Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Hotel Property Investments / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Declaring its Offer unconditional was always a possibility as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hotel-property-investments" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9850:1" rel="noopener">Hotel Property Investments (HPI AU)</a> board continues to reject terms. The alternative was a likely deal fail.</li>
<li>Charter Halls currently has 31.37%, including 6.66% via the acceptance facility.  That facility has now closed following this unconditional statement. </li>
<li>It will be challenging for Charter Hall to clear 50% without board support. But IF they get 50%+, expect the board to change their mind and recommend shareholders accept terms.</li>
</ul>


Declaring its Offer unconditional was always a possibility as Hotel Property Investments (HPI AU) board continues to reject terms. The alternative was a likely deal fail.
Charter Halls currently has 31.37%, including 6.66% via the acceptance facility.  That facility has now closed following this unconditional statement. 
It will be challenging for Charter Hall to clear 50% without board support. But IF they get 50%+, expect the board to change their mind and recommend shareholders accept terms.


Hotel Properties (HPI AU): Charter Hall Declares Offer Unconditional

<ul>
<li>Back on the 9th September, pub play <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hotel-property-investments" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9850:1" rel="noopener">Hotel Property Investments (HPI AU)</a> announced - and summarily <a href="https://announcements.asx.com.au/asxpdf/20240909/pdf/067ntttrhq85j9.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">rejected</a> - a A$3.65/share cash Offer from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/charter-hall-retail-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11375:1" rel="noopener">Charter Hall Retail Reit (CQR AU)</a>.</li>
<li>Charter Hall has now <a href="https://announcements.asx.com.au/asxpdf/20241018/pdf/0698jwgh9vfx9k.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">increased terms to A$3.85/share</a> (best &amp; final), a 17.7% premium to undisturbed. The Offer remains conditional on an 50.1% minimum acceptance condition. Charter Hall holds 14.7%. </li>
<li>
HPI's <a href="https://www.sharecafe.com.au/2024/10/18/charter-hall-ups-the-ante-with-final-hpi-bid/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">reported</a> response? "While Charter Hall’s improved offer provides an attractive exit for shareholders, we remain committed to evaluating all options that deliver the best long-term value."</li>
</ul>


Back on the 9th September, pub play Hotel Property Investments (HPI AU) announced - and summarily rejected - a A$3.65/share cash Offer from Charter Hall Retail Reit (CQR AU).
Charter Hall has now increased terms to A$3.85/share (best &amp; final), a 17.7% premium to undisturbed. The Offer remains conditional on an 50.1% minimum acceptance condition. Charter Hall holds 14.7%. 

HPI's reported response? "While Charter Hall’s improved offer provides an attractive exit for shareholders, we remain committed to evaluating all options that deliver the best long-term value."


<ul>
<li>Pub play <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hotel-property-investments" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9850:1" rel="noopener">Hotel Property Investments (HPI AU)</a> has announced - and summarily <a href="https://announcements.asx.com.au/asxpdf/20240909/pdf/067ntttrhq85j9.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">rejected</a> - a A$3.65/share cash Offer from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/charter-hall-retail-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11375:1" rel="noopener">Charter Hall Retail Reit (CQR AU)</a>.</li>
<li>Terms are a 14.8% premium to the undisturbed share price on March 28; following which a 14.8% "strategic interest" (@ A$3.35/share) was <a href="https://announcements.asx.com.au/asxpdf/20240328/pdf/061yzcklzj5ndh.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">acquired</a> by CQR and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/charter-hall-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5593:1" rel="noopener">Charter Hall (CHC AU)</a>.  </li>
<li>
The Offer is subject to a 50.1% acceptance hurdle. The Offer should be open for acceptances around the 23 September.</li>
</ul>


Pub play Hotel Property Investments (HPI AU) has announced - and summarily rejected - a A$3.65/share cash Offer from Charter Hall Retail Reit (CQR AU).
Terms are a 14.8% premium to the undisturbed share price on March 28; following which a 14.8% "strategic interest" (@ A$3.35/share) was acquired by CQR and Charter Hall (CHC AU).  

