Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/takeda-pharmaceutical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11747:1" rel="noopener">Takeda Pharmaceutical (4502 JP)</a> received CRL from the FDA for TAK-721, through which FDA declined to approve the drug in its current form and asked for additional clinical study.</li>
<li>Takeda aimed for four potential approvals in FY22. Thus far, the company has received only two approvals. R&amp;D expenditure for FY22 is guided at ¥522 billion, up 15% y/y.</li>
<li>Next big catalyst for the company is the potential approval of its Dengue vaccine candidate, TAK-003, which has peak revenue opportunity of $1.6 billion.</li>
</ul>



Takeda Pharmaceutical (4502 JP) received CRL from the FDA for TAK-721, through which FDA declined to approve the drug in its current form and asked for additional clinical study.
Takeda aimed for four potential approvals in FY22. Thus far, the company has received only two approvals. R&amp;D expenditure for FY22 is guided at ¥522 billion, up 15% y/y.
Next big catalyst for the company is the potential approval of its Dengue vaccine candidate, TAK-003, which has peak revenue opportunity of $1.6 billion.


Takeda Pharmaceutical (4502 JP): Bearish Tone Continues Despite New Drug Approvals

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<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nektar-therapeutics" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15060:1" rel="noopener">Nektar Therapeutics (NKTR US)</a> is a global biopharmaceutical company, with major focus on immune-oncology. Its lead candidate bempeg is the near-term growth engine for the company.</li>
<li>On December 6, Nektar presented favorable results for Bempeg plus Keytruda in patients with non-small-cell lung cancer. Bempeg is poised for getting approvals for multiple indications during 2023–2025.</li>
<li>Clinical trial progress of other late-stage programs remains long-term growth driver for Nektar. Buyout deal at a premium presents another upside opportunity for Nektar.</li>
</ul>



Nektar Therapeutics (NKTR US) is a global biopharmaceutical company, with major focus on immune-oncology. Its lead candidate bempeg is the near-term growth engine for the company.
On December 6, Nektar presented favorable results for Bempeg plus Keytruda in patients with non-small-cell lung cancer. Bempeg is poised for getting approvals for multiple indications during 2023–2025.
Clinical trial progress of other late-stage programs remains long-term growth driver for Nektar. Buyout deal at a premium presents another upside opportunity for Nektar.


Nektar Therapeutics (NKTR US): A Good Buying Option in Immuno-Oncology Therapeutic Area

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<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/crystalgenomics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20260:1" rel="noopener">Crystalgenomics Inc (083790 KS)</a> has a couple of anti-cancer drugs in its clinical pipeline. The company has exclusive licensing deal for its anti-cancer candidate luxeptinib with Aptose Biosciences outside Korea.</li>
<li>Luxeptinib is being evaluated in a phase 1 a/b trial in patients with relapsed/refractory acute myeloid leukemia, higher risk myelodysplastic syndromes, and B-cell malignancies.</li>
<li>Aptose will present clinical trial result in a conference during December 11–14. This does not represent an upside opportunity for CrystalGenomics shares, which is now trading near its lows.</li>
</ul>



Crystalgenomics Inc (083790 KS) has a couple of anti-cancer drugs in its clinical pipeline. The company has exclusive licensing deal for its anti-cancer candidate luxeptinib with Aptose Biosciences outside Korea.
Luxeptinib is being evaluated in a phase 1 a/b trial in patients with relapsed/refractory acute myeloid leukemia, higher risk myelodysplastic syndromes, and B-cell malignancies.
Aptose will present clinical trial result in a conference during December 11–14. This does not represent an upside opportunity for CrystalGenomics shares, which is now trading near its lows.


