Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/crown-resorts-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:808:1" rel="noopener">Crown Resorts</a> Scheme Meeting is scheduled for 20 May and the last trading day could be 24 May, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/the-lottery-corporation-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35970:1" rel="noopener">The Lottery Corp</a> is expected to start trading 24 May.</li>
<li>The changes for the S&amp;P/ASX 50 Index and S&amp;P/ASX 100 Index will depend on the market cap of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/the-lottery-corporation-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35970:1" rel="noopener">The Lottery Corp (TLC AU)</a> and new <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tabcorp-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6837:1" rel="noopener">Tabcorp Ltd (TAH AU)</a>.</li>
<li>The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes over the last week and couple of months so there will be some pre-positions in there already.</li>
</ul>


The Crown Resorts Scheme Meeting is scheduled for 20 May and the last trading day could be 24 May, while The Lottery Corp is expected to start trading 24 May.
The changes for the S&amp;P/ASX 50 Index and S&amp;P/ASX 100 Index will depend on the market cap of The Lottery Corp (TLC AU) and new Tabcorp Ltd (TAH AU).
The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes over the last week and couple of months so there will be some pre-positions in there already.


S&P/​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Tabcorp, Crown & Potential Changes in June

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

<ul>
<li>The S&amp;P/ASX Index family is a widely-tracked group of indices and sub-indices which represent the performance of ASX-listed companies. It rebalances four times a year.</li>
<li>In June 2022, Index rebalance events will take place for the S&amp;P/ASX capitalization-weighted indices including ASX 200, 100, 50, and 20. There is likely to be an intra-quarter change too.</li>
<li>This is a follow-up insight to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/s-p-asx-indices-quiddity-leaderboard-for-june-2022-rebalance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:68033" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/​​​ASX Indices: Quiddity Leaderboard for June 2022 Rebalance</a>. with updated expectations for inclusions/changes in the various indices in the next 6 weeks. </li>
</ul>


The S&amp;P/ASX Index family is a widely-tracked group of indices and sub-indices which represent the performance of ASX-listed companies. It rebalances four times a year.
In June 2022, Index rebalance events will take place for the S&amp;P/ASX capitalization-weighted indices including ASX 200, 100, 50, and 20. There is likely to be an intra-quarter change too.
This is a follow-up insight to S&amp;P/​​​ASX Indices: Quiddity Leaderboard for June 2022 Rebalance. with updated expectations for inclusions/changes in the various indices in the next 6 weeks. 


S&P/​​​​ASX Indices: Quiddity Leaderboard for June 2022 Rebalance 2.0

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:803:1" rel="noopener">Seven Group Holdings (SVW AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lake-resources-nl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14597:1" rel="noopener">Lake Resources Nl (LKE AU)</a> could be added the S&amp;P/ASX100 Index and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200</a> respectively next week following the privatisation of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/crown-resorts-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:808:1" rel="noopener">Crown Resorts (CWN AU)</a>. </li>
<li>Then we have the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tabcorp-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6837:1" rel="noopener">Tabcorp Ltd (TAH AU)</a> spinoff in May that will add to the changes at the regular rebalance in June for the indices.</li>
<li>Short interest has spiked on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lake-resources-nl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14597:1" rel="noopener">Lake Resources Nl (LKE AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/core-lithium-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14712:1" rel="noopener">Core Lithium Ltd (CXO AU)</a> recently following the huge rally in the stocks.</li>
</ul>



Seven Group Holdings (SVW AU) and Lake Resources Nl (LKE AU) could be added the S&amp;P/ASX100 Index and S&amp;P/ASX 200 respectively next week following the privatisation of Crown Resorts (CWN AU). 
Then we have the Tabcorp Ltd (TAH AU) spinoff in May that will add to the changes at the regular rebalance in June for the indices.
Short interest has spiked on Lake Resources Nl (LKE AU) and Core Lithium Ltd (CXO AU) recently following the huge rally in the stocks.


S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes in May & June

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/homeco-daily-needs-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33526:1" rel="noopener">HomeCo Daily Needs REIT (HDN AU)</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cimic-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20030:1" rel="noopener">CIMIC Group Ltd (CIM AU)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> at the close of trading on 11 April.</li>
<li>The change has come earlier than expected as Hochtief hold nearly 90% of CIMIC. Positioning on HDN could be light- the stock could rally over the next couple of days.</li>
<li>There could be another ad hoc change prior to the June rebalance and then there will be more changes at the regular rebalance in June.</li>
</ul>



HomeCo Daily Needs REIT (HDN AU) will replace CIMIC Group Ltd (CIM AU) in the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) at the close of trading on 11 April.
The change has come earlier than expected as Hochtief hold nearly 90% of CIMIC. Positioning on HDN could be light- the stock could rally over the next couple of days.
There could be another ad hoc change prior to the June rebalance and then there will be more changes at the regular rebalance in June.


ASX200 Index Rebalance: HomeCo Daily Needs REIT (HDN) Replaces CIMIC; More Changes in May & June

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/altium-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18626:1" rel="noopener">Altium Ltd (ALU AU)</a>, a global software company, <a href="https://cdn-api.markitdigital.com/apiman-gateway/ASX/asx-research/1.0/file/2924-02382370-2A1302312?access_token=83ff96335c2d45a094df02a206a39ff4" target="_blank" rel="noopener">confirmed and subsequently rejected</a> a non-binding proposal from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/autodesk-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13211:1" rel="noopener">Autodesk Inc (ADSK US)</a>.
The A$38.50/share cash offer by way of a Scheme, was a 41.5% premium to last close and a 47.4% premium to the one-month VWAP.
The indicative proposal was subject to a number of conditions including due diligence, Altium board support, the receipt of all applicable regulatory approvals, and no material adverse changes.
Concerning the offer, Altium said:
<blockquote>
[Altium] considers the Proposal significantly undervalues Altium's prospects and therefore rejects the Proposal at the current price. Altium has a unique position in the electronics  ecosystem and in the past unsolicited acquisition interest has developed from partnership dialogues with others in the ecosystem.
</blockquote>
Shares closed today at $36.78, up more than 35%.
More below the fold.

Altium Ltd (ALU AU), a global software company, confirmed and subsequently rejected a non-binding proposal from Autodesk Inc (ADSK US).
The A$38.50/share cash offer by way of a Scheme, was a 41.5% premium to last close and a 47.4% premium to the one-month VWAP.
The indicative proposal was subject to a number of conditions including due diligence, Altium board support, the receipt of all applicable regulatory approvals, and no material adverse changes.
Concerning the offer, Altium said:

[Altium] considers the Proposal significantly undervalues Altium's prospects and therefore rejects the Proposal at the current price. Altium has a unique position in the electronics  ecosystem and in the past unsolicited acquisition interest has developed from partnership dialogues with others in the ecosystem.

Shares closed today at $36.78, up more than 35%.
More below the fold.

Australia

Appen Ltd is a language, search, and social technology company. The Company provides solutions to improve internalization of products, management of data, and project management for companies.

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Appen Ltd (APX AU)

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Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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Brian Freitas

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There could be one change in May followed by a bunch of changes in June. SVW and LKE could be added on 3 May following CWN's privatisation. TAH's...

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HDN AU will replace CIM AU in the ASX200 at the close on 11 April. LKE AU could replace CWN AU in May. Then there could be another 4 changes to the...

Brian Freitas

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Altium is clearly in play, and optically, Autodesk's bid appears opportunistic in the face of Covid and Altium's restructuring. An offer north of...

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