Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Due to the ongoing earnings season, for the next couple of weeks, we will temporarily deviate from our regular format and instead focus on reported earnings.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hdfc-bank-ltd-4b6b7a92-9087-468d-9dbe-ab169e77f014" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:558:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN)</a> - The core concerns that worry the street do warrant attention. While the management believes it is temporary, we anticipate some more incremental pain ahead. </li>
<li>Other interesting names highlighted include <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/delta-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4627:1" rel="noopener">Delta Corp Ltd (DELTA IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indiamart-intermesh-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27733:1" rel="noopener">IndiaMart (INMART IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/polycab-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27877:1" rel="noopener">Polycab India (POLYCAB IN)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/poonawalla-fincorp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3449:1" rel="noopener">Poonawalla Fincorp (POONAWAL IN)</a>. </li>
</ul>


Due to the ongoing earnings season, for the next couple of weeks, we will temporarily deviate from our regular format and instead focus on reported earnings.

HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN) - The core concerns that worry the street do warrant attention. While the management believes it is temporary, we anticipate some more incremental pain ahead. 
Other interesting names highlighted include Delta Corp Ltd (DELTA IN), IndiaMart (INMART IN), Polycab India (POLYCAB IN), and Poonawalla Fincorp (POONAWAL IN). 


[Week 17] Namaste India 🙏 | Earnings Edition | HDFCB's Core Concerns

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Asian Paints: APNT’s revenue grew 5.4% in Q3 to INR 91.0bn (HSIE: INR 91.9bn)</li><li>Decorative clocked 12/5.5% volume/value growth and industrial business grew ~11% YoY in Q3FY24</li><li>Luxury and economy products supported growth in the deco segment</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Asian Paints: APNT’s revenue grew 5.4% in Q3 to INR 91.0bn (HSIE: INR 91.9bn)Decorative clocked 12/5.5% volume/value growth and industrial business grew ~11% YoY in Q3FY24Luxury and economy products supported growth in the deco segmentContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Asian Paints, LTIMindtree

<ul><li>We recently interacted with numerous store managers and companies to assess the festive performance and demand in discretionary categories</li><li>Despite a promising start to the festive season, most categories (excluding jewellery and travel) seem to have hit the snooze button</li><li>Several factors contribute to this, including (1) the normalisation of ticket sizes and purchase frequencies, (2) weak footfalls (on a per sq foot basis), and (3) a trend towards downtrading</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We recently interacted with numerous store managers and companies to assess the festive performance and demand in discretionary categoriesDespite a promising start to the festive season, most categories (excluding jewellery and travel) seem to have hit the snooze buttonSeveral factors contribute to this, including (1) the normalisation of ticket sizes and purchase frequencies, (2) weak footfalls (on a per sq foot basis), and (3) a trend towards downtradingContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Festive temperature check: Festive mood sombre

Analyst

Steve Zhou, CFA

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nippon-paint-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7387:1" rel="noopener">Nippon Paint Holdings (4612 JP)</a> announced a better-than-expected 3Q23 results this week, mainly driven by a resilient China decorative paint business. </li>
<li>The company also raised 2023 operating profit guidance, expecting around 6% higher operating profit (Y168bn from Y158bn previously).</li>
<li>At 21x forward PE, the company is attractively valued given the growth profile and strong market share position in most end-markets.  </li>
</ul>



Nippon Paint Holdings (4612 JP) announced a better-than-expected 3Q23 results this week, mainly driven by a resilient China decorative paint business. 
The company also raised 2023 operating profit guidance, expecting around 6% higher operating profit (Y168bn from Y158bn previously).
At 21x forward PE, the company is attractively valued given the growth profile and strong market share position in most end-markets.  


