Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>On the IPO front,  Indian IPOs continue to trickle in, while other regions appear to be waking up from their slumber.</li>
<li>There were a few GDR issuances this week, along with another placement in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/axis-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:768:1" rel="noopener">Axis Bank Ltd (AXSB IN)</a> and a number of lock-up expiries. </li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
On the IPO front,  Indian IPOs continue to trickle in, while other regions appear to be waking up from their slumber.
There were a few GDR issuances this week, along with another placement in Axis Bank Ltd (AXSB IN) and a number of lock-up expiries. 


ECM Weekly (13th Nov 2022) - I-Tail, Blibli, Nykaa, PB Fin, Five Star, Archean, GDRs, Axis Bank

Greater China Equity Long/Short Analyst

Eric Chen

Equity Bottom-Up

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Company fundamentals have been and will continue to be the single most critical driver for BABA’s share price, although strong US dollar and geopolitics may complicate the situation.</li>
<li>Expect BABA’s bottomline to reverse an eight-quarter down trend in coming September quarter on the back of disciplined capex and cost cutting, despite a challenging macro environment still pressuring topline.</li>
<li>Importantly, investors have yet fully appreciated the improving competitive landscape thanks to regulation and rivals’ maturing businesses. See 30% upside in 6-12 months. Ripe timing to buy. </li>
</ul>


Company fundamentals have been and will continue to be the single most critical driver for BABA’s share price, although strong US dollar and geopolitics may complicate the situation.
Expect BABA’s bottomline to reverse an eight-quarter down trend in coming September quarter on the back of disciplined capex and cost cutting, despite a challenging macro environment still pressuring topline.
Importantly, investors have yet fully appreciated the improving competitive landscape thanks to regulation and rivals’ maturing businesses. See 30% upside in 6-12 months. Ripe timing to buy. 


Asia biased macro & technical analysis, Untying The Gordian Knot

Untying The Gordian Knot

Asia biased macro & technical analysis

A differentiated process with a primary focus on Asia. Technical Analysis as core and Macro drivers that could bring the view to fruition & changes that could make the idea fall apart. The objective is to be the best in class, hence corner shop.

Technical Analysis

Country Garden Holdings Co / Technical Analysis

<ul><li>Wish had more conviction for writing this update. The framework for determining if the bounce is durable or if a trend reversal has occurred is not working or is not clear.</li><li>Stocks that could see tailwinds and drivers for a sustained rally do not have the Volume to confirm the trend change.</li><li>At the same time, stocks with massive headwinds and structural issues have high Volumes.</li></ul>

Wish had more conviction for writing this update. The framework for determining if the bounce is durable or if a trend reversal has occurred is not working or is not clear.Stocks that could see tailwinds and drivers for a sustained rally do not have the Volume to confirm the trend change.At the same time, stocks with massive headwinds and structural issues have high Volumes.

Country Garden, China Resource Land, Alibaba, and HSBC

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>In the short term, macro headwind has weighed on consumption willingness and YoY growth in online retail sales of physical goods, and the consistent recovery of growth could still take time, but we do expect a gradual recovery trend driven by gradual recovery in macro and easier comps trending into 2023.</li><li>Amid soft consumption willingness, e-commerce companies are focusing on addressing the demand of core membership user base and enhancing merchant engagement in recent Double 11 sales promotions in order to drive for higher efficiency.</li><li>The strategic move of leveraging established consumer mindshare to control sales promotion intensity and to adopt more strict cost saving plans could be focal points to drive near-term profit growth.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

In the short term, macro headwind has weighed on consumption willingness and YoY growth in online retail sales of physical goods, and the consistent recovery of growth could still take time, but we do expect a gradual recovery trend driven by gradual recovery in macro and easier comps trending into 2023.Amid soft consumption willingness, e-commerce companies are focusing on addressing the demand of core membership user base and enhancing merchant engagement in recent Double 11 sales promotions in order to drive for higher efficiency.The strategic move of leveraging established consumer mindshare to control sales promotion intensity and to adopt more strict cost saving plans could be focal points to drive near-term profit growth.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Internet Sector – E-commerce: consistent recovery takes time

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Oct 28th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in CCB, Alibaba, trip.com, and AIA.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Oct 28th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in CCB, Alibaba, trip.com, and AIA.


HK Short Interest Weekly: CCB, Alibaba, Trip.com, AIA

China

Alibaba Group Holding Limited provides online sales services. The Company provides internet infrastructure, electronic commerce, online financial, and internet content services through its subsidiaries. Alibaba Group Holding offers its products and services worldwide.

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Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK)

ECM Weekly (13th Nov 2022) - I-Tail, Blibli, Nykaa, PB Fin, Five Star, Archean, GDRs, Axis Bank

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

BABA: Timing Is Ripe to Build Positions

Alibaba's fundamental is approaching a turning point after a two year downturn. This will trigger a meaningful re-rating which will see above 30%...

Eric Chen

Country Garden, China Resource Land, Alibaba, and HSBC

Wish had more conviction for writing this update. The framework for determining if the bounce is durable or if a trend reversal has occurred is not...

Untying The Gordian Knot

China Internet Sector – E-commerce: consistent recovery takes time

Amid soft consumption willingness, e-commerce companies are focusing on addressing the demand of core membership user base and enhancing merchant...

CMB International

HK Short Interest Weekly: CCB, Alibaba, Trip.com, AIA

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Oct 28th and highlight short interest changes in CCB, Alibaba, trip.com,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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52-week Range

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