Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We believe revenue will increase by 8% YoY in 1Q25, as most business lines have been growing.</li>
<li>We believe the operating margin will be stable, as cost cut plans came to an end.</li>
<li>We set an upside of 94% for March 2025, as we believe the stock is overly impacted.</li>
</ul>


We believe revenue will increase by 8% YoY in 1Q25, as most business lines have been growing.
We believe the operating margin will be stable, as cost cut plans came to an end.
We set an upside of 94% for March 2025, as we believe the stock is overly impacted.


Alibaba (BABA US): 1Q25 Preview, Stable Growth and Margin, But Overly Impacted

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Andy Fu

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

<ul>
<li>On August 7th, Meituan's on-demand order volume reached a historical high of 98mn on surging orders from street drinks. Meituan has connected to the backend systems of street drink vendors;</li>
<li>Delivery order is a double-edged sword. It boosts volume at the expense of margin. Further, the ownership of the volume is questionable;</li>
<li>With Pin-hao-fan, Meituan already atomized the small restaurants. Now Meituan is playing the same trick with street drinks. The result will be more dramatic to the benefit of Meituan.</li>
</ul>


On August 7th, Meituan's on-demand order volume reached a historical high of 98mn on surging orders from street drinks. Meituan has connected to the backend systems of street drink vendors;
Delivery order is a double-edged sword. It boosts volume at the expense of margin. Further, the ownership of the volume is questionable;
With Pin-hao-fan, Meituan already atomized the small restaurants. Now Meituan is playing the same trick with street drinks. The result will be more dramatic to the benefit of Meituan.


O2O Playing a More Prominent Role in China Street Drinks

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>BABA US/PDD US/JD US: Douyin launches new merchant tool designed to avoid low-price competition (+/+/+)</li>
<li>BABA US/JD US: JD strategy change to focus on beauty products (-/+)</li>
<li>BABA US: Freshippo launches self-branded products on the Lazada. (/)</li>
</ul>


BABA US/PDD US/JD US: Douyin launches new merchant tool designed to avoid low-price competition (+/+/+)
BABA US/JD US: JD strategy change to focus on beauty products (-/+)
BABA US: Freshippo launches self-branded products on the Lazada. (/)


[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:BABA US/PDD US/JD US/3690 HK/700 HK/BILI US

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ola-electric-mobility-pvt-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40618:1" rel="noopener">Ola Electric</a> managed to raise around US$734m in its India IPO.</li>
<li>Ola Electric Mobility is a vertically integrated pure EV player in India with manufacturing capabilities for EVs and EV components, including cells</li>
<li>In our previous notes, we looked at the company’s past performance and valuations. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Ola Electric managed to raise around US$734m in its India IPO.
Ola Electric Mobility is a vertically integrated pure EV player in India with manufacturing capabilities for EVs and EV components, including cells
In our previous notes, we looked at the company’s past performance and valuations. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.


Ola Electric IPO Trading - Decent Anchor, Tepid Overall Demand

China Resources Beverage / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-resources-beverage" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41984:1" rel="noopener">China Resources Beverage</a> is looking to raise US$1bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>China Resources Beverage manufactures and sells packaged drinking water and RTD soft beverages in China.</li>
<li>In our earlier note, we talked about the company’s past performance. In this note, we will undertake a peer comparison.</li>
</ul>



China Resources Beverage is looking to raise US$1bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
China Resources Beverage manufactures and sells packaged drinking water and RTD soft beverages in China.
In our earlier note, we talked about the company’s past performance. In this note, we will undertake a peer comparison.


China Resources Beverage Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison - Middling

China

Alibaba Group Holding Limited provides online sales services. The Company provides internet infrastructure, electronic commerce, online financial, and internet content services through its subsidiaries. Alibaba Group Holding offers its products and services worldwide.

Price Gauge
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Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK)

Alibaba (BABA US): 1Q25 Preview, Stable Growth and Margin, But Overly Impacted

We believe revenue will increase by 8% YoY in 1Q25, as most business lines have been growing. We believe the operating margin will be stable, as...

Ming Lu

O2O Playing a More Prominent Role in China Street Drinks

Meituan benefits from surge in delivery orders for street drinks, reaching record high order volume on August 7. Street drink brands are more rely...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:BABA US/PDD US/JD US/3690 HK/700 HK/BILI US

Chinese e-commerce giants are implementing new strategies to combat low-price competition and focus on beauty products, with Freshippo launching...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ola Electric IPO Trading - Decent Anchor, Tepid Overall Demand

Ola Electric managed to raise around US$734m in its India IPO. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics. While the anchor book was decent,...

Sumeet Singh

China Resources Beverage Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison - Middling

China Resources Beverage is looking to raise US$1bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. We have looked at the company's past performance in our previous...

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Alibaba (BABA US): 1Q25 Preview, Stable Growth and Margin, But Overly Impacted

We believe revenue will increase by 8% YoY in 1Q25, as most business lines have been growing. We believe the operating margin will be stable, as...

Ming Lu

O2O Playing a More Prominent Role in China Street Drinks

​Meituan benefits from surge in delivery orders for street drinks, reaching record high order volume on August 7. Street drink brands are more rely...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:BABA US/PDD US/JD US/3690 HK/700 HK/BILI US

​Chinese e-commerce giants are implementing new strategies to combat low-price competition and focus on beauty products, with Freshippo launching...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ola Electric IPO Trading - Decent Anchor, Tepid Overall Demand

Ola Electric managed to raise around US$734m in its India IPO. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics. While the anchor book was decent,...

Sumeet Singh

China Resources Beverage Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison - Middling

China Resources Beverage is looking to raise US$1bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. We have looked at the company's past performance in our previous...

Sumeet Singh

Meituan benefits from surge in delivery orders for street drinks, reaching record high order volume on August 7. Street drink brands are more rely...

Chinese e-commerce giants are implementing new strategies to combat low-price competition and focus on beauty products, with Freshippo launching...