Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Q323 revenues of $2.40 billion, at the upper end of the guidance range, up 2% QoQ but down 12.5% YoY</li>
<li>Current quarter revenue forecast of $2.45 billion, essentially flat sequentially</li>
<li>Services revenue on track for ~8% YoY growth despite overall revenues tracking to an 8.6% YoY decline..</li>
</ul>


Q323 revenues of $2.40 billion, at the upper end of the guidance range, up 2% QoQ but down 12.5% YoY
Current quarter revenue forecast of $2.45 billion, essentially flat sequentially
Services revenue on track for ~8% YoY growth despite overall revenues tracking to an 8.6% YoY decline..


Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The Global Emerging Markets Weekly provides a summary of the key news and related developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global Emerging Markets equity indices.</li>
<li>
 Macro data points: South Korea GDP and export growth, China industrial profit growth</li>
<li>
 Companies mentioned:<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hon-hai-precision-industry-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:745:1" rel="noopener">Hon Hai Precision Industry (2317 TT)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/foxconn-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11950:1" rel="noopener">Foxconn Technology (2354 TT)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/naver-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16029:1" rel="noopener">Naver Corp (035420 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/semiconductor-manufacturing-international-corp-smic" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14231:1" rel="noopener">Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) (981 HK)</a>
</li>
</ul>


The Global Emerging Markets Weekly provides a summary of the key news and related developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global Emerging Markets equity indices.

 Macro data points: South Korea GDP and export growth, China industrial profit growth

 Companies mentioned:Hon Hai Precision Industry (2317 TT), Foxconn Technology (2354 TT), Naver Corp (035420 KS), Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) (981 HK)



GEMWeekly (27 Oct 2023): South Korea, China Macro; Hon Hai, Foxconn, Naver, SMIC

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Kokusai Electric  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kokusai-electric-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40152:1" rel="noopener">Kokusai Electric (6525 JP)</a> priced its IPO at JPY1,840 per share to raise secondary proceeds of US$723 million. The shares will start trading on 25 October.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/kokusai-electric-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:113787" rel="noopener">Kokusai Electric IPO: The Bull Case</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/kokusai-electric-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:114152" rel="noopener">Kokusai Electric IPO: The Bear Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/kokusai-electric-ipo-lower-price-range-is-reasonable" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:114886" rel="noopener">Kokusai Electric IPO: Lower Price Range Is Reasonable</a>.</li>
<li>The peers have modestly derated since the lowered IPO price range was announced on 10 October. However, the IPO price remains attractive. Our DCF valuation is JPY2,058. </li>
</ul>



Kokusai Electric (6525 JP) priced its IPO at JPY1,840 per share to raise secondary proceeds of US$723 million. The shares will start trading on 25 October.
We previously discussed the IPO in Kokusai Electric IPO: The Bull Case, Kokusai Electric IPO: The Bear Case and Kokusai Electric IPO: Lower Price Range Is Reasonable.
The peers have modestly derated since the lowered IPO price range was announced on 10 October. However, the IPO price remains attractive. Our DCF valuation is JPY2,058. 


Equity Long-Short, Semiconductors, Fabricated Knowledge

Douglas O'Laughlin

Equity Long-Short, Semiconductors

Fabricated Knowledge

Learn more about the world's most important manufactured product. Meaningful insight, timely analysis, and an occasional investment idea.

<ul>
<li>TSMC results came in much better than feared. Revenue was slightly weaker than expected and below consensus. This quarter's big story was margins driven primarily by FX changes.</li>
<li>Revenue was slightly below Taiwan Dollar (TWD) expectations, but margins were ahead of consensus. The big driver of this margin beat was FX, as the dollar weakened against the TWD.</li>
<li>The margin beat happened despite the 3nm ramp, a meaningful headwind. As N3 becomes a larger node, the headwind should increase, especially next quarter.</li>
</ul>


TSMC results came in much better than feared. Revenue was slightly weaker than expected and below consensus. This quarter's big story was margins driven primarily by FX changes.
Revenue was slightly below Taiwan Dollar (TWD) expectations, but margins were ahead of consensus. The big driver of this margin beat was FX, as the dollar weakened against the TWD.
The margin beat happened despite the 3nm ramp, a meaningful headwind. As N3 becomes a larger node, the headwind should increase, especially next quarter.


Weekly Earnings (ASML, LRCX, TSMC, Nanya)

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>KKR raised around US$730m via selling a stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kokusai-electric-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40152:1" rel="noopener">Kokusai Electric's (6525 JP)</a> (KE) Japan IPO.</li>
<li>KE main business activities consist of the manufacturing, sales and maintenance service of semiconductor manufacturing equipment.</li>
<li>In our previous notes we have looked at the company’s past performance, undertaken a peer comparison and looked at valuations. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>


KKR raised around US$730m via selling a stake in Kokusai Electric's (6525 JP) (KE) Japan IPO.
KE main business activities consist of the manufacturing, sales and maintenance service of semiconductor manufacturing equipment.
In our previous notes we have looked at the company’s past performance, undertaken a peer comparison and looked at valuations. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.


Kokusai Electric IPO Trading - Decent Demand, Now for the Real Test

Netherlands

ASML Holding N.V. develops, produces, and markets semiconductor manufacturing equipment, specifically machines for the production of chips through lithography. The Company services clients worldwide.

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ASML Holding NV (ASML US)

KLAC. Bouncing Along The Bottom

Q323 revenue $2.40 billion, +2% QoQ but -12.5% YoY. Q423 forecast of $2.45 billion. Services revenue on track for ~8% YoY growth despite overall...

William Keating

GEMWeekly (27 Oct 2023): South Korea, China Macro; Hon Hai, Foxconn, Naver, SMIC

The Global Emerging Markets Weekly provides a summary of the key news and related developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of...

Wium Malan, CFA

Kokusai Electric IPO: Trading Debut

The peers have modestly derated since the lowered IPO price range was announced on 10 October. However, the IPO price remains attractive. Our DCF...

Arun George

Weekly Earnings (ASML, LRCX, TSMC, Nanya)

TSMC results came in much better than feared. Revenue was slightly weaker than expected and below consensus. This quarter's big story was margins...

Fabricated Knowledge

Kokusai Electric IPO Trading - Decent Demand, Now for the Real Test

KKR raised around US$730m via selling a stake in Kokusai Electric's (6525 JP) (KE) Japan IPO. In this note we talk about the trading dynamics.

Sumeet Singh

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