Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We continue to see some encouraging signs that suggest that the lows may have been established for this correction.</li>
<li>We still believe a bottoming process would likely take weeks or potentially months and could come with more tests of the lows -- or even an undercut.</li>
<li>With that said, we continue to see attractive and actionable setups, primarily within cyclical value (Energy, Materials, Manufacturing, Transportation, and Financials).</li>
</ul>


We continue to see some encouraging signs that suggest that the lows may have been established for this correction.
We still believe a bottoming process would likely take weeks or potentially months and could come with more tests of the lows -- or even an undercut.
With that said, we continue to see attractive and actionable setups, primarily within cyclical value (Energy, Materials, Manufacturing, Transportation, and Financials).


Encouraging Signs, But Concerns Still Outweigh; Buying Materials, Energy, Industrials, Health Care

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/abbvie-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1135:1" rel="noopener">Abbvie Inc (ABBV US)</a> shares remained rangebound in 2021, mainly due to Humira patent expiration overhang. Humira is the flagship drug of the company, accounting for 37% of total revenue.</li>
<li>Increasing label expansion of its two other drugs, Skyrizi and Rinvoq are now increasingly opening up new growth avenues for AbbVie. Together these drugs contributed 8% to total revenue.</li>
<li>Attractive valuation and healthy dividend yield make AbbVie a top value investment idea amid this turbulent time.</li>
</ul>



Abbvie Inc (ABBV US) shares remained rangebound in 2021, mainly due to Humira patent expiration overhang. Humira is the flagship drug of the company, accounting for 37% of total revenue.
Increasing label expansion of its two other drugs, Skyrizi and Rinvoq are now increasingly opening up new growth avenues for AbbVie. Together these drugs contributed 8% to total revenue.
Attractive valuation and healthy dividend yield make AbbVie a top value investment idea amid this turbulent time.


AbbVie Inc (ABBV US): Great Value Stock to Buy in Choppy Market

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-bioscience-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31484:1" rel="noopener">SK Bioscience (302440 KS)</a> markets four in-house products in Korea, including influenza, shingles, and chicken pox vaccines. The company has partnerships with global companies for the production of COVID-19 vaccines. </li>
<li>SK Bioscience has started shipment of Novavax’ COVID-19 vaccine, while its own vaccine is in phase 3 trial. With ~15% vaccination in low-income countries, demand for vaccine is still high.  </li>
<li>SK Bioscience has a rich pipeline, with four promising blockbuster candidates for the global market. This entails strong revenue visibility in post-COVID era.</li>
</ul>



SK Bioscience (302440 KS) markets four in-house products in Korea, including influenza, shingles, and chicken pox vaccines. The company has partnerships with global companies for the production of COVID-19 vaccines. 
SK Bioscience has started shipment of Novavax’ COVID-19 vaccine, while its own vaccine is in phase 3 trial. With ~15% vaccination in low-income countries, demand for vaccine is still high.  
SK Bioscience has a rich pipeline, with four promising blockbuster candidates for the global market. This entails strong revenue visibility in post-COVID era.


SK Bioscience (302440 KS): An Attractive Pure-Play on Vaccines- Both COVID and Non-COVID

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mesoblast-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:769:1" rel="noopener">Mesoblast Ltd (MSB AU)</a> has developed a range of late-stage product candidates derived from its first and second generation proprietary mesenchymal lineage cell therapy technology platforms.</li>
<li>BLA resubmission of remestemcel-L and formal BLA submission of rexlemestrocel-L to the FDA are two near-term catalysts for Mesoblast. Latest clinical trial results should support efficacy of both the candidates.</li>
<li>In November, Mesoblast completed a refinancing of its senior secured debt facility with a new $90 million five-year facility. Current funding is available for an estimated seven quarters.</li>
</ul>



Mesoblast Ltd (MSB AU) has developed a range of late-stage product candidates derived from its first and second generation proprietary mesenchymal lineage cell therapy technology platforms.
BLA resubmission of remestemcel-L and formal BLA submission of rexlemestrocel-L to the FDA are two near-term catalysts for Mesoblast. Latest clinical trial results should support efficacy of both the candidates.
In November, Mesoblast completed a refinancing of its senior secured debt facility with a new $90 million five-year facility. Current funding is available for an estimated seven quarters.


Mesoblast (MSB AU): Preparing for Re-Submission of Biologics License Application for Ryoncil

Equity Long-Short Analyst

Pyari Menon

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Innovation data suggests that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bayer-ag" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26881:1" rel="noopener">Bayer AG (BAYN GY)</a> has an almost monopoly stake in agriculture-related microbial, followed by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dupont-de-nemours-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9239:1" rel="noopener">DuPont (DD US)</a> </li>
<li>In non-ag microbial space <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/moderna-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28744:1" rel="noopener">Moderna Inc (MRNA US)</a>,  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/codexis-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26400:1" rel="noopener">Codexis Inc (CDXS US)</a>,  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/regeneron-pharmaceuticals" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9167:1" rel="noopener">Regeneron Pharmaceuticals (REGN US),</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/immatics-nv" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33092:1" rel="noopener">Immatics NV (IMTX US)</a> lead the field</li>
<li>In the nascent area of bacteriophages which could be a game-changer to fight against antibiotic-resistant bacteria BOEHRINGER INGELHEIM, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/johnson-johnson" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1132:1" rel="noopener">Johnson &amp; Johnson (JNJ US)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pfizer-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1131:1" rel="noopener">Pfizer Inc (PFE US) </a>lead</li>
</ul>


Innovation data suggests that Bayer AG (BAYN GY) has an almost monopoly stake in agriculture-related microbial, followed by DuPont (DD US) 
In non-ag microbial space Moderna Inc (MRNA US),  Codexis Inc (CDXS US),  Regeneron Pharmaceuticals (REGN US),Immatics NV (IMTX US) lead the field
In the nascent area of bacteriophages which could be a game-changer to fight against antibiotic-resistant bacteria BOEHRINGER INGELHEIM, Johnson &amp; Johnson (JNJ US), and Pfizer Inc (PFE US) lead


Insights from Data Mining Technical Publications - Microbes - Bacteriophages

United Kingdom

AstraZeneca PLC operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, researches, manufactures, and sells pharmaceutical and medical products. AstraZeneca focuses its operations on eight therapeutic areas, including gastrointestinal, oncology, cardiovascular, respiratory, central nervous system, pain control, anaesthesia, and infection.

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AstraZeneca PLC (AZN LN)

Encouraging Signs, But Concerns Still Outweigh; Buying Materials, Energy, Industrials, Health Care

We continue to see some encouraging signs that suggest that the lows may have been established for this correction. Still, cyclical value remains...

Vermilion Research

AbbVie Inc (ABBV US): Great Value Stock to Buy in Choppy Market

Abbvie’s reducing dependence on Humira, visibility on non-Humira portfolio, coupled with high dividend yield and attractive valuation make it a top...

Tina Banerjee

SK Bioscience (302440 KS): An Attractive Pure-Play on Vaccines- Both COVID and Non-COVID

SK Bioscience’s near-term growth will be driven by CMO contract of Novavax COVID-19 vaccine. The company’s rich non-COVID pipeline and global...

Tina Banerjee

Mesoblast (MSB AU): Preparing for Re-Submission of Biologics License Application for Ryoncil

Mesoblast is preparing for biologics license application for two of its pipeline candidates. The company believes it has generated substantial new...

Tina Banerjee

Insights from Data Mining Technical Publications - Microbes - Bacteriophages

Innovations are modifying and harnessing microbes for new uses in agriculture, industry, and as potential new therapeutics to replace or...

Pyari Menon

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