European Event-Driven Analyst

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/astrazeneca-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21824:1" rel="noopener">AstraZeneca PLC (AZN LN)</a> bid to acquire <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fusion-pharmaceuticals-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:37391:1" rel="noopener">Fusion Pharmaceuticals (FUSN US)</a> for $21/share (~$2 billion; 97% premium) plus a non-transferrable CRV of $3/share, for up to $2.4 billion.</li>
<li>The transaction is expected to close in Q2 2024, which I expect to proceed given AZN’s lack of radiopharma R&amp;D is not likely to raise anti-trust concerns.</li>
<li>I set my PT to $21. CVR offers 13.6% potential gain, 2.4% annualised (likely small considering the time it might take to materialise). The market may be pricing interloper risk.</li>
</ul>



AstraZeneca PLC (AZN LN) bid to acquire Fusion Pharmaceuticals (FUSN US) for $21/share (~$2 billion; 97% premium) plus a non-transferrable CRV of $3/share, for up to $2.4 billion.
The transaction is expected to close in Q2 2024, which I expect to proceed given AZN’s lack of radiopharma R&amp;D is not likely to raise anti-trust concerns.
I set my PT to $21. CVR offers 13.6% potential gain, 2.4% annualised (likely small considering the time it might take to materialise). The market may be pricing interloper risk.


AstraZeneca/Fusion Pharma: Small Contingent Value

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/daiichi-sankyo-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3014:1" rel="noopener">Daiichi Sankyo (4568 JP)</a> has reported better-than-expected 3QFY24 results, with double-digit growth in revenue and profit, mainly driven by global mainstay products such as Enhertu and Lixiana, and favorable forex.</li>
<li>Driven by favorable Fx, sales increase from couple of products, and litigation payment, the company raised FY24 revenue, core operating profit, and net profit forecast 2%, 16%, and 30%, respectively.</li>
<li>FDA set an action date for Daiichi Sankyo’s second ADC drug candidate HER3-DXd of June 26 and for Dato-DXd of December 20. Both are for various types of lung cancers.</li>
</ul>



Daiichi Sankyo (4568 JP) has reported better-than-expected 3QFY24 results, with double-digit growth in revenue and profit, mainly driven by global mainstay products such as Enhertu and Lixiana, and favorable forex.
Driven by favorable Fx, sales increase from couple of products, and litigation payment, the company raised FY24 revenue, core operating profit, and net profit forecast 2%, 16%, and 30%, respectively.
FDA set an action date for Daiichi Sankyo’s second ADC drug candidate HER3-DXd of June 26 and for Dato-DXd of December 20. Both are for various types of lung cancers.


Daiichi Sankyo (4568 JP): Second Time FY24 Guidance Raise; Event Heavy FY25 With 2 New Drug Approval

Independent Research, US Dominant Players, Investment Talk

Investment Talk

Independent Research, US Dominant Players

Investment Talk is for readers who wish to learn about companies that are potentially outside of their own circle of research, as well as those who are longing to become part of a community of like-minded investors and learn more about investment research. I would describe myself as a long-term investor who typically takes a 3Y to 5Y outlook, before reassessing once that period matures. I follow the adage that one should research, reach a conclusion, and then verify and continue to hold so long as the thesis remains intact. My own investing style is one that seeks to find dominant players within their respective market who have shown signs of monopoly or oligopolistic behaviour, unlikely to be disrupted, in tandem with discovering market disruptors who have a high likelihood of disrupting their respective market. Equally (and weighted accordingly) I seek to discover more nuanced, misunderstood, situations with a shorter time frame.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>I was today-years-old when I learned that Europe has its own version of the Magnificent 7; the basket of giga-cap US tech companies comprised of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Tesla.</li><li>The GRANOLAS Dubbed the “Granolas” by Goldman Sachs in 2020, this basket was chosen because it echoed themes present amongst the Mag 7 (back then it was just “FAAMG”) .</li><li><p>Namely, they were market leaders in the STOXX 600 Europe Index, they had grown to become an increasingly larger share of the market, and their earnings had far outpaced the broader index.</p><div></div></li></ul>

I was today-years-old when I learned that Europe has its own version of the Magnificent 7; the basket of giga-cap US tech companies comprised of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Tesla.The GRANOLAS Dubbed the “Granolas” by Goldman Sachs in 2020, this basket was chosen because it echoed themes present amongst the Mag 7 (back then it was just “FAAMG”) .Namely, they were market leaders in the STOXX 600 Europe Index, they had grown to become an increasingly larger share of the market, and their earnings had far outpaced the broader index.

