Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There could be two deletes for the index in September. There are two other stocks that are close to the deletion threshold.</li>
<li>Even if there are no constituent changes, there will be capping changes that will result in one-way turnover of around 2.7% and a one-way trade of A$51m.</li>
<li>Short interest has been increasing on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/charter-hall-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5593:1" rel="noopener">Charter Hall (CHC AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jb-hi-fi-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:555:1" rel="noopener">JB Hi-Fi Ltd (JBH AU)</a> and could be partially driven by potential index deletions.</li>
</ul>


There could be two deletes for the index in September. There are two other stocks that are close to the deletion threshold.
Even if there are no constituent changes, there will be capping changes that will result in one-way turnover of around 2.7% and a one-way trade of A$51m.
Short interest has been increasing on Charter Hall (CHC AU) and JB Hi-Fi Ltd (JBH AU) and could be partially driven by potential index deletions.


MVIS Australia Equal Weight Index Rebalance Preview: Deletes, Close Deletes, Capping Changes

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Feb 17th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD14.9bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Suncorp, Corporate Travel, Incitec Pivot, Bhp, Endeavour.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Feb 17th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD14.9bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Suncorp, Corporate Travel, Incitec Pivot, Bhp, Endeavour.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Feb 17th): Suncorp, Corporate Travel, Incitec Pivot, BHP, Endeavour

Temple & Webster Group Ltd / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS) structure updates will lead to changes to the S&amp;P/ASX All Technology Index at the March rebalance.</li>
<li>To better reflect the GICS changes and reduce constituent turnover, S&amp;P DJI has proposed changes to the index universe for constituent selection.</li>
<li>We expect there will be 4 deletions from the index in March, but that could increase to 10 if the changes are not adopted.</li>
</ul>


Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS) structure updates will lead to changes to the S&amp;P/ASX All Technology Index at the March rebalance.
To better reflect the GICS changes and reduce constituent turnover, S&amp;P DJI has proposed changes to the index universe for constituent selection.
We expect there will be 4 deletions from the index in March, but that could increase to 10 if the changes are not adopted.


S&P/ASX All Technology Index: GICS Changes, Market Consultation & Potential Index Changes

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>Software outfit <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/readytech-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29105:1" rel="noopener">ReadyTech (RDY AU)</a></strong> has announced an indicative proposal from Pacific Equity Partners and affiliates, to acquire ReadyTech by way of a Scheme of Arrangement at $4.50/share.</li>
<li>Pemba Capital, with 32.01% of shares out, are in discussion with PEP as to what appears to be the PE firm rolling over shares. </li>
<li>ReadyTech's independent board has granted PEP non-exclusive due diligence to flesh out a firm Offer. According to media reports, Microequities, with ~13%, is not on board whatsoever.</li>
</ul>


Software outfit ReadyTech (RDY AU) has announced an indicative proposal from Pacific Equity Partners and affiliates, to acquire ReadyTech by way of a Scheme of Arrangement at $4.50/share.
Pemba Capital, with 32.01% of shares out, are in discussion with PEP as to what appears to be the PE firm rolling over shares. 
ReadyTech's independent board has granted PEP non-exclusive due diligence to flesh out a firm Offer. According to media reports, Microequities, with ~13%, is not on board whatsoever.


Readytech (RDY AU): Microequities Baulks At PEP's A$4.50/Share Indicative Offer

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>In response to media reports, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/appen-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15825:1" rel="noopener">Appen Ltd (APX AU)</a> disclosed a non-binding indicative proposal from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/telus-international-cda-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35398:1" rel="noopener">Telus International (TIXT US)</a> at A$9.50, a 48.4% premium to the undisturbed price of A$6.40.</li>
<li>Appen also announced a weak trading update. The 1HFY22 EBITDA is expected to be materially lower than the comparable period due to the lower revenue and the ongoing investment. </li>
<li>Subsequently, Appen noted that Telus revoked its indicative proposal. No reason was given for the decision. Nevertheless, Appen’s depressed share price will continue to attract suitors. </li>
</ul>


In response to media reports, Appen Ltd (APX AU) disclosed a non-binding indicative proposal from Telus International (TIXT US) at A$9.50, a 48.4% premium to the undisturbed price of A$6.40.
Appen also announced a weak trading update. The 1HFY22 EBITDA is expected to be materially lower than the comparable period due to the lower revenue and the ongoing investment. 
Subsequently, Appen noted that Telus revoked its indicative proposal. No reason was given for the decision. Nevertheless, Appen’s depressed share price will continue to attract suitors. 


Telus Revokes It’s A$9.50 Bid for Appen

Australia

Technology One Limited is an Australian-based company that is engaged in the development, marketing, sales, implementation, support, and distribution of financial management and enterprise software solutions. The Company has operations in New Zealand, the United Kingdom, the South Pacific, and Malaysia.

Objective Corporation Limited manufactures knowledge management application software.  The Company's products allow users to access and manage word processing documents, spreadsheets, web page content and e-mails.  Objective also develops branded software which provides template-based conversion of documents to HTML.

Hansen Technologies Limited develops, supports and integrates billing systems software for the telecommunications and utilities sectors in Australia.  The Company also provides IT outsourcing services such as facilities management and develops software and services for workforce management.

Infomedia Limited develops and supplies electronic parts catalogues for the automotive industry. The Company's catalogues are used by various car dealers worldwide allowing them to find replacement parts required by a customer or service mechanic.  The Company also provides dealer management systems for the automotive industry.

