Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Compared to depressed traffic from last year, outbound travel in July was up dramatically; strong M/M growth versus June suggests the outbound recovery still has legs </li>
<li>Does China's relaxation of group travel to Japan and Korea matter? We offer context and conclude the change is helpful, but not a "game-changer" for overall travel demand</li>
<li>We also review July domestic traffic and preview Trip.com's Q2 results (out Sept 4th)</li>
</ul>


Compared to depressed traffic from last year, outbound travel in July was up dramatically; strong M/M growth versus June suggests the outbound recovery still has legs 
Does China's relaxation of group travel to Japan and Korea matter? We offer context and conclude the change is helpful, but not a "game-changer" for overall travel demand
We also review July domestic traffic and preview Trip.com's Q2 results (out Sept 4th)


Monthly Chinese Tourism Tracker | July Outbound Firm | Group Tour Impact | Trip.com Q2 (August 2023)

Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS. US Stocks fall as Dicks Sporting and Macy's raises concerns over US consumer; US Tells China to be more Transparent on Economy; Traders Betting on Blow Out NVIDIA</li>
<li>JAPAN:  NKY Futures -0.3% vs Cash; USDJPY 145.9;  Japan Defense Ministry to ask for (another) Record Budget; 2 trillion yen request for GX spend in FY24. </li>
<li>JAPAN X:  Hitachi Introduces Innovative Executive Compensation Plan Tied to Stock Performance Against Competitors. Interesting structure-lights a fire under senior management. </li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS. US Stocks fall as Dicks Sporting and Macy's raises concerns over US consumer; US Tells China to be more Transparent on Economy; Traders Betting on Blow Out NVIDIA
JAPAN:  NKY Futures -0.3% vs Cash; USDJPY 145.9;  Japan Defense Ministry to ask for (another) Record Budget; 2 trillion yen request for GX spend in FY24. 
JAPAN X:  Hitachi Introduces Innovative Executive Compensation Plan Tied to Stock Performance Against Competitors. Interesting structure-lights a fire under senior management. 


Ohayo Japan|US Stocks Fall on Consumer Fears; JAPAN X: Hitachi Inspires with Mgmt Incentive Scheme

<ul>
<li>
OVERSEAS. US Yields spike to hit 16 year high; Stocks rise SPX closed +0.7% with Tech leading; China woes continue as forecasts cut; NVDIA and TSLA rebound on street optimism</li>
<li>
JAPAN.  NKY Futures +0.7% vs Cash; USDJPY 146.2;  BOJ on pace to buy record amt of bonds under new YCC regime;  Foreigners unloading JGBs; Japan DX market &gt; 2trn yen</li>
<li>
Japan X.  Flying Cars - investments pouring into the space globally. Skydrive, Japan's Flying Car beacon bearer, partners with Suzuki to to push the boundries in the space.  </li>
</ul>



OVERSEAS. US Yields spike to hit 16 year high; Stocks rise SPX closed +0.7% with Tech leading; China woes continue as forecasts cut; NVDIA and TSLA rebound on street optimism

JAPAN.  NKY Futures +0.7% vs Cash; USDJPY 146.2;  BOJ on pace to buy record amt of bonds under new YCC regime;  Foreigners unloading JGBs; Japan DX market &gt; 2trn yen

Japan X.  Flying Cars - investments pouring into the space globally. Skydrive, Japan's Flying Car beacon bearer, partners with Suzuki to to push the boundries in the space.  


Ohayo Japan|Yields Spike and Stocks UP?! Japan X: Flying Cars-Suzuki and SkyDrive's Aerial Ambitions

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

InterGlobe Aviation Ltd / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/interglobe-aviation-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24877:1" rel="noopener">InterGlobe Aviation Ltd (INDIGO IN)</a>’s co-founder, Rakesh Gangwal and his wife, aim to raise around US$450m through the bulk sale of 15.6m shares (4% of TSO).</li>
<li>He had earlier stated his intention to pare down his stake after a long drawn battle with his co-founder Rahul Bhatia. He last sold in Sep 2022 and Feb 2023.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>



InterGlobe Aviation Ltd (INDIGO IN)’s co-founder, Rakesh Gangwal and his wife, aim to raise around US$450m through the bulk sale of 15.6m shares (4% of TSO).
He had earlier stated his intention to pare down his stake after a long drawn battle with his co-founder Rahul Bhatia. He last sold in Sep 2022 and Feb 2023.
In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Interglobe Aviation (Indigo) Placement - Selldowns Are Becoming Increasingly Regular

<ul>
<li>ANA has just announced that it will purchase carbon removal credits underpinned by Direct Air Capture (DAC)</li>
<li>The purchase of 30,000 credits over 3 years is virtually nothing compared to the company's annual CO2 emissions over 12 million tons</li>
<li>Assuming that DAC is expected to remove just 10% of emissions, we estimate that it could wipe out over 70% of operating profit</li>
</ul>


ANA has just announced that it will purchase carbon removal credits underpinned by Direct Air Capture (DAC)
The purchase of 30,000 credits over 3 years is virtually nothing compared to the company's annual CO2 emissions over 12 million tons
Assuming that DAC is expected to remove just 10% of emissions, we estimate that it could wipe out over 70% of operating profit


ANA (9202) | How Much Will It Cost to Capture Carbon Emissions?

Japan

ANA Holdings Inc provides a variety of air transportation-related services. The Company offers scheduled & unscheduled air passenger services and air courier services. ANA sells aircraft parts and provides travel arrangement & reservation services as well.

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Ana Holdings (9202 JP)

Monthly Chinese Tourism Tracker | July Outbound Firm | Group Tour Impact | Trip.com Q2 (August 2023)

The recovery in outbound Chinese tourism remained strong in July. In this insight we also look at relaxation of Chinese group travel to Japan and...

Tracking Traffic

Ohayo Japan|US Stocks Fall on Consumer Fears; JAPAN X: Hitachi Inspires with Mgmt Incentive Scheme

US Equities down on Consumer spending concerns; NKY Futures -0.3% vs Cash; USDJPY 145.9; Japan Defense Ministry to ask for (another) Record...

Mark Chadwick

Ohayo Japan|Yields Spike and Stocks UP?! Japan X: Flying Cars-Suzuki and SkyDrive's Aerial Ambitions

Yields Spike and Stocks Up?! Huh? NKY Futures +0.7% vs Cash; USDJPY 146.2; BOJ on pace to buy record amt of bonds under new YCC regime; ...

Mark Chadwick

Interglobe Aviation (Indigo) Placement - Selldowns Are Becoming Increasingly Regular

InterGlobe Aviation Ltd (INDIGO IN)’s co-founder, Rakesh Gangwal and his wife, aim to raise around US$450m through the bulk sale of 15.6m shares...

Ethan Aw

ANA (9202) | How Much Will It Cost to Capture Carbon Emissions?

Assuming that DAC is expected to remove just 10% of emissions, we estimate that it could wipe out over 70% of operating profit - although most of...

Mark Chadwick

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