Nippon Paint (4612 JP):  Results Beat On Resilient China 2C Business

<ul><li>Asian Paints: APNT’s revenue growth flat-lined in Q2 (YoY) at INR 84.8bn, 4.4% below our expectation (HSIE: INR88.7bn)</li><li>Decorative business clocked 6/1.1% volume/value growth in Q2FY24. The mix was economy range-heavy</li><li>Urban markets (high-single-digit growth) continued to outpace rural centres</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Asian Paints: APNT’s revenue growth flat-lined in Q2 (YoY) at INR 84.8bn, 4.4% below our expectation (HSIE: INR88.7bn)Decorative business clocked 6/1.1% volume/value growth in Q2FY24. The mix was economy range-heavyUrban markets (high-single-digit growth) continued to outpace rural centresContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Asian Paints, Shriram Finance, Colgate Palmolive, Westlife Foodworld, Symphony

India

Solar Industries India Limited manufactures and supplies explosives and explosives accessories. The company's products include bulk, cartridge, detonators, detonating cords Pentaerythritol Tetranitrate ("PETN"), and cast boosters.

Supreme Industries Limited manufactures industrial and engineered molded products and storage and material handling crates.  The Company also manufactures chemicals, multilayer sheets, multilayer films, packaging films and expanded polyethylene foam, PVC pipes and fittings, molded furniture and disposable EPS containers.

Linde India Limited manufactures and distributes oxygen, hydrogen, nitrogen, argon and specialty gas mixtures. The Company also manufactures welding electrodes, rods, fluxes, gas and electric welding equipment, as well as air separation and gas plants, cryogenic equipment and liquid oxygen explosives.

Pidilite Industries Ltd. manufactures products which can be segmented into consumer products: art materials & stationary, publications, food & fabric care, car products and adhesives & sealants; specialty industrial products: industrial adhesives, industrial pigments, industrial & textile resins and leather chemicals.

Berger Paints India Limited manufactures and distributes paints, enamels, varnishes, and synthetic resins. The Company's products are used in home, office, factory, interiors, exteriors, metal, wood, plastic, and others.

The Fertilisers and Chemicals Travancore Limited manufactures petrochemicals and fertilisers.  The Group's products include Ammonia, Sulphuric Acid, Phosphoric Acid, Ammonium, Urea, Caprolactam, Nitric Acid and Soda Ash.

Deepak Nitrite Limited manufactures chemicals and fertilizers. The Company's products include sodium nitrite/nitrate, nitric acid, ammonium nitrate, and Hydroxylamine Sulphate.  Deepak Nitrite's other two divisions manufacture dyes & dyestuffs and nitro aromatics.

PI Industries Limited manufactures agricultural and fine chemicals, and polymers. The Company produces fine chemicals; crop protection, plant nutrients, and seeds; and engineering plastics for use in the automobile, electrical, and home appliances industries.

Coromandel International Ltd. manufactures fertilizers and pesticides.  The Company produces both chemical and organic fertilizers, insecticides, fungicides, herbcides, and plant biostimulant.

UPL Ltd. manufactures, distributes and exports off-patent agrochemicals. The Company also manufactures phosphorus & phosphorus-based compounds and its products include herbicides, fungicides, insecticides, fumigants and rodenticides. United Phosphorus also manufactures industrial chemicals, specialty chemicals and chloralkaline products

Westlake Chemical Corporation manufactures and markets basic chemicals, vinyls, polymers, and fabricated products.  The Company serves a range of consumer and industrial markets, including flexible and rigid packaging, automotive products, coatings, and residential and commercial construction.

LyondellBasell Industries NV manufactures plastic, chemical, and fuel products. The Company offers products for the manufacturing of personal care products, fresh food packaging, lightweight plastics, construction materials, automotive components, durable textiles, medical applications, and biofuels. LyondellBasell Industries conducts its business worldwide.

PT Chandra Asri Petrochemical Tbk (CAP) is an integrated petrochemical producer. The Company produces ethylene, propylene, mixed C4, pyrolysis gasoline, polyethylene, polypropylene, and styrene monomer.  CAP serves both the domestic downstream industries and regional export markets in Indonesia.

LG Chem Ltd. is a chemical manufacturer.  The Company's products include petrochemicals, plastic resins, and engineering plastics.  LG Chem also produces industrial and electronic materials.

NITTO DENKO CORPORATION manufactures and markets a wide range of chemical products which are used as materials for industrial and electronic components. The Company's products include materials for sealants, semiconductors, and wrappings.  Nitto Denko has a network of sales/manufacturing subsidiaries worldwide.

