Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The current semiconductor downturn is largely attributable to the reversion of PC and Smartphone unit shipments to their pre-pandemic norms</li>
<li>There are good reasons to believe that the trough for PC unit shipments will be Q1 2023. </li>
<li>Server shipments will decline sequentially in H1 and this may further prolong the impact on memory players, Intel and to a lesser extent, AMD &amp; NVIDIA</li>
</ul>


The current semiconductor downturn is largely attributable to the reversion of PC and Smartphone unit shipments to their pre-pandemic norms
There are good reasons to believe that the trough for PC unit shipments will be Q1 2023. 
Server shipments will decline sequentially in H1 and this may further prolong the impact on memory players, Intel and to a lesser extent, AMD &amp; NVIDIA


Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Asustek, Acer, and HP's recent quarterly results indicate decreases in inventory days, highlighting potential improvement happening at the leading edge of the PC industry chain.</li>
<li>Asustek (Asus) has substantially underperformed Acer YTD with one factor likely being Asus reporting worse margin performance. Asus is flat YTD after its post-results drop vs. +15% YTD for Acer.</li>
<li>Long/Short: One can explore Long Asustek vs. Short Acer based on expectations of normalization of relative operational performance.</li>
</ul>


Asustek, Acer, and HP's recent quarterly results indicate decreases in inventory days, highlighting potential improvement happening at the leading edge of the PC industry chain.
Asustek (Asus) has substantially underperformed Acer YTD with one factor likely being Asus reporting worse margin performance. Asus is flat YTD after its post-results drop vs. +15% YTD for Acer.
Long/Short: One can explore Long Asustek vs. Short Acer based on expectations of normalization of relative operational performance.


PC Industry Monitor: Signs of Inventory Improvement at PC Industry's Leading Edge; Shares Diverged

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Mar 17th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD11.9bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Evergreen Marine, Alchip Tech, Global Unichip, Asia Vital, Htc, Chung-Hsin.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Mar 17th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD11.9bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Evergreen Marine, Alchip Tech, Global Unichip, Asia Vital, Htc, Chung-Hsin.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Mar 17th): Evergreen Marine, Alchip Tech, Global Unichip, Asia Vital

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Mar 10th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD11.8bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Alchip Tech, Delta Elec, Global Unichip, Unimicron Tech, Kinsus.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Mar 10th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD11.8bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Alchip Tech, Delta Elec, Global Unichip, Unimicron Tech, Kinsus.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Mar 10th): Alchip Tech, Delta Elec, Global Unichip, Unimicron Tech

Novatek Microelectronics Corp / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Hon Hai reports YoY increase in January + February sales, maintains outlook.</li>
<li>Hewlett Packard results: CEO says does not expect significant PC recovery in FY2023E. Fitipower results show display ICs potentially bottoming earlier than most segments.</li>
<li>Memory Monitor: Two latest signals indicate lower margins and extended high inventories; biased Long Micron vs. Short Nanya Tech.</li>
</ul>


Hon Hai reports YoY increase in January + February sales, maintains outlook.
Hewlett Packard results: CEO says does not expect significant PC recovery in FY2023E. Fitipower results show display ICs potentially bottoming earlier than most segments.
Memory Monitor: Two latest signals indicate lower margins and extended high inventories; biased Long Micron vs. Short Nanya Tech.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: HP Says No Major PC Recovery in 2023E; Signs of Display ICs Early Turn-Around?

Taiwan

Asustek Computer Inc. manufactures and markets computer motherboards, interface cards, notebook computers, and other related products.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Asustek Computer (2357 TT)

Anatomy Of A Semiconductor Downturn

The current semiconductor downturn is largely attributable to the reversion of PC and Smartphone unit shipments to their pre-pandemic norms. We...

William Keating

PC Industry Monitor: Signs of Inventory Improvement at PC Industry's Leading Edge; Shares Diverged

Asus has substantially underperformed Acer YTD with one likely factor being Asus reporting worse margin performance. Asus is flat YTD vs. +15% YTD...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Mar 17th): Evergreen Marine, Alchip Tech, Global Unichip, Asia Vital

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Evergreen Marine, Alchip Tech, Global Unichip,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Mar 10th): Alchip Tech, Delta Elec, Global Unichip, Unimicron Tech

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Alchip Tech, Delta Elec, Global Unichip, Unimicron...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Taiwan Tech Weekly: HP Says No Major PC Recovery in 2023E; Signs of Display ICs Early Turn-Around?

Hewlett Packard results: CEO says does not expect significant PC recovery in FY2023E. Fitipower results show display ICs potentially bottoming...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)