HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Many have missed out on the 14%, or 2,300 points, rally of the HSI in the last 9 trading days. There are still several stocks that look interesting now.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/li-auto-inc-3dbe6187-544f-40dd-b9f9-72fba9c0110e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33811:1" rel="noopener">Li Auto (2015 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:872:1" rel="noopener">Link REIT (823 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mengniu-dairy-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:354:1" rel="noopener">China Mengniu Dairy Co (2319 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-lung-properties-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:49:1" rel="noopener">Hang Lung Properties (101 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/galaxy-entertainment-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:806:1" rel="noopener">Galaxy Entertainment Group (27 HK)</a> are massive laggards YTD.</li>
<li>As they have only experienced limited rebounds from the 19-Apr trough, they are set to catch up. Also, their earnings prospects look positive this year. </li>
</ul>


Many have missed out on the 14%, or 2,300 points, rally of the HSI in the last 9 trading days. There are still several stocks that look interesting now.

Li Auto (2015 HK), Link REIT (823 HK), China Mengniu Dairy Co (2319 HK), Hang Lung Properties (101 HK) and Galaxy Entertainment Group (27 HK) are massive laggards YTD.
As they have only experienced limited rebounds from the 19-Apr trough, they are set to catch up. Also, their earnings prospects look positive this year. 


HK Strategy: Where Are the Short-Term Opportunities?

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Hang Seng China Enterprises Index / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The HSCEI 2024 dividend futures have moved higher following mainland China banks announcing that they will pay out interim dividends starting this year.</li>
<li>The HSCEI 2025 dividend futures have moved higher too, though they have lagged the HSCEI 2024 dividend futures.</li>
<li>Even though the HSCEI 2024/25 dividend steepener has dropped by around 10 points in the last few weeks, we see further downside in the near-term.</li>
</ul>


The HSCEI 2024 dividend futures have moved higher following mainland China banks announcing that they will pay out interim dividends starting this year.
The HSCEI 2025 dividend futures have moved higher too, though they have lagged the HSCEI 2024 dividend futures.
Even though the HSCEI 2024/25 dividend steepener has dropped by around 10 points in the last few weeks, we see further downside in the near-term.


HSCEI Dividend Futures: Sell the 2024/25 Steepener

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/honasa-consumer-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36117:1" rel="noopener">Honasa Consumer (HONASA IN)</a> raised about US$200m in its India IPO. Its pre-IPO investors will be released from its IPO linked lockup soon.</li>
<li>HC’s product portfolio includes products in the baby care, face care, body care, hair care, color cosmetics and fragrances segments.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the upcoming lock-up expiry and possible deal dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Honasa Consumer (HONASA IN) raised about US$200m in its India IPO. Its pre-IPO investors will be released from its IPO linked lockup soon.
HC’s product portfolio includes products in the baby care, face care, body care, hair care, color cosmetics and fragrances segments.
In this note, we talk about the upcoming lock-up expiry and possible deal dynamics.


Honasa Consumer IPO Lock-Up Expiry - US$500m+ Lockup Expiry with Everyone Well in the Money

Equity Capital Markets

China Resources Beverage / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-resources-beverage" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41984:1" rel="noopener">China Resources Beverage</a> is looking to raise US$1bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>China Resources Beverage manufactures and sells packaged drinking water and RTD soft beverages in China.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



China Resources Beverage is looking to raise US$1bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
China Resources Beverage manufactures and sells packaged drinking water and RTD soft beverages in China.
In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.


China Resources Beverage Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Remains a Minnow in Other Markets

Super Hi International Holding / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/super-hi-international-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36125:1" rel="noopener">Super Hi International Holding (9658 HK)</a> aims to raise around US$100m in its US ADR IPO. MS and Huatai are on the deal.</li>
<li>Super Hi International (SHI) is a Chinese cuisine restaurant brand, operating Haidilao hot pot restaurants in the international market. </li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics and the listing impact.</li>
</ul>



Super Hi International Holding (9658 HK) aims to raise around US$100m in its US ADR IPO. MS and Huatai are on the deal.
Super Hi International (SHI) is a Chinese cuisine restaurant brand, operating Haidilao hot pot restaurants in the international market. 
In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics and the listing impact.


Super Hi International US ADS - Has Been Doing Well but Doesn’t Really Need the Cash

China

Alibaba Group Holding Limited provides online sales services. The Company provides internet infrastructure, electronic commerce, online financial, and internet content services through its subsidiaries. Alibaba Group Holding offers its products and services worldwide.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Alibaba Group Holding (BABA US)

HK Strategy: Where Are the Short-Term Opportunities?

Li Auto, Link REIT, China Mengniu, Hang Lung Properties, and Galaxy Entertainment are massive laggards YTD but the recent rebound from the trough...

Osbert Tang, CFA

HSCEI Dividend Futures: Sell the 2024/25 Steepener

The HSCEI 2054 div futures have moved higher following China banks announcing that interim dividends will be paid. There is some upside from...

Brian Freitas

Honasa Consumer IPO Lock-Up Expiry - US$500m+ Lockup Expiry with Everyone Well in the Money

Honasa Consumer (HONASA IN) raised about US$200m in its India IPO. Its pre-IPO investors will be released from its IPO linked lockup soon.

Sumeet Singh

China Resources Beverage Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Remains a Minnow in Other Markets

China Resources Beverage is looking to raise US$1bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the...

Sumeet Singh

Super Hi International US ADS - Has Been Doing Well but Doesn’t Really Need the Cash

Super Hi International Holding (9658 HK) aims to raise around US$100m in its US ADS offering. MS and Huatai are on the deal.

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)