IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

Lithium Power International / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lithium-power-international" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30603:1" rel="noopener">Lithium Power International (LPI AU)</a> IE considers Codelco’s A$0.57 offer fair and reasonable as it is above the midpoint of its A$0.30-0.68 per share valuation range. </li>
<li>The scheme is conditional on FIRB approval, which should be forthcoming as LPI’s assets are outside Australia in Chile.</li>
<li>Irrevocables represent 32.05% of outstanding shares. At the last close and for the 16 February payment, the gross/annualised spread was 3.6%/26.3%.</li>
</ul>


The Lithium Power International (LPI AU) IE considers Codelco’s A$0.57 offer fair and reasonable as it is above the midpoint of its A$0.30-0.68 per share valuation range. 
The scheme is conditional on FIRB approval, which should be forthcoming as LPI’s assets are outside Australia in Chile.
Irrevocables represent 32.05% of outstanding shares. At the last close and for the 16 February payment, the gross/annualised spread was 3.6%/26.3%.


Lithium Power (LPI AU): Scheme Vote on 23 January

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>Back on the 28 March, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/liontown-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20488:1" rel="noopener">Liontown Resources (LTR AU)</a> rejected the third proposal of $2.50/share from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/albemarle-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7678:1" rel="noopener">Albemarle (ALB US)</a>, the world’s largest lithium producer, citing terms were opportunistic.</li>
<li>Then everything went quiet. There appeared to be an interested party building a stake ~$2.75/share, but nothing concrete emerged. </li>
<li>Now Albemarle has returned with a revised indicative proposal of $3.00/share - best and final. Due diligence has been granted. The board is supportive if terms are firmed.</li>
</ul>


Back on the 28 March, Liontown Resources (LTR AU) rejected the third proposal of $2.50/share from Albemarle (ALB US), the world’s largest lithium producer, citing terms were opportunistic.
Then everything went quiet. There appeared to be an interested party building a stake ~$2.75/share, but nothing concrete emerged. 
Now Albemarle has returned with a revised indicative proposal of $3.00/share - best and final. Due diligence has been granted. The board is supportive if terms are firmed.


Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>At the December rebalance, we expect changes to the S&amp;P/ASX 50 Index and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a>. Announcement is on 2 December with implementation on 16 December.</li>
<li>If added to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a>, passive trackers will need to buy over 9 days of ADV on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/monadelphous-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:553:1" rel="noopener">Monadelphous (MND AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ioneer-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10264:1" rel="noopener">ioneer Ltd (INR AU)</a>.</li>
<li>Shorts have dropped on nearly all potential adds and deletes over the last couple of months. With shorts at low levels, short covering will have limited impact at the rebalance.</li>
</ul>


At the December rebalance, we expect changes to the S&amp;P/ASX 50 Index and S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX). Announcement is on 2 December with implementation on 16 December.
If added to the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX), passive trackers will need to buy over 9 days of ADV on Monadelphous (MND AU) and ioneer Ltd (INR AU).
Shorts have dropped on nearly all potential adds and deletes over the last couple of months. With shorts at low levels, short covering will have limited impact at the rebalance.


S&P/​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: A Few High Impact Adds

Australia

Xanadu Mines, Ltd. is a copper exploration company that is active across the Mongolian section of the Central Asian Orogenic Belt.  The Company has a position in several license that are prospective for copper and gold and in particular the Oyut Ulaan copper project in the south Gobi region.  Xanadu has been established in Mongolia since 2005.

Orion Minerals Ltd operates as a minerals exploration and development company. The Company focuses on zinc, copper, nickel, gold, and platinum mining projects. Orion Minerals serves customers worldwide.

Legacy Iron Ore Ltd is an iron ore and gold exploration company.

Mindax Limited is a gold exploration and production company. The Company's focus is on deposits characterised by higher grades of gold mineralisation. It is a minerals explorer with a portfolio of gold, copper, iron and uranium projects in Western Australia's Yilgarn Craton.

Hillgrove Resources Limited is a mineral exploration company. The Company explores for and produces gold, copper, natural gas Silver, lead, and zinc.

