Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Oct 21st.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in BYD, Conch Venture, Shandong Weigao.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Oct 21st.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in BYD, Conch Venture, Shandong Weigao.


HK Short Interest Weekly: BYD, Conch Venture, Shandong Weigao.

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>On the IPO front, Blibli managed to upsize its IPO, while a few companies will launch their Indian IPOs in the coming week.</li>
<li>There were no notable placements this week, which wasn't surprising after Monday's market turmoil.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
On the IPO front, Blibli managed to upsize its IPO, while a few companies will launch their Indian IPOs in the coming week.
There were no notable placements this week, which wasn't surprising after Monday's market turmoil.


ECM Weekly (30th Oct 2022) - Giant Biogene, Sunshine, I-Tail, Global Health, Lygend, Fusion, Blibli

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<div><ul><li>Competition on user time spend intensified in 3Q22. Per MoonFox data, in 3Q22, average number of apps installed per capita was 74 in 3Q22, up from 71 in 2Q22 and 66 in 3Q21, while average user time spend per capita per day on apps was 5.4 hours, flat QoQ and declined 0.1 hour YoY, indicating an intensifying competition on user time spend.</li><li>Leading internet giants are enlarging their shares in user time spend: combined user time spend on apps related to Tencent, ByteDance, Alibaba and Baidu accounted for 69.3% of total user time spend in Sep 2022 (Sep 2021: 68.5%; Jun 2022: 68.4%).</li><li>Tencent related apps grew its share in user time spend to 28.3% in Sep 2022 (Sep 2021: 26.7%; June 2022: 27.5%), which in our view could be attributed to the robust ramp-up of Video Accounts, indicating additional monetization opportunities ahead.</li></ul></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Competition on user time spend intensified in 3Q22. Per MoonFox data, in 3Q22, average number of apps installed per capita was 74 in 3Q22, up from 71 in 2Q22 and 66 in 3Q21, while average user time spend per capita per day on apps was 5.4 hours, flat QoQ and declined 0.1 hour YoY, indicating an intensifying competition on user time spend.Leading internet giants are enlarging their shares in user time spend: combined user time spend on apps related to Tencent, ByteDance, Alibaba and Baidu accounted for 69.3% of total user time spend in Sep 2022 (Sep 2021: 68.5%; Jun 2022: 68.4%).Tencent related apps grew its share in user time spend to 28.3% in Sep 2022 (Sep 2021: 26.7%; June 2022: 27.5%), which in our view could be attributed to the robust ramp-up of Video Accounts, indicating additional monetization opportunities ahead.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Internet Sector – 3Q22 industry data trend recap

Financials & FinTech research, Galliano’s Financials Research

Victor Galliano

Financials & FinTech research

Financials & FinTech, EM & Developed Markets

Galliano’s Financials Research

Galliano's Financials Research provides fundamental research in Emerging Markets financials, including FinTech, as well as financials in select Developed Markets.

The investment style applied is generally value oriented, although Growth At Reasonable Price (GARP) strategies can also be used where appropriate. 

Our investment research approach aim is often contrarian, looking to capitalise on overly sceptical or optimistic consensus views. In terms of valuation techniques, the focus is on PBV ratio to ROE, PE multiples and dividend yield, as well as the application of PEG ratios and, where appropriate, Sum of the Parts (SOTP) valuations.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Softbank Group’s share price has been supported by the share buyback programme since late September, but 2Q FY2022 results are likely act as a negative catalyst for Softbank shares</li>
<li>Alibaba and its core listed holdings in the Vision Funds have seen market values go lower in recent months; see the diverging market price chart trends in this report</li>
<li>In addition, valuations among the unlisted holdings are also under pressure into October, so 2Q results may not capture the full extent of the down rounds</li>
</ul>


Softbank Group’s share price has been supported by the share buyback programme since late September, but 2Q FY2022 results are likely act as a negative catalyst for Softbank shares
Alibaba and its core listed holdings in the Vision Funds have seen market values go lower in recent months; see the diverging market price chart trends in this report
In addition, valuations among the unlisted holdings are also under pressure into October, so 2Q results may not capture the full extent of the down rounds


Softbank Group (9984 JP) – Defying Gravity into 4Q 2022

Equity Bottom-Up

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Bottom-Up

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>Alibaba’s earnings recovery will be aided by the streamlining of new businesses and operation optimization across business lines.</li><li>Macro headwinds and low consumption sentiment dampened Alibaba’s GMV growth of China commerce marketplace in 1H22, but we do expect gradual recovery in 2023, which could provide additional support for earnings recovery.</li><li>International expansion and cloud business remain on track for long-term development, despite some short- term challenges.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p></div></div></div></div>

Alibaba’s earnings recovery will be aided by the streamlining of new businesses and operation optimization across business lines.Macro headwinds and low consumption sentiment dampened Alibaba’s GMV growth of China commerce marketplace in 1H22, but we do expect gradual recovery in 2023, which could provide additional support for earnings recovery.International expansion and cloud business remain on track for long-term development, despite some short- term challenges.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Alibaba (BABA US) – Consolidate strength, growing new horizons

China

Alibaba Group Holding Limited provides online sales services. The Company provides internet infrastructure, electronic commerce, online financial, and internet content services through its subsidiaries. Alibaba Group Holding offers its products and services worldwide.

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Alibaba Group Holding (BABA US)

HK Short Interest Weekly: BYD, Conch Venture, Shandong Weigao.

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of {} and highlight short interest changes in BYD, Conch Venture, Shandong...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

ECM Weekly (30th Oct 2022) - Giant Biogene, Sunshine, I-Tail, Global Health, Lygend, Fusion, Blibli

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

China Internet Sector – 3Q22 industry data trend recap

Combined user time spend on apps related to Tencent, ByteDance, Alibaba and Baidu accounted for 69.3% of total user time spend in Sep 2022 (Sep...

CMB International

Softbank Group (9984 JP) – Defying Gravity into 4Q 2022

Softbank's share price has defied gravity of late, diverging from the trends of its listed holdings but we see clear hurdles going forward from the...

Victor Galliano

Alibaba (BABA US) – Consolidate strength, growing new horizons

Alibaba’s earnings recovery will be aided by the streamlining of new businesses and operation optimization across business lines.

CMB International

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