Bravura Solutions Limited provides wealth management applications software to the pension, investment management, and life insurance industries. The Company offers consulting, applications development and implementation, maintenance, support, training, and business process outsourcing services. Bravura Solutions serves customers worldwide.

ELMO Software Limited operates as a software service provider. The Company offers cloud-based talent management software solutions which includes hiring, recruitment, on-boarding, performance, learning, and pre-built e-learning courses. ELMO Software serves customers in New Zealand, Singapore, and Australia.

Integrated Research Limited develops, sells and supports system and application management software products.  The Group's software is used by customers for a variety of services, including storage management, data collection, performance tracking, event automation, help desk applications, job scheduling and resource management.

Energy One Limited is a supplier of software and services to the wholesale energy and carbon markets in Australia.  The Company's expertise includes the following areas: Wholesale energy and carbon trading software including front, middle and back offices; Risk management; Consulting in wholesale and retail energy markets; Retail and metering software and database services.

NEXTDC Ltd. develops data centers. The Company develops and operates carrier and systems integrator neutral data centers in Australia. NEXTDC's customers will also be able to use the data centers as connectivity and content hubs.

Vinyl Group Ltd operates as a music company. The Company provides an online record store where creators and music fans can connect and collect records across all genres, powered by official music credits, verifying every creative contribution on every recording. Vinyl Group serves customers worldwide.

Kingsoft Corporation Ltd. develops and markets computer software.  The Company develops role-playing computer games and security, word processing, and spreadsheet software.

Hundsun Technologies Inc develops application software for security firms, commercial banks, fund management firms, and other industries.  The Company also sells computer hardware and provides system integration services.

International Games System Co., Ltd. plans, designs, develops, manufactures, and markets software and hardware for arcade games, PC games, and Internet on-line games.

Varonis Systems, Inc. designs and develops data security software solutions. The Company offers data management systems to organize, manage, and protect unstructured and semi-structured data such as documents, spreadsheets, presentations, media files, and other business data. Varonis Systems operates worldwide.

Blackbaud, Inc. provides software and related services designed specifically for non-profit organizations. The Company's products and services enable non-profit organizations to increase donations, reduce fundraising costs, improve communication with constituents, manage their finances, and optimize internal operations.

Qualys, Inc. provides information technology security risk and compliance management solutions. The Company offers products for vulnerability management, policy compliance, web application scanning, malware detection, and associated security products. Qualys conducts business in the United States.

CommVault Systems, Inc. provides data management software applications and related services. The Company develops, markets, and sells a suite of data management software applications designed to protect and manage data throughout its lifecycle.

Trend Micro Incorporated develops and markets anti-virus computer software and internet security software.  The Company also sells its products in the United States, Europe, and Asia.

Tata Elxsi Limited manufactures computers and workstations besides providing system design, software development and integration services. The Group supplies its products to a number of industries, including the automotive, metals, consumer products, finance, IT & Communications, energy, chemicals, engineering, pharmaceuticals, entertainment and agro industries.

ACI Worldwide, Inc. develops, markets, and supports software products for the global electronics funds transfer market.  The Company's products are used to process transactions involving credit cards, debit cards, smartcards, home banking services, checks, and automated clearing and settlement.

Altium Limited develops electronic design automation (EDA) software for the Microsoft Windows operating system.  Altium's products facilitate and aid in the design of electronic products such as printed circuit boards.  The Group's products are utilized by telecommunications, automotive, defense, science and consumer electronics industries.

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Altium Ltd (ALU AU)

MVIS Australia Equal Weight Index Rebalance Preview: Deletes, Close Deletes, Capping Changes

With a couple of weeks to review cutoff, there are two stocks in deletion zone and another two that are close to the deletion zone. Most likely, no...

Brian Freitas

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Feb 17th): Suncorp, Corporate Travel, Incitec Pivot, BHP, Endeavour

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Suncorp, Corporate Travel, Incitec Pivot, Bhp,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

S&P/ASX All Technology Index: GICS Changes, Market Consultation & Potential Index Changes

Changes to the GICS structure will result in deletions from the S&P/ASX All Tech Index in March. There could be 4 deletions if the index universe...

Brian Freitas

Telus Revokes It’s A$9.50 Bid for Appen

Telus pulled its A$9.50 indicative offer likely due to the weak trading update. Nevertheless, Appen’s depressed share price will continue to...

Arun George

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

MVIS Australia Equal Weight Index Rebalance Preview: Deletes, Close Deletes, Capping Changes

With a couple of weeks to review cutoff, there are two stocks in deletion zone and another two that are close to the deletion zone. Most likely, no...

Brian Freitas

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Feb 17th): Suncorp, Corporate Travel, Incitec Pivot, BHP, Endeavour

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Suncorp, Corporate Travel, Incitec Pivot, Bhp,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

S&P/ASX All Technology Index: GICS Changes, Market Consultation & Potential Index Changes

Changes to the GICS structure will result in deletions from the S&P/ASX All Tech Index in March. There could be 4 deletions if the index universe...

Brian Freitas

Readytech (RDY AU): Microequities Baulks At PEP's A$4.50/Share Indicative Offer

Given the indictive nature, trading at an 8.9% gross spread. I'd be disinclined to chase this given the number of no-deals in this space, and...

David Blennerhassett

Telus Revokes It’s A$9.50 Bid for Appen

Telus pulled its A$9.50 indicative offer likely due to the weak trading update. Nevertheless, Appen’s depressed share price will continue to...

Arun George