Vysarn Limited explores and develops mineral properties for aluminum, gold, copper, nickel, zinc, and tin. The Company holds prospects in the North-Eastern Tasmania area.

Essential Metals Limited operates as an active exploration and development company. The Company focuses on discovering and producing metals essential such as gold, lithium, caesium, and nickel. Essential Metals serves clients in Australia.

Lindian Resources Limited is a mineral exploration company. The Company explores for gold and copper in the Philippines.

Newfield Resources Limited is a mineral exploration company. The Company holds interests in tenement holdings in Western Australia where it explores for gold. Newfield's Projects include the Newfield Project located north-northwest of Bullfinch, in the Yilgarn Mineral Field of Western Australia.

Strandline Resources Limited operates as a mineral exploration and development company. The Company focuses on mineral sands, copper, and other base metal resources. Strandline Resources conducts business worldwide.

SAMWONSTEEL Co., Ltd. manufactures automobile spring materials such as flat bar, round bar, and multi-leaf spring for commercial vehicles as well as wire rod products and pipe.

Mercer Group Ltd. imports and distributes photographic equipment and manufactures and supplies stainless steel products.

Kurotani Corporation is principally engaged in the non-ferrous metal related business focusing on copper. The Company's operations include the manufacturing and selling of non-ferrous metals and copper and copper alloy fabricated products, copper alloy and aluminum alloys ingots, and arts and crafts.

Toho Zinc Co., Ltd. is non-ferrous metal smelter.  The Company produces zinc, lead, sulfuric acid, electronic parts, zinc sulfate, and silver.  Toho Zinc also operates a recycling business.

Korea Steel Shapes Co., Ltd., an affiliate of Dong Kuk Steel Mill, manufactures and sells reinforcing rod bars, angles, and related products.

DCM Corp. manufactures laminating steel sheets.  The Company also develops and produces high-illumination aluminum reflecting plates and plastic buttons for garments.

WZ Satu Berhad is an investment holding company that manufactures and trades in steel products in Malaysia and internationally. The Company is also involved in construction and civil engineering, renewable energy businesses, production and processing of bauxite, trading of  mineral resources, precision engineering for oil and gas sectors, and provision of power generation and power solutions.

Steel & Tube Holdings Limited produces and distributes steel throughout New Zealand and its products include steel fasteners, nuts, bolts and screws.  The Company's other activities include steel reinforcing.

SeAH Special Steel Co., LTD. was founded in 1986.  The Company manufactures steel wire and bars which are applications in automotive components, construction bolts, machinery components, and electronic parts.

Daechang Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets brass bars, hollow bars, wires, ingots, copper alloy rods, and billets.  The Company's products are used in medical supplies, artistic materials, plumbing appliances, and machinery parts.

Argosy Minerals Ltd. is a diamond and precious metals mining and exploration company.  The Company's projects include the Albetros Diamond Project in South Africa where Argosy explores for alluvial diamonds.

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Argosy Minerals (AGY AU)

Lithium Power (LPI AU): Scheme Vote on 23 January

This is a done deal. Irrevocables represent 32.05% of outstanding shares. At the last close and for the 16 February payment, the gross/annualised...

Arun George

Liontown Warms To Albemarle's Bump

Albermarle withdraws NBIO "due to the growing complexities associated with executing the transaction". Shares subsequently halted until Wednesday...

David Blennerhassett

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview: A Few High Impact Adds

There could be two changes each for the ASX50 and ASX200 indices in December. There is a large impact expected on a couple of the adds while short...

Brian Freitas

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Lithium Power (LPI AU): Scheme Vote on 23 January

This is a done deal. Irrevocables represent 32.05% of outstanding shares. At the last close and for the 16 February payment, the gross/annualised...

Arun George

Liontown Warms To Albemarle's Bump

Albermarle withdraws NBIO "due to the growing complexities associated with executing the transaction". Shares subsequently halted until Wednesday...

David Blennerhassett

S&P/​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: A Few High Impact Adds

There could be two changes each for the ASX50 and ASX200 indices in December. There is a large impact expected on a couple of the adds while short...

Brian Freitas

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview: A Few High Impact Adds