Air Products and Chemicals, Inc. produces industrial atmospheric and specialty gases, and performance materials and equipment. The Company's products include oxygen, nitrogen, argon, helium, specialty surfactants and amines, polyurethane, epoxy curatives and resins. Air Products and Chemicals, Inc. products are used in the beverage, health and semiconductors fields.

Wanhua Chemical Group Co., Ltd. develops, manufactures, and markets pure isocyanate, polymeric isocyanate, polyurethane, and other related chemical products.

Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co.,Ltd manufactures and markets fertilizer products. The Company produces potash fertilizers, potassium chloride, and other products. Qinghai Salt Lake Industry also produces salts, chemicals, and other products.

NIPPON PAINT HOLDINGS CO., LTD. produces paints for automobiles, ships, and other industrial paints.  The Company also manufactures fine chemicals such as finishing agents and adhesives.

Albemarle Corporation produces specialty and fine chemicals.  The Company's chemicals are additives to or intermediates for plastics, polymers and elastomers, cleaning products, agricultural compounds, pharmaceuticals, photographic chemicals, drilling compounds, and biocides.  Albemarle produces the majority of its products in the United States.

Asian Paints Limited manufactures a wide range of decorative paints, varnishes, enamels, and black & synthetic resins. The Company, through its subsidiaries, also manufactures specialty industrial chemicals and vinyl pyridine latex products which are used in the manufacture of rubber tires.

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Asian Paints (APNT IN)

[Week 17] Namaste India 🙏 | Earnings Edition | HDFCB's Core Concerns

During the earnings season, the focus will shift to reported earnings. HDFC Bank's concerns are causing worry, and there may be more challenges...

Pranav Bhavsar

HSIE Results Daily: Asian Paints, LTIMindtree

Asian Paints: APNT’s revenue grew 5.4% in Q3 to INR 91.0bn (HSIE: INR 91.9bn). Decorative clocked 12/5.5% volume/value growth and industrial...

HDFC Securities

Festive temperature check: Festive mood sombre

We recently interacted with numerous store managers and companies to assess the festive performance and demand in discretionary categories

HDFC Securities

Nippon Paint (4612 JP): Results Beat On Resilient China 2C Business

Nippon Paint Holdings reported strong 3Q23 results, mainly driven by its resilient China decorative paint business. The company also raised its...

Steve Zhou, CFA

HSIE Results Daily: Asian Paints, Shriram Finance, Colgate Palmolive, Westlife Foodworld, Symphony

Decorative business clocked 6/1.1% volume/value growth in Q2FY24. The mix was economy range-heavy. Urban markets (high-single-digit growth)...

HDFC Securities

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

[Week 17] Namaste India 🙏 | Earnings Edition | HDFCB's Core Concerns

​During the earnings season, the focus will shift to reported earnings. HDFC Bank's concerns are causing worry, and there may be more challenges...

Pranav Bhavsar

HSIE Results Daily: Asian Paints, LTIMindtree

Asian Paints: APNT’s revenue grew 5.4% in Q3 to INR 91.0bn (HSIE: INR 91.9bn). Decorative clocked 12/5.5% volume/value growth and industrial...

HDFC Securities

Festive temperature check: Festive mood sombre

We recently interacted with numerous store managers and companies to assess the festive performance and demand in discretionary categories

HDFC Securities

Nippon Paint (4612 JP): Results Beat On Resilient China 2C Business

​Nippon Paint Holdings reported strong 3Q23 results, mainly driven by its resilient China decorative paint business. The company also raised its...

Steve Zhou, CFA

HSIE Results Daily: Asian Paints, Shriram Finance, Colgate Palmolive, Westlife Foodworld, Symphony

Decorative business clocked 6/1.1% volume/value growth in Q2FY24. The mix was economy range-heavy. Urban markets (high-single-digit growth)...

HDFC Securities

During the earnings season, the focus will shift to reported earnings. HDFC Bank's concerns are causing worry, and there may be more challenges...

Nippon Paint Holdings reported strong 3Q23 results, mainly driven by its resilient China decorative paint business. The company also raised its...