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/quantumpharm-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40369:1" rel="noopener">QuantumPharm (QUP HK)</a> (Xtalpi) is looking to raise US$200m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>QuantumPharm is a R&amp;D platform, utilizing quantum physics-based first-principles calculation, advanced AI, high-performance cloud computing, and scalable and standardized robotic automation to provide drug and material science R&amp;D solutions.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the not so positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



QuantumPharm (QUP HK) (Xtalpi) is looking to raise US$200m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
QuantumPharm is a R&amp;D platform, utilizing quantum physics-based first-principles calculation, advanced AI, high-performance cloud computing, and scalable and standardized robotic automation to provide drug and material science R&amp;D solutions.
In this note, we will talk about the not so positive aspects of the deal.


QuantumPharm (Xtalpi) Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Requires Deep Pockets to Fund Its Cash Burn

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/quantumpharm-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40369:1" rel="noopener">QuantumPharm (QUP HK)</a> (Xtalpi) is looking to raise US$200m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>QuantumPharm is a R&amp;D platform, utilizing quantum physics-based first-principles calculation, advanced AI, high-performance cloud computing, and scalable and standardized robotic automation to provide drug and material science R&amp;D solutions.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



QuantumPharm (QUP HK) (Xtalpi) is looking to raise US$200m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
QuantumPharm is a R&amp;D platform, utilizing quantum physics-based first-principles calculation, advanced AI, high-performance cloud computing, and scalable and standardized robotic automation to provide drug and material science R&amp;D solutions.
In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects of the deal.


QuantumPharm (Xtalpi) Pre-IPO - The Positives - Grand Ambitions to Open New Monetisation Channels

United Kingdom

AstraZeneca PLC operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, researches, manufactures, and sells pharmaceutical and medical products. AstraZeneca focuses its operations on eight therapeutic areas, including gastrointestinal, oncology, cardiovascular, respiratory, central nervous system, pain control, anaesthesia, and infection.

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AstraZeneca PLC (AZN LN)

AstraZeneca/Fusion Pharma: Small Contingent Value

AstraZeneca bids $2 billion for Fusion Pharmaceuticals, with potential for additional $400 million, expected to close in Q2 2024. PT set at $21...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Daiichi Sankyo (4568 JP): Second Time FY24 Guidance Raise; Event Heavy FY25 With 2 New Drug Approval

Daiichi Sankyo raised FY24 revenue, core op. profit, and net profit forecast by 2%, 16%, and 30%, respectively. FDA set action dates for HER3-DXd...

Tina Banerjee

Europe's Magnificent Eleven

The GRANOLAS Dubbed the “Granolas” by Goldman Sachs in 2020, this basket was chosen because it echoed themes present amongst the Mag 7 (back then...

Investment Talk

QuantumPharm (Xtalpi) Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Requires Deep Pockets to Fund Its Cash Burn

QuantumPharm (QUP HK) (Xtalpi) is looking to raise US$200m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we will talk about the not so positive...

Clarence Chu

QuantumPharm (Xtalpi) Pre-IPO - The Positives - Grand Ambitions to Open New Monetisation Channels

QuantumPharm (Xtalpi) is looking to raise US$200m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects of the deal.

Clarence Chu

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52-week Range

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AstraZeneca/Fusion Pharma: Small Contingent Value

​AstraZeneca bids $2 billion for Fusion Pharmaceuticals, with potential for additional $400 million, expected to close in Q2 2024. PT set at $21...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Daiichi Sankyo (4568 JP): Second Time FY24 Guidance Raise; Event Heavy FY25 With 2 New Drug Approval

​Daiichi Sankyo raised FY24 revenue, core op. profit, and net profit forecast by 2%, 16%, and 30%, respectively. FDA set action dates for HER3-DXd...

Tina Banerjee

Europe's Magnificent Eleven

The GRANOLAS Dubbed the “Granolas” by Goldman Sachs in 2020, this basket was chosen because it echoed themes present amongst the Mag 7 (back then...

Investment Talk

QuantumPharm (Xtalpi) Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Requires Deep Pockets to Fund Its Cash Burn

QuantumPharm (QUP HK) (Xtalpi) is looking to raise US$200m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we will talk about the not so positive...

Clarence Chu

QuantumPharm (Xtalpi) Pre-IPO - The Positives - Grand Ambitions to Open New Monetisation Channels

QuantumPharm (Xtalpi) is looking to raise US$200m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects of the deal.

Clarence Chu

AstraZeneca bids $2 billion for Fusion Pharmaceuticals, with potential for additional $400 million, expected to close in Q2 2024. PT set at $21...

Daiichi Sankyo raised FY24 revenue, core op. profit, and net profit forecast by 2%, 16%, and 30%, respectively. FDA set action dates for HER3-DXd...