over 80% of industry profits among key vendors (vs. 58% market share in 2Q16). We thus believe most of analysts to remain positive on ASE and SPIL over others before or after ASE and…

Taiwan OSAT Vendors Dominated >80% of Profits but We See No Winner

<p><em>Despite recent strong performance (17% ytd) across US and Taiwan semiconductor index, we are turning a bit cautious here because Taiwan Semi/Tech July sales are somehow below seasonal and below our expectations. If analysts start to factor in 3-4% appreciation on NT$ against US starting July, earnings prospects in 2H16 for semi and tech companies might not be as strong as market estimated earlier. In conclusion, we believe not much sales momentum left over before we see a seasonal semiconductor</em>…</p>

Despite recent strong performance (17% ytd) across US and Taiwan semiconductor index, we are turning a bit cautious here because Taiwan Semi/Tech July sales are somehow below seasonal and below our expectations. If analysts start to factor in 3-4% appreciation on NT$ against US starting July, earnings prospects in 2H16 for semi and tech companies might not be as strong as market estimated earlier. In conclusion, we believe not much sales momentum left over before we see a seasonal semiconductor…

Insights from Taiwan Semi/Tech July Sales

Taiwan

Asustek Computer Inc. manufactures and markets computer motherboards, interface cards, notebook computers, and other related products.

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Asustek Computer (2357 TT)

Innovative Transformation of Singapore's Technology Sector

The biggest SGX-listed stocks that respectively represent the hardware, software and semiconductors industries are Venture Corporation, Silverlake...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Intel Guides a Pause in 4Q16; Losing Short Term Momentum

Summary Results beat, but guidance miss: Intel reports US$0.03 better 3Q16 EPS than Bloomberg consensus' but guides 1% lower 4Q16 sales, lower...

Andrew Lu

Taiwan Semi/Tech 3Q Sales Takeaway as an Early Indicator for Global Tech Earnings

Summary Starting October 13, 2016, TSMC will be the first company to report 3Q16 results and provide 4Q16 guidance to kick off semi/tech earnings...

Andrew Lu

Taiwan OSAT Vendors Dominated >80% of Profits but We See No Winner

SummaryAfter Jiangsu Changjiang Electronics Tech Co (600584 CH, JCET) in China consolidated with Singapore STATS ChipPAC starting 3Q15, we have...

Andrew Lu

Insights from Taiwan Semi/Tech July Sales

Despite recent strong performance (17% ytd) across US and Taiwan semiconductor index, we are turning a bit cautious here because Taiwan Semi/Tech...

Andrew Lu

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