The Offer is subject to a 50.1% acceptance hurdle. The Offer should be open for acceptances around the 23 September.


Hotel Property (HPI AU) Rejects Charter Hall's A$3.65/Share Offer

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

In July 2021, Australia's largest freehold pub properties owner <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ale-property-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7484:1" rel="noopener">Ale Property (LEP AU)</a> ("ALE") received an "unsolicited, confidential, conditional, non-binding indicative proposal" from the Charter Hall Consortium (a consortium managed by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/charter-hall-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5593:1" rel="noopener">Charter Hall (CHC AU)</a> comprising <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/charter-hall-long-wale-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24076:1" rel="noopener">Charter Hall Long Wale Reit (CLW AU)</a> ("CLW") and superannuation fund Hostplus). The Independent Board Committee established by ALE's Board assessed the proposal and decided to grant the Charter Hall Consortium a period of due diligence.A couple of months later, on 20th September 2021, ALE announced they had entered into a Scheme Implementation Deed with the Charter Hall Consortium. Based on this agreement, ALE securityholders will have the default option of accepting 0.4080 CLW securities and cash of A$3.673 as consideration per ALE security or they can choose between an all-scrip consideration of 1.1546 CLW securities/ALE Security and an all-cash consideration of A$5.681 cash/ALE security. On top of that, ALE securityholders will also be entitled to receive ALE's September quarter distribution of A$0.055/ALE security. More below the fold. <hr>For more information about M&amp;A rules, regulations, and practices in Australia, please refer to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/quiddity-australia-m-a-guide-2019" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:30118" rel="noopener">Quiddity Australia M&amp;A Guide 2019</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/quiddity-m-a-australia-foreign-investment-reforms" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:40210" rel="noopener">Quiddity M&amp;A: Australia Foreign Investment Reforms</a>

In July 2021, Australia's largest freehold pub properties owner Ale Property (LEP AU) ("ALE") received an "unsolicited, confidential, conditional, non-binding indicative proposal" from the Charter Hall Consortium (a consortium managed by Charter Hall (CHC AU) comprising Charter Hall Long Wale Reit (CLW AU) ("CLW") and superannuation fund Hostplus). The Independent Board Committee established by ALE's Board assessed the proposal and decided to grant the Charter Hall Consortium a period of due diligence.A couple of months later, on 20th September 2021, ALE announced they had entered into a Scheme Implementation Deed with the Charter Hall Consortium. Based on this agreement, ALE securityholders will have the default option of accepting 0.4080 CLW securities and cash of A$3.673 as consideration per ALE security or they can choose between an all-scrip consideration of 1.1546 CLW securities/ALE Security and an all-cash consideration of A$5.681 cash/ALE security. On top of that, ALE securityholders will also be entitled to receive ALE's September quarter distribution of A$0.055/ALE security. More below the fold. For more information about M&amp;A rules, regulations, and practices in Australia, please refer to Quiddity Australia M&amp;A Guide 2019 and Quiddity M&amp;A: Australia Foreign Investment Reforms 

ALE-Charter Hall: A Post-Lockdown Bet on Australian Pubs

Leading Independent Investment Research, Morningstar, Inc.

Morningstar

Leading Independent Investment Research

Morningstar, Inc.

Morningstar, Inc. is a leading provider of independent investment research in North America, Europe, Australia, and Asia. We offer an extensive line of products and services for individual investors, financial advisors, asset managers, and retirement plan providers and sponsors. 

Morningstar provides data on more than 500,000 investment offerings, including stocks, mutual funds, and similar vehicles, along with real-time global market data on more than 16 million equities, indexes, futures, options, commodities, and precious metals, in addition to foreign exchange and Treasury markets. Morningstar also offers investment management services through its investment advisory subsidiaries, with more than $180 billion in assets under advisement or management as of June 30, 2015. We have operations in 27 countries.

