Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Around a third of the way though the review period, there could be 4 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a> at the December rebalance.</li>
<li>The impact on the potential inclusions ranges from 0.6-21 days of ADV while the impact on the potential deletions varies from 2.5-16 days of ADV.</li>
<li>The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletions over the last few months and there could be more to go with short selling banned.</li>
</ul>


Around a third of the way though the review period, there could be 4 changes for the Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX) at the December rebalance.
The impact on the potential inclusions ranges from 0.6-21 days of ADV while the impact on the potential deletions varies from 2.5-16 days of ADV.
The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletions over the last few months and there could be more to go with short selling banned.


KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: 4 Changes Likely in December

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we provide an early look at the potential additions and deletions to KOSPI200 rebalance in December 2024.</li>
<li>The seven potential additions are up on average 53.9% from end of 2023. The seven potential deletion candidates are down on average 14.2% YTD. </li>
<li>The average market cap of the seven potential additions is 2.2 trillion won. The average market cap of the seven potential deletion candidates is 0.7 trillion won. </li>
</ul>


In this insight, we provide an early look at the potential additions and deletions to KOSPI200 rebalance in December 2024.
The seven potential additions are up on average 53.9% from end of 2023. The seven potential deletion candidates are down on average 14.2% YTD. 
The average market cap of the seven potential additions is 2.2 trillion won. The average market cap of the seven potential deletion candidates is 0.7 trillion won. 


An Early Look at Potential Deletions and Additions to KOSPI200 in December 2024

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we discuss a trading strategy for APR (278470 KS) which starts trading on 27 February. APR is the most anticipated IPO in Korea so far in 2024.</li>
<li>Our base case (6 months - 1 year) target price of APR is 370,809 won, which is 48% higher than the IPO price. </li>
<li><em><strong>We recommend investors to take some profits off the table (30%-50%) if the share price shoots higher by 100% to 200%+ from the IPO price on the first day.  </strong></em></li>
</ul>


In this insight, we discuss a trading strategy for APR (278470 KS) which starts trading on 27 February. APR is the most anticipated IPO in Korea so far in 2024.
Our base case (6 months - 1 year) target price of APR is 370,809 won, which is 48% higher than the IPO price. 
We recommend investors to take some profits off the table (30%-50%) if the share price shoots higher by 100% to 200%+ from the IPO price on the first day.  


Trading Strategy of APR on the First Day of IPO

<ul>
<li>APR reported a very strong IPO book-building results. APR IPO price has been determined at 250,000 won, which is 25% higher than the high end of the IPO price range.</li>
<li>A total of 1,969 institutional investors participated in this IPO book-building. The demand ratio was 663 to 1. APR IPO will start trading on 26 February. </li>
<li>Our base case valuation of APR is target price of 370,809 won per share which represents a 48% upside from the IPO price of 250,000 won. </li>
</ul>


APR reported a very strong IPO book-building results. APR IPO price has been determined at 250,000 won, which is 25% higher than the high end of the IPO price range.
A total of 1,969 institutional investors participated in this IPO book-building. The demand ratio was 663 to 1. APR IPO will start trading on 26 February. 
Our base case valuation of APR is target price of 370,809 won per share which represents a 48% upside from the IPO price of 250,000 won. 


<ul>
<li>APR announced it will delay its IPO. Now, APR's book building has been postponed to 2 to 8 February. The IPO price range remains the same.</li>
<li>The company has provided updated preliminary sales and operating profits for 2023 in the revised IPO prospectus. Revenue was a bit light but OP was better than expected in 4Q23.</li>
<li>Our base case valuation of APR is 370,809 won per share which represents an 85% upside from the high end of the bankers' valuation range (200,000 won).</li>
</ul>


APR announced it will delay its IPO. Now, APR's book building has been postponed to 2 to 8 February. The IPO price range remains the same.
The company has provided updated preliminary sales and operating profits for 2023 in the revised IPO prospectus. Revenue was a bit light but OP was better than expected in 4Q23.
Our base case valuation of APR is 370,809 won per share which represents an 85% upside from the high end of the bankers' valuation range (200,000 won).


South Korea

APR Corporation of Korea operates cosmetics businesses. The Company develops and produces facial mask, lotion, elite fluid, and other products. APR also develops and manufactures beauty devices.

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APR (278470 KS)

KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: 4 Changes Likely in December

There could be 4 changes for the KOSPI200 in December. The impact on the potential inclusions ranges from 0.6-21 days of ADV while the impact on...

Brian Freitas

An Early Look at Potential Deletions and Additions to KOSPI200 in December 2024

We provide an early look at the potential additions and deletions to KOSPI200 rebalance in December 2024. The seven potential additions are up on...

Douglas Kim

Trading Strategy of APR on the First Day of IPO

APR starts trading tomorrow. We recommend investors to take some profits off the table (30%-50%) if the share price shoots higher by 100% to 200%+...

Douglas Kim

APR IPO Book-Building Results Analysis

APR reported a very strong IPO book-building results. APR IPO price has been determined at 250,000 won, which is 25% higher than the high end of...

Douglas Kim

Why Is APR IPO Getting Delayed?

APR announced it will delay its IPO. Its book building has been postponed to 2 to 8 February. The IPO price range is the same. The company has...

Douglas Kim

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