CrystalGenomics (083790 KS): Partner’s Clinical Data Presentation Is Not a Buying Opportunity

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Clover Biopharmaceuticals / Equity Capital Markets

<div><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/clover-biopharmaceuticals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33029:1" rel="noopener">Clover Biopharmaceuticals (2197 HK)</a> is a global clinical-stage biotechnology company dedicated to developing novel vaccines and biologic therapeutic candidates for infectious diseases as well as cancer and autoimmune diseases. The two core products are SCB-2019 (CpG 1018/Alum) and SCB-808. SCB-2019 (CpG 1018/Alum) is a protein-based COVID-19 vaccine candidate which may be commercially launched as early as year-end 2021. SCB-808 is a potentially differentiated Enbrel (etanercept) biosimilar. </p></div><div><p>Clover has launched an HKEx IPO to raise net proceeds of HK$1,837.2 million ($236 million) at the mid-point of the IPO price range of HK$12.80-13.50 per share. </p></div><div><p>Nine cornerstone investors have agreed to invest about $138.5 million in the IPO (54.6% of the offer shares at the mid-point of the IPO price range). Four out of the nine cornerstones are existing investors. They are Hillhouse, Orbimed, Temasek and Oceanpine Capital. The five cornerstones which are not existing shareholders are Rock Springs Capital, Athos Capital, Springhill Fund, Superstring Capital and Toroa.</p></div><div><div class="content-highlight"><p>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/clover-biopharmaceuticals-ipo-needling" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:59421" rel="noopener">Clover Biopharmaceuticals IPO: Needling</a>, we stated that while there are numerous COVID-19 vaccine candidates, SCB-2019 (CpG 1018/Alum) is one of the select COVID-19 vaccine candidates to have received grant funding of up to $360.5 million from Coalition for Epidemic Preparedness Innovations (CEPI). Clover has also secured an advanced purchase agreement to supply up to 414 million SCB-2019 vaccine doses (of which 65 million are committed doses) to the COVAX Facility for global allocation. We concluded that Clover is worth a closer look. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is attractive.  </p></div></div>

Clover Biopharmaceuticals (2197 HK) is a global clinical-stage biotechnology company dedicated to developing novel vaccines and biologic therapeutic candidates for infectious diseases as well as cancer and autoimmune diseases. The two core products are SCB-2019 (CpG 1018/Alum) and SCB-808. SCB-2019 (CpG 1018/Alum) is a protein-based COVID-19 vaccine candidate which may be commercially launched as early as year-end 2021. SCB-808 is a potentially differentiated Enbrel (etanercept) biosimilar. Clover has launched an HKEx IPO to raise net proceeds of HK$1,837.2 million ($236 million) at the mid-point of the IPO price range of HK$12.80-13.50 per share. Nine cornerstone investors have agreed to invest about $138.5 million in the IPO (54.6% of the offer shares at the mid-point of the IPO price range). Four out of the nine cornerstones are existing investors. They are Hillhouse, Orbimed, Temasek and Oceanpine Capital. The five cornerstones which are not existing shareholders are Rock Springs Capital, Athos Capital, Springhill Fund, Superstring Capital and Toroa.In Clover Biopharmaceuticals IPO: Needling, we stated that while there are numerous COVID-19 vaccine candidates, SCB-2019 (CpG 1018/Alum) is one of the select COVID-19 vaccine candidates to have received grant funding of up to $360.5 million from Coalition for Epidemic Preparedness Innovations (CEPI). Clover has also secured an advanced purchase agreement to supply up to 414 million SCB-2019 vaccine doses (of which 65 million are committed doses) to the COVAX Facility for global allocation. We concluded that Clover is worth a closer look. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is attractive.  