Download the Morningstar Fact Sheet : http://corporate.morningstar.com/US/documents/MarketingFactSheets/AboutMorningstarFactsheet.pdf

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

As a consequence of increasing global risks, tougher regulatory demands, intensifying pressure on net interest margins, higher bad debts and lower than expected returns on equity we reduce earnings forecasts, fair value estimates and rebase medium- to longer-term dividend payout ratios lower to more sustainable long-term levels for three of the four wide moat-rated Australian banks: Commonwealth Bank of Australia, National Australia Bank and Westpac Banking Corporation. We cut Australia and New Zealand Banking Group's earnings forecasts and fair value estimate in March 2016 and now rebase its longer-term dividend payout ratio lower. Our preferred banks are the big retail-focused, New South Wales-based, banks Westpac and Commonwealth Bank due to their lower risk profiles, higher ROEs, higher NIMs, lower cost/income ratios, consistently lower-loan-loss rates, less volatility in earnings, and larger exposures to the strongly performing New South Wales economy.Analyst: David Ellis

As a consequence of increasing global risks, tougher regulatory demands, intensifying pressure on net interest margins, higher bad debts and lower than expected returns on equity we reduce earnings forecasts, fair value estimates and rebase medium- to longer-term dividend payout ratios lower to more sustainable long-term levels for three of the four wide moat-rated Australian banks: Commonwealth Bank of Australia, National Australia Bank and Westpac Banking Corporation. We cut Australia and New Zealand Banking Group's earnings forecasts and fair value estimate in March 2016 and now rebase its longer-term dividend payout ratio lower. Our preferred banks are the big retail-focused, New South Wales-based, banks Westpac and Commonwealth Bank due to their lower risk profiles, higher ROEs, higher NIMs, lower cost/income ratios, consistently lower-loan-loss rates, less volatility in earnings, and larger exposures to the strongly performing New South Wales economy.Analyst: David Ellis

Challenges Mount for the Wide Moat-Rated Australian Banks

Australia

Ale Property Group is a property trust that manages and leases pubs in Australia.  The Group also has property funds management operations.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Ale Property (LEP AU)

Hotel Properties (HPI AU): Charter Hall Declares Offer Unconditional

It will be challenging for Charter Hall to clear 50% without board support. But IF they get 50%+, expect the board to change their mind and...

David Blennerhassett

Charter Hall Bumps With Final HPI Bid

I expected Charter Hall to nudge the terms higher to secure board support. But I don't believe a 5% bump will cut it. If an arbitrageur, I'd be...

David Blennerhassett

ALE-Charter Hall: A Post-Lockdown Bet on Australian Pubs

Australian property fund Charter Hall is acquiring Australia's largest owner of free hold pubs for an equity value of A$1.2bn - a bet on the post...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Challenges Mount for the Wide Moat-Rated Australian Banks

As a consequence of increasing global risks, tougher regulatory demands, intensifying pressure on net interest margins, higher bad debts and lower...

Morningstar, Inc.

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Hotel Properties (HPI AU): Charter Hall Declares Offer Unconditional

It will be challenging for Charter Hall to clear 50% without board support. But IF they get 50%+, expect the board to change their mind and...

David Blennerhassett

Charter Hall Bumps With Final HPI Bid

I expected Charter Hall to nudge the terms higher to secure board support. But I don't believe a 5% bump will cut it. If an arbitrageur, I'd be...

David Blennerhassett

Hotel Property (HPI AU) Rejects Charter Hall's A$3.65/Share Offer

Currently trading marginally through terms. If in, stay in. I'd be happy buying around, or below terms. Expect Charet Hall to bump.

David Blennerhassett

ALE-Charter Hall: A Post-Lockdown Bet on Australian Pubs

Australian property fund Charter Hall is acquiring Australia's largest owner of free hold pubs for an equity value of A$1.2bn - a bet on the post...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Challenges Mount for the Wide Moat-Rated Australian Banks

As a consequence of increasing global risks, tougher regulatory demands, intensifying pressure on net interest margins, higher bad debts and lower...

Morningstar, Inc.