Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>The 200 largest weighted companies in the GEM index reported average EPS growth of +14.2%y/y for 4Q22-to-date, slightly down from the +15.7% reported for 3Q22.</li>
<li>Only 54% of companies delivered positive sales surprises, and only 49% delivered positive EPS surprises, significantly down from the trend seen over the past 2 years.</li>
<li>Historically, there has been a significant difference in relative share price performance between the largest positive versus negative surprise generators, for 3 months after the reporting date.</li>
</ul>


The 200 largest weighted companies in the GEM index reported average EPS growth of +14.2%y/y for 4Q22-to-date, slightly down from the +15.7% reported for 3Q22.
Only 54% of companies delivered positive sales surprises, and only 49% delivered positive EPS surprises, significantly down from the trend seen over the past 2 years.
Historically, there has been a significant difference in relative share price performance between the largest positive versus negative surprise generators, for 3 months after the reporting date.


Global Emerging Markets: Reporting Season Summary, 4Q2022

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The PC supply/demand outlook appears to be improving and Elan's leading position providing touch technologies for PCs and other devices makes it an interesting play on the cycle rebound.</li>
<li>Elan's results were recently weak due to industry-cycle factors; its company-specific strengths haven't been affected and its product leadership makes it well positioned for an industry rebound.</li>
<li>Just retracing half its distance from 52-week highs would imply 24% upside and an undemanding valuation in our view.</li>
</ul>


The PC supply/demand outlook appears to be improving and Elan's leading position providing touch technologies for PCs and other devices makes it an interesting play on the cycle rebound.
Elan's results were recently weak due to industry-cycle factors; its company-specific strengths haven't been affected and its product leadership makes it well positioned for an industry rebound.
Just retracing half its distance from 52-week highs would imply 24% upside and an undemanding valuation in our view.


Elan Microelectronics: Specialized Upstream Play on Improving PC Industry Supply/Demand

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Mar 24th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD12.2bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Global Unichip, Nan Ya Printed, Asia Vital, Evergreen Marine, Teco Elec &amp; Mach, Yulon Motor, Fitipower, Unimicron Tech.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Mar 24th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD12.2bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Global Unichip, Nan Ya Printed, Asia Vital, Evergreen Marine, Teco Elec &amp; Mach, Yulon Motor, Fitipower, Unimicron Tech.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Mar 24th): Global Unichip, Nan Ya, Asia Vital, Evergreen Marine

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

Tong Hsing Electronic Industries Ltd / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the T50 and T100 Indices for the June 2023 Rebalance.</li>
<li>As things stand, there do not seem to be any ADDs/DELs for the T50 index or the T100 index.</li>
<li>However, with multiple names close to the border and with two more months to the base date a lot of ranks could change.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the T50 and T100 Indices for the June 2023 Rebalance.
As things stand, there do not seem to be any ADDs/DELs for the T50 index or the T100 index.
However, with multiple names close to the border and with two more months to the base date a lot of ranks could change.


Quiddity Leaderboard TWSE50/100 Jun 23: Tong Hsing in the Spotlight Again

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The current semiconductor downturn is largely attributable to the reversion of PC and Smartphone unit shipments to their pre-pandemic norms</li>
<li>There are good reasons to believe that the trough for PC unit shipments will be Q1 2023. </li>
<li>Server shipments will decline sequentially in H1 and this may further prolong the impact on memory players, Intel and to a lesser extent, AMD &amp; NVIDIA</li>
</ul>


The current semiconductor downturn is largely attributable to the reversion of PC and Smartphone unit shipments to their pre-pandemic norms
There are good reasons to believe that the trough for PC unit shipments will be Q1 2023. 
Server shipments will decline sequentially in H1 and this may further prolong the impact on memory players, Intel and to a lesser extent, AMD &amp; NVIDIA


Taiwan

Asustek Computer Inc. manufactures and markets computer motherboards, interface cards, notebook computers, and other related products.

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Asustek Computer (2357 TT)

Global Emerging Markets: Reporting Season Summary, 4Q2022

In this quarterly insight, we analyse recent GEM reporting trends with reference to Sales and EPS growth, size and percentage of positive...

Wium Malan, CFA

Elan Microelectronics: Specialized Upstream Play on Improving PC Industry Supply/Demand

Just retracing half its distance from 52-week highs would imply 24% upside and an undemanding valuation in our view. The company is in a leading...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Mar 24th): Global Unichip, Nan Ya, Asia Vital, Evergreen Marine

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Global Unichip, Nan Ya Printed, Asia Vital,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Quiddity Leaderboard TWSE50/100 Jun 23: Tong Hsing in the Spotlight Again

Tong Hsing Electronic is close to becoming a T100 DEL which means it is also close to becoming a Div+ index DEL which might have significant index...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Anatomy Of A Semiconductor Downturn

The current semiconductor downturn is largely attributable to the reversion of PC and Smartphone unit shipments to their pre-pandemic norms. We...

William Keating

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