Clover Biopharmaceuticals IPO: Valuation Insights

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/clover-biopharmaceuticals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33029:1" rel="noopener">Clover Biopharmaceuticals (CBL HK)</a> is a global clinical-stage biotechnology company dedicated to developing novel vaccines and biologic therapeutic candidates for infectious diseases as well as cancer and autoimmune diseases. The two core products are SCB-2019 (CpG 1018/Alum) and SCB-808. SCB-2019 (CpG 1018/Alum) is a protein-based COVID-19 vaccine candidate which may be commercially launched as early as year-end 2021. SCB-808 is a potentially differentiated Enbrel (etanercept) biosimilar. </p><p>Clover is pre-marketing an HKEx IPO to raise proceeds of $300 million, according to press reports. Clover has a credible management team with a commendable track record in drug discovery and commercialization. Clover also has several blue-chip backers such as Hillhouse, Temasek, Lapam Capital, Delos Capital, Qianhai FoF, Oceanpine Capital, Betta Capital and OrbiMed. </p><div class="content-highlight"><p>While there are numerous COVID-19 vaccine candidates, SCB-2019 (CpG 1018/Alum) is one of the select COVID-19 vaccine candidates to have received grant funding of up to $360.5 million from Coalition for Epidemic Preparedness Innovations (CEPI). Clover has also secured an advanced purchase agreement to supply up to 414 million SCB-2019 vaccine doses (of which 65 million are committed doses) to the COVAX Facility for global allocation. Overall, we believe that Clover is worth a closer look. </p></div>

Clover Biopharmaceuticals (CBL HK) is a global clinical-stage biotechnology company dedicated to developing novel vaccines and biologic therapeutic candidates for infectious diseases as well as cancer and autoimmune diseases. The two core products are SCB-2019 (CpG 1018/Alum) and SCB-808. SCB-2019 (CpG 1018/Alum) is a protein-based COVID-19 vaccine candidate which may be commercially launched as early as year-end 2021. SCB-808 is a potentially differentiated Enbrel (etanercept) biosimilar. Clover is pre-marketing an HKEx IPO to raise proceeds of $300 million, according to press reports. Clover has a credible management team with a commendable track record in drug discovery and commercialization. Clover also has several blue-chip backers such as Hillhouse, Temasek, Lapam Capital, Delos Capital, Qianhai FoF, Oceanpine Capital, Betta Capital and OrbiMed. While there are numerous COVID-19 vaccine candidates, SCB-2019 (CpG 1018/Alum) is one of the select COVID-19 vaccine candidates to have received grant funding of up to $360.5 million from Coalition for Epidemic Preparedness Innovations (CEPI). Clover has also secured an advanced purchase agreement to supply up to 414 million SCB-2019 vaccine doses (of which 65 million are committed doses) to the COVAX Facility for global allocation. Overall, we believe that Clover is worth a closer look. 

United Kingdom

AstraZeneca PLC operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, researches, manufactures, and sells pharmaceutical and medical products. AstraZeneca focuses its operations on eight therapeutic areas, including gastrointestinal, oncology, cardiovascular, respiratory, central nervous system, pain control, anaesthesia, and infection.

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AstraZeneca (AZN SS)

Takeda Pharmaceutical (4502 JP): Bearish Tone Continues Despite New Drug Approvals

The bear case thesis of patent cliff and pipeline blues still hold good for the company. However, long-term fundamental growth story of the company...

Tina Banerjee

Nektar Therapeutics (NKTR US): A Good Buying Option in Immuno-Oncology Therapeutic Area

Nektar presented favorable clinical data for its lead candidate, bempeg at a global healthcare conference recently. Bempeg, a potential blockbuster...

Tina Banerjee

CrystalGenomics (083790 KS): Partner’s Clinical Data Presentation Is Not a Buying Opportunity

Partner's clinical trial data presentation at an upcoming conference does not represent upside potential for CrystalGenomics shares.

Tina Banerjee

Clover Biopharmaceuticals IPO: Valuation Insights

Clover has launched an IPO to raise net proceeds of $236m at the mid-point of the price range of HK$12.80-13.50 per share. Our valuation analysis...

Arun George

Clover Biopharmaceuticals IPO: Needling

Clover is pre-marketing an HKEx IPO to raise proceeds of $300 m. SCB-2019 (CpG 1018/Alum) is a COVID-19 vaccine candidate which was secured CEPI...

Arun George

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