Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>For the month of February, 12 new deals (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$16bn.</li>
<li>The average premium for the new deals announced (or first discussed) in February was ~36%.</li>
<li>This compares to the average premium for all deals in 2021 (165 deals), 2020 (158 deals), and 2019 (145 deals) of 33%, 31%, and 31.5% respectively.</li>
</ul>


For the month of February, 12 new deals (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$16bn.
The average premium for the new deals announced (or first discussed) in February was ~36%.
This compares to the average premium for all deals in 2021 (165 deals), 2020 (158 deals), and 2019 (145 deals) of 33%, 31%, and 31.5% respectively.


IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>Under the revised scheme consideration, each <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ara-logos-logistics-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:937:1" rel="noopener">ARA LOGOS (ALLT SP)</a> unitholder will receive S$0.097 in cash and 1.7729 new <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/esr-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10934:1" rel="noopener">ESR-REIT (EREIT SP)</a> units at an issue price of S$0.4924.</li>
<li>The IFA considers the revised scheme consideration to be fair. We think that IFA’s valuation approach is broadly sound with some areas for improvement. </li>
<li>We think that the revised offer is reasonable. For a 28 April payment date, the gross and annualised spread is 2.9% and 18.2%, respectively. </li>
</ul>


Under the revised scheme consideration, each ARA LOGOS (ALLT SP) unitholder will receive S$0.097 in cash and 1.7729 new ESR-REIT (EREIT SP) units at an issue price of S$0.4924.
The IFA considers the revised scheme consideration to be fair. We think that IFA’s valuation approach is broadly sound with some areas for improvement. 
We think that the revised offer is reasonable. For a 28 April payment date, the gross and annualised spread is 2.9% and 18.2%, respectively. 


ARA LOGOS/ESR-REIT Scheme Meeting on 21 March, IFA Opinion

<ul>
<li>There are currently 42 - mostly firm - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.</li>
<li>Two new deals this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hochtief-ag" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21652:1" rel="noopener">Hochtief AG (HOT GR)</a> for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cimic-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20030:1" rel="noopener">CIMIC Group Ltd (CIM AU)</a>; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/brookfield-asset-manage-cl-a-0483cfb5-71a5-4931-af80-901e5f30aace" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23741:1" rel="noopener">Brookfield Asset Management (BAM US)</a> for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/agl-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:554:1" rel="noopener">AGL Energy Ltd (AGL AU)</a>.</li>
<li>Key updates took place for: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/razer-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24380:1" rel="noopener">Razer (1337 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apollo-tourism-leisure-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24305:1" rel="noopener">Apollo Tourism (ATL AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aventus-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25897:1" rel="noopener">Aventus (AVN AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/z-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9838:1" rel="noopener">Z Energy (ZEL NZ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/g-j-steel-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14759:1" rel="noopener">G J Steel (GJS TB)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mapletree-north-asia-commercial-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5127:1" rel="noopener">Mapletree North Asia Commercial (MAGIC SP)</a>.</li>
</ul>


There are currently 42 - mostly firm - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.
Two new deals this week: Hochtief AG (HOT GR) for CIMIC Group Ltd (CIM AU); Brookfield Asset Management (BAM US) for AGL Energy Ltd (AGL AU).
Key updates took place for: Razer (1337 HK), Apollo Tourism (ATL AU), Aventus (AVN AU), Z Energy (ZEL NZ), G J Steel (GJS TB), and Mapletree North Asia Commercial (MAGIC SP).


Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Summary: CIMIC, AGL, Razer, Z Energy, G J Steel, Mapletree North Asia

<ul>
<li>There are currently 43 - mostly firm - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.</li>
<li>One new deal this week: the unconditional Offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hock-seng-lee-berhad" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19887:1" rel="noopener">Hock Seng Lee (HSL MK)</a>.</li>
<li>Key updates took place for: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/crown-resorts-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:808:1" rel="noopener">Crown Resorts (CWN AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/western-areas-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15497:1" rel="noopener">Western Areas (WSA AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/australian-pharmaceutical-industries-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19399:1" rel="noopener">Australian Pharmaceutical Industries (API AU)</a>, True/DTAC, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/g-j-steel-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14759:1" rel="noopener">G J Steel PCL (GJS TB)</a>.</li>
</ul>


There are currently 43 - mostly firm - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.
One new deal this week: the unconditional Offer for Hock Seng Lee (HSL MK).
Key updates took place for: Crown Resorts (CWN AU), Western Areas (WSA AU), Australian Pharmaceutical Industries (API AU), True/DTAC, and G J Steel PCL (GJS TB).


Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Summary: Crown Resorts, GJ Steel, Western Areas, Aussie Pharma, DTAC/True

Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Quarz Capital’s <a href="https://www.bettermnact.com/_files/ugd/517105_02ef42e240d344b9a13b20fce5b8c5d1.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">open letter</a> urges <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mapletree-north-asia-commercial-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5127:1" rel="noopener">Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MAGIC SP)</a>’s (MNACT) board to protect unitholders’ interest and negotiate for a higher offer from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mapletree-commercial-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:106:1" rel="noopener">Mapletree Commercial Trust (MCT SP)</a>.</li>
<li>MCT has three options – keep the terms unchanged, improve the terms or support MNACT's board benchmarking the merger vs alternative transactions.   </li>
<li>MCT’s likely move is to keep terms unchanged and seek shareholder approval. MNACT's board can appease unitholders by exploring alternative transactions.   </li>
</ul>


Quarz Capital’s open letter urges Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MAGIC SP)’s (MNACT) board to protect unitholders’ interest and negotiate for a higher offer from Mapletree Commercial Trust (MCT SP).
MCT has three options – keep the terms unchanged, improve the terms or support MNACT's board benchmarking the merger vs alternative transactions.   
MCT’s likely move is to keep terms unchanged and seek shareholder approval. MNACT's board can appease unitholders by exploring alternative transactions.   


MCT and MNACT’s Options for Dealing with Quarz’s Campaign

Singapore

ARA LOGOS Logistics Trust operates as a real estate investment trust. The Company invests in logistics warehouse properties. ARA LOGOS Logistics Trust serves customers in Singapore.

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ARA LOGOS (ALLT SP)

(Mostly) Asia M&A: February 2022 Roundup

For the month of February, 12 new deals were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$16bn. The average premium for the...

David Blennerhassett

ARA LOGOS/ESR-REIT Scheme Meeting on 21 March, IFA Opinion

ARA Logos and ESR-REIT merger scheme meeting is set for 21 March. The IFA considers the revised scheme consideration to be fair. For a 28 April...

Arun George

Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Summary: CIMIC, AGL, Razer, Z Energy, G J Steel, Mapletree North Asia

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Summary: Crown Resorts, GJ Steel, Western Areas, Aussie Pharma, DTAC/True

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

MCT and MNACT’s Options for Dealing with Quarz’s Campaign

MCT has three options – keep the terms unchanged, improve the terms or support MNACT's board benchmarking the merger vs alternative transactions.

Arun George

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