Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

Boryung Pharmaceutical / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/boryung-pharmaceutical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19265:1" rel="noopener">Boryung Pharmaceutical (003850 KS)</a> is expanding its oncology portfolio mainly through in-licensing and co-promotion agreement and aims to achieve revenue of KRW217 billion from oncology segment in 2026.</li>
<li>This month, Boryung received approval for in-licensed drug Zepzelca (lurbinectedin), indicated for the treatment of small-cell lung cancer in Korea. The drug has demonstrated high adoption rate in the U.S.</li>
<li>This year, Boryung launched two in-licensed neutropenia drugs and one generic drug for breast cancer. The company plans to launch 18 oncology drugs during 2022–2026, including 10 first generics.</li>
</ul>



Boryung Pharmaceutical (003850 KS) is expanding its oncology portfolio mainly through in-licensing and co-promotion agreement and aims to achieve revenue of KRW217 billion from oncology segment in 2026.
This month, Boryung received approval for in-licensed drug Zepzelca (lurbinectedin), indicated for the treatment of small-cell lung cancer in Korea. The drug has demonstrated high adoption rate in the U.S.
This year, Boryung launched two in-licensed neutropenia drugs and one generic drug for breast cancer. The company plans to launch 18 oncology drugs during 2022–2026, including 10 first generics.


Boryung Pharmaceutical (003850 KS): Oncology Portfolio Expansion to Accelerate Growth Momentum

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>NHSA will set aside a certain market to provide space for innovative medical devices/consumables to explore the market in addition to centralized procurement. However, we tend to be cautiously optimistic.</li>
<li>We think it is important to clarify for investors what constitutes "commercialization success" – That is to generate revenue at scale and stable profitability through the sale of drugs.</li>
<li>All the products that covered by VBP begin to lose logic. Don't be fooled by those positive interpretations. We are bearish on the sectors with downward logic in long cycle. </li>
</ul>


NHSA will set aside a certain market to provide space for innovative medical devices/consumables to explore the market in addition to centralized procurement. However, we tend to be cautiously optimistic.
We think it is important to clarify for investors what constitutes "commercialization success" – That is to generate revenue at scale and stable profitability through the sale of drugs.
All the products that covered by VBP begin to lose logic. Don't be fooled by those positive interpretations. We are bearish on the sectors with downward logic in long cycle. 


China Healthcare Weekly(Sep9)-Innovative Device Policy,Commercial Success Definition,Don't Be Fooled

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-bioscience-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31484:1" rel="noopener">SK Bioscience (302440 KS)</a> received approval for Korea’s first locally-developed COVID-19 vaccine, SKYCovione. The company is seeking European approval and plans to apply for emergency use listing to the WHO.</li>
<li>The company is a late entrant in the overcrowded domestic vaccine market. Currently, six vaccines are approved for use in South Korea. Moreover, demand outlook is uncertain beyond 2022.</li>
<li>Recently, the company has dropped a multinational phase 3 trial of P2-VP8, trivalent rotavirus vaccine. Among the non-COVID pipeline, P2-VP8 was in the most advanced stage of clinical trial.</li>
</ul>



SK Bioscience (302440 KS) received approval for Korea’s first locally-developed COVID-19 vaccine, SKYCovione. The company is seeking European approval and plans to apply for emergency use listing to the WHO.
The company is a late entrant in the overcrowded domestic vaccine market. Currently, six vaccines are approved for use in South Korea. Moreover, demand outlook is uncertain beyond 2022.
Recently, the company has dropped a multinational phase 3 trial of P2-VP8, trivalent rotavirus vaccine. Among the non-COVID pipeline, P2-VP8 was in the most advanced stage of clinical trial.


SK Bioscience (302440 KS): Murky Outlook On Weak Vaccine Demand And Flooding Supply

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Capital Markets

Biocytogen Pharmaceuticals (Beijing) / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/biocytogen-pharmaceuticals-beijing-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34533:1" rel="noopener">Biocytogen Pharmaceuticals (Beijing) (BCP HK)</a> is a biopharmaceutical and pre-clinical research services company with two core products (YH003 and YH001) and 10 other pipeline candidates.</li>
<li>The company currently does not have any commercialised products and earns revenue through offering pre-clinical research services and antibody development.</li>
<li>Biocytogen’s business model comes with inherent risks such as absence of approved drugs. Hence, we would recommend staying on the side line.</li>
</ul>



Biocytogen Pharmaceuticals (Beijing) (BCP HK) is a biopharmaceutical and pre-clinical research services company with two core products (YH003 and YH001) and 10 other pipeline candidates.
The company currently does not have any commercialised products and earns revenue through offering pre-clinical research services and antibody development.
Biocytogen’s business model comes with inherent risks such as absence of approved drugs. Hence, we would recommend staying on the side line.


Biocytogen Pharma IPO: Large Drug Pipeline but Negatives Outweighs the Positives

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>A bear market bounce is underway after the S&amp;P 500, Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and Russell 2000 (IWM) found support at their respective downtrend channels, a possibility we discussed last week.</li>
<li>Still, until the S&amp;P 500, QQQ, and IWM can break above their various downtrends, we remain bearish, and believe investors should be using rallies to reduce overall exposure.</li>
<li>This 1-week rally has the NDX(QQQ) testing resistance at its falling wedge pattern; a break above $297 would likely mean this bear market bounce has another 2-4 weeks of upside.</li>
</ul>


A bear market bounce is underway after the S&amp;P 500, Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and Russell 2000 (IWM) found support at their respective downtrend channels, a possibility we discussed last week.
Still, until the S&amp;P 500, QQQ, and IWM can break above their various downtrends, we remain bearish, and believe investors should be using rallies to reduce overall exposure.
This 1-week rally has the NDX(QQQ) testing resistance at its falling wedge pattern; a break above $297 would likely mean this bear market bounce has another 2-4 weeks of upside.


Signs of Disinflation?; Commodities Deteriorating; Another Bear Market Bounce; Pharma/Biotech Buys

United Kingdom

AstraZeneca PLC operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, researches, manufactures, and sells pharmaceutical and medical products. AstraZeneca focuses its operations on eight therapeutic areas, including gastrointestinal, oncology, cardiovascular, respiratory, central nervous system, pain control, anaesthesia, and infection.

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AstraZeneca (AZN SS)

Boryung Pharmaceutical (003850 KS): Oncology Portfolio Expansion to Accelerate Growth Momentum

Boryung is expanding oncology portfolio and got approval for in-licensed drug, Zepzelca in Korea. During 2022–2026, oncology segment is expected to...

Tina Banerjee

China Healthcare Weekly(Sep9)-Innovative Device Policy,Commercial Success Definition,Don't Be Fooled

We recommend cautiously optimistic about new innovative device policy. It's important to clarify what constitutes "commercialization success". All...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

SK Bioscience (302440 KS): Murky Outlook On Weak Vaccine Demand And Flooding Supply

SK bioscience is a late entrant in the overcrowded COVID-19 vaccine market. Demand for the vaccine is waning globally and is uncertain beyond 2022....

Tina Banerjee

Biocytogen Pharma IPO: Large Drug Pipeline but Negatives Outweighs the Positives

Biocytogen doesn't have any products approved and are in early stages of development. Some competing drugs are in advanced phases. Pre-clinical...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Signs of Disinflation?; Commodities Deteriorating; Another Bear Market Bounce; Pharma/Biotech Buys

A bear market bounce is underway after the SPX, QQQ, and IWM found support at their respective downtrend channels. Until these indexes can break...

Vermilion Research

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