Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Capital Markets

GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk PT / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>As 2022 comes to an end, we revisit our IPO calls over the last 12-months and how these stocks have performed to assess the effectiveness of our calls.</li>
<li>We made explicit buy/sell calls on 12 IPOs during this period with a hit-rate of 83.3% with Grab, GoTo, Cloud Music, SenseTime and Leapmotor IPOs making the highest returns.</li>
<li>We also wrote on several other IPOs during this period, however, those IPOs have not received approval yet.</li>
</ul>


As 2022 comes to an end, we revisit our IPO calls over the last 12-months and how these stocks have performed to assess the effectiveness of our calls.
We made explicit buy/sell calls on 12 IPOs during this period with a hit-rate of 83.3% with Grab, GoTo, Cloud Music, SenseTime and Leapmotor IPOs making the highest returns.
We also wrote on several other IPOs during this period, however, those IPOs have not received approval yet.


APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Lygend Resources & Technology / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lygend-resources-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36493:1" rel="noopener">Lygend Resources &amp; Technology (2245 HK)</a> raised US$470m in its Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>Lygend Resources &amp; Technology (Lygend) is a nickel trading and production firm with a portfolio covering multiple areas across the nickel industry value chain.</li>
<li>In this note we will talk about the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Lygend Resources &amp; Technology (2245 HK) raised US$470m in its Hong Kong IPO.
Lygend Resources &amp; Technology (Lygend) is a nickel trading and production firm with a portfolio covering multiple areas across the nickel industry value chain.
In this note we will talk about the trading dynamics.


Lygend Resources & Technology IPO Trading - Tepid Subscription but Potential Upside Remains

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

Event-Driven

China Datang Corp Renewable Power / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>After one month from the September batch of Hong Kong Connect inclusion, we provide an analysis on the stock inclusion for 12 stocks. </li>
<li>We analysed the inclusion by performance post announcement, performance post inclusion, inflows and analyst coverage.</li>
<li>We continued to observed outperformance post the HSCI announcement but not the actual inclusion despite the fact that southbound inflows has a significant impact on the trading volume. </li>
</ul>


After one month from the September batch of Hong Kong Connect inclusion, we provide an analysis on the stock inclusion for 12 stocks. 
We analysed the inclusion by performance post announcement, performance post inclusion, inflows and analyst coverage.
We continued to observed outperformance post the HSCI announcement but not the actual inclusion despite the fact that southbound inflows has a significant impact on the trading volume. 


HK Connect: Sep '22 Inclusion Post-Event Analysis

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>There are 24 adds and 14 deletes for the Hang Seng Composite Index (HSCI) at the September rebalance to take the number of index constituents up to 518.</li>
<li>19 of the 24 HSCI inclusions will be added to Southbound Stock Connect, while 12 of the 14 HSCI deletions will be removed from Southbound Stock Connect.</li>
<li>Five of the HSCI constituents could be removed from Southbound Stock Connect only since the average market cap over the last year is less than HK$5bn.</li>
</ul>


There are 24 adds and 14 deletes for the Hang Seng Composite Index (HSCI) at the September rebalance to take the number of index constituents up to 518.
19 of the 24 HSCI inclusions will be added to Southbound Stock Connect, while 12 of the 14 HSCI deletions will be removed from Southbound Stock Connect.
Five of the HSCI constituents could be removed from Southbound Stock Connect only since the average market cap over the last year is less than HK$5bn.


HSCI Index Rebalance: 24 Adds, 14 Deletes & Changes to Stock Connect

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Despite regional lockdowns caused by COVID-19 during most part of FY21, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arrail-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33794:1" rel="noopener">Arrail Group (6639 HK)</a> posted 7% y/y growth in revenue, driven by 14% y/y growth in total patient visits.   </li>
<li>China dental services market is growing at an average 20% per annum. Arrail’s low debt and strong cash position should support its business expansion plans to grab the market opportunity.</li>
<li>Despite competition, the company is expected to report accelerated double-digit revenue growth in next three years, by leveraging on its market leadership positioning and favorable macro tailwind.</li>
</ul>


Despite regional lockdowns caused by COVID-19 during most part of FY21, Arrail Group (6639 HK) posted 7% y/y growth in revenue, driven by 14% y/y growth in total patient visits.   
China dental services market is growing at an average 20% per annum. Arrail’s low debt and strong cash position should support its business expansion plans to grab the market opportunity.
Despite competition, the company is expected to report accelerated double-digit revenue growth in next three years, by leveraging on its market leadership positioning and favorable macro tailwind.


Arrail Group (6639 HK): Full-Year FY22 Results Indicate Demand Is Recovering

China

Arrail Group Limited operates dental care businesses. The Company provides dental implant, dental beauty, and daily cleaning services. Arrail Group conducts businesses in China.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Arrail Group (6639 HK)

Our IPO Calls for 2022

As 2022 comes to an end, we revisit our IPO calls for 2022 and assess the performance of these calls which had a hit rate of 83.3%. Some of the...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Lygend Resources & Technology IPO Trading - Tepid Subscription but Potential Upside Remains

Lygend Resources & Technology (2245 HK) raised US$470m in its Hong Kong IPO. In this note we will talk about the trading dynamics.

Clarence Chu

HK Connect: Sep '22 Inclusion Post-Event Analysis

We analyzed south bound Hong Kong connect's inclusion in September following Hang Seng index review on August 19th. We highlight strong post...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HSCI Index Rebalance: 24 Adds, 14 Deletes & Changes to Stock Connect

There are 24 adds and 14 deletes for the HSCI at the September rebalance. 19 stocks will be added to Stock Connect and 12 will be removed. Some of...

Brian Freitas

Arrail Group (6639 HK): Full-Year FY22 Results Indicate Demand Is Recovering

Despite COVID-19, Arrail’s revenue grew 7% in FY21 as patient visits increased steadily at its existing and newly opened clinics and hospitals....

Tina Banerjee

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)