Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

The European Benchmark Indices (BMI) of the STOXX Index family are reviewed on a quarterly basis in March, June, September and December. In this insight, we take a look at the potential adds and deletes for the next review which will take place in December 2021 for the STOXX Europe 600 Index and the EURO STOXX Index. The STOXX Europe 600 Index is a benchmark index with a fixed number of 600 components representing large, mid and small capitalization companies across 17 countries of the European region. The EURO STOXX Index is a subset of the STOXX Europe 600 Index and is also the parent index for one of the most widely tracked blue-chip indices in the Eurozone ("EURO STOXX 50"), which is rebalanced once a year in September. <div>More below the fold.</div>

The European Benchmark Indices (BMI) of the STOXX Index family are reviewed on a quarterly basis in March, June, September and December. In this insight, we take a look at the potential adds and deletes for the next review which will take place in December 2021 for the STOXX Europe 600 Index and the EURO STOXX Index. The STOXX Europe 600 Index is a benchmark index with a fixed number of 600 components representing large, mid and small capitalization companies across 17 countries of the European region. The EURO STOXX Index is a subset of the STOXX Europe 600 Index and is also the parent index for one of the most widely tracked blue-chip indices in the Eurozone ("EURO STOXX 50"), which is rebalanced once a year in September. More below the fold.

STOXX Europe Indices: Quiddity Leaderboard for December 2021 Rebalance

Silver Point

Thomas J. Monaco

Independent Insight Provider

Silver Point is a boutique research firm that focuses on the broader financial services sector, with a particular focus on troubled institutions globally. 

Asia Ex Japan

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li data-jpmucid="p-3233529-28776c08a98c4bf69f502d4c539e8b09">
Strong Emerging Market Performance:Ashmore Group (Ashmore) [ASHM.LN] has delivered another strong quarter of net inflows while the outlook for emerging market flows for 2020 remains quite positive. </li>
<li>
Risk to Ashmore:Market performance inevitably impacts assets under management (AUM), but also estimates of future flows which impact group revenues. The business model has  high operational gearing so the effect on profits would be exacerbated. </li>
</ul>



Strong Emerging Market Performance:Ashmore Group (Ashmore) [ASHM.LN] has delivered another strong quarter of net inflows while the outlook for emerging market flows for 2020 remains quite positive. 

Risk to Ashmore:Market performance inevitably impacts assets under management (AUM), but also estimates of future flows which impact group revenues. The business model has  high operational gearing so the effect on profits would be exacerbated. 


Ashmore Group - Emerging Market Flows Remain Robust

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

We highlight attractive and actionable themes within developed international markets, including actionable set-ups across among: Non-bank Financials, Japanese Technology stocks, and within European Discretionary, Industrial, Health Care, and Staples sectors.

We highlight attractive and actionable themes within developed international markets, including actionable set-ups across among: Non-bank Financials, Japanese Technology stocks, and within European Discretionary, Industrial, Health Care, and Staples sectors.

Developed International Equity Strategy: Favor EAFE over EM

We believe the S&amp;P 500, STOXX Europe 600, MSCI ACWI ex-U.S., EAFE, and MSCI China are pulling back to support at their prior breakout levels -- levels we believe will hold. Tech remains our favorite Sector globally. Additional attractive cyclical areas in which to add exposure at current levels include Financials in Europe, autos and auto parts stocks, and casinos and gaming in Macau... see report for a technical appraisal of all major markets and a collection of actionable stocks.

We believe the S&amp;P 500, STOXX Europe 600, MSCI ACWI ex-U.S., EAFE, and MSCI China are pulling back to support at their prior breakout levels -- levels we believe will hold. Tech remains our favorite Sector globally. Additional attractive cyclical areas in which to add exposure at current levels include Financials in Europe, autos and auto parts stocks, and casinos and gaming in Macau... see report for a technical appraisal of all major markets and a collection of actionable stocks.

Global Equity Strategy: Major Indexes at Logical Support

Equity analyst UK & Europe, UK Long Short

Peter Toeman

Equity analyst UK & Europe

Accelerating Tomorrow’s Independent Research

Boost Research

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The political decision to exit the European Union has unpredictable negative consequences for both the UK economy and stockmarket.  A tough market background and Brexit concerns have reduced in-flows into Wealth and Investment Management companies. This growth hiatus could last for some time.  
<h2>Hargreaves Lansdown: What does it do ?</h2>
Hargreaves Lansdown is a wealth manager and private client stockbroker with a market value of  GBP8bn. It provides the UK's largest direct to investor platform administering £86bn of investments for more than 1.1m active clients
<h2>Why is it in the Short portfolio ?</h2>
Interim figures for the 6 months to December 2018, (published 29th Jan)  mark a deterioration in operating performance brought about by adverse market conditions. Assets under administration declined and net new business was 25% down on the prior year. Earnings per share increased 4%. The share price declined 6% on the day of the results but has subsequently been stable leaving the group on a forward multiple of over 30x. Unless the retail investment market recovers quickly this premium rating may prove vulnerable. 
<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/080/444/original/port%202.PNG?1551297124" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="80444"></figure>
<div class="content-caption">S&amp;P Capital IQ</div>

The political decision to exit the European Union has unpredictable negative consequences for both the UK economy and stockmarket.  A tough market background and Brexit concerns have reduced in-flows into Wealth and Investment Management companies. This growth hiatus could last for some time.  
Hargreaves Lansdown: What does it do ?
Hargreaves Lansdown is a wealth manager and private client stockbroker with a market value of  GBP8bn. It provides the UK's largest direct to investor platform administering £86bn of investments for more than 1.1m active clients
Why is it in the Short portfolio ?
Interim figures for the 6 months to December 2018, (published 29th Jan)  mark a deterioration in operating performance brought about by adverse market conditions. Assets under administration declined and net new business was 25% down on the prior year. Earnings per share increased 4%. The share price declined 6% on the day of the results but has subsequently been stable leaving the group on a forward multiple of over 30x. Unless the retail investment market recovers quickly this premium rating may prove vulnerable. 

S&amp;P Capital IQ

Hargreaves Lansdown (HL/:LN) No Flow, No Go

United Kingdom

Ashmore Group plc is a specialist Emerging Markets asset manager which focuses on eight broad investment themes: external debt (primarily US Dollar), local currencies and local currency debt, corporate debt, blended debt, alternatives (special situations/infrastructure/real estate), public equities, overlay/liquidity and multi-strategy.

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Ashmore (ASHM LN)

STOXX Europe Indices: Quiddity Leaderboard for December 2021 Rebalance

A look at the potential adds and deletes for the December 2021 index review for the STOXX Europe 600 Index and the EURO STOXX Index.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Ashmore Group - Emerging Market Flows Remain Robust

Strong Emerging Market Performance:Ashmore Group (Ashmore) [ASHM.LN] has delivered another strong quarter of net inflows while the outlook for...

Thomas J. Monaco

Developed International Equity Strategy: Favor EAFE over EM

We highlight attractive and actionable themes within developed international markets, including actionable set-ups across among: Non-bank...

Vermilion Research

Global Equity Strategy: Major Indexes at Logical Support

We believe the S&P 500, STOXX Europe 600, MSCI ACWI ex-U.S., EAFE, and MSCI China are pulling back to support at their prior breakout levels --...

Vermilion Research

Hargreaves Lansdown (HL/:LN) No Flow, No Go

The political decision to exit the European Union has unpredictable negative consequences for both the UK economy and stockmarket. A tough market...

Boost Research

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