Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cipla-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3918:1" rel="noopener">Cipla Ltd (CIPLA IN)</a> is a strong play in Indian generic pharmaceutical industry, due to its niche and differentiated respiratory and peptide injectable portfolio, which has less competition.</li>
<li>The company has launched couple of complex respiratory products in the US market, which has accelerated its revenue growth. Multiple high-value launches are also lined up for this year.</li>
<li>Cipla’s India business is on a strong footing, led by core portfolio tailwind in prescription and trade generics businesses. Q2FY23 marked the sixth consecutive quarter of market beating growth.</li>
</ul>



Cipla Ltd (CIPLA IN) is a strong play in Indian generic pharmaceutical industry, due to its niche and differentiated respiratory and peptide injectable portfolio, which has less competition.
The company has launched couple of complex respiratory products in the US market, which has accelerated its revenue growth. Multiple high-value launches are also lined up for this year.
Cipla’s India business is on a strong footing, led by core portfolio tailwind in prescription and trade generics businesses. Q2FY23 marked the sixth consecutive quarter of market beating growth.


2023 High Conviction Idea: Cipla (CIPLA IN)- Complex Generics and India Business to Drive Growth

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), ICICI Securities Ltd

ICICI Securities Limited

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

ICICI Securities Ltd

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<ul><li>Ajanta Pharma is a focused player in branded, which constitutes ~72% of overall sales, spread across geographies including India.</li><li>As of Q2FY23, overall exports: domestic formulations ratio was at 66:34</li><li>Among exports, Asia accounts for ~41% of export formulations, Africa 29% and US 30%.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Ajanta Pharma is a focused player in branded, which constitutes ~72% of overall sales, spread across geographies including India.As of Q2FY23, overall exports: domestic formulations ratio was at 66:34Among exports, Asia accounts for ~41% of export formulations, Africa 29% and US 30%.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Ajanta Pharmaceuticals - Margins Weak but Branded Generics Outlook Strong…

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ajanta-pharma-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10053:1" rel="noopener">Ajanta Pharma (AJP IN)</a> has a well-diversified business model in terms of markets and therapies. The company’s largest revenue contributing segment, branded generics is seeing healthy double-digit revenue growth.</li>
<li>Ajanta focuses on limited competition product in US. Going forward, the US business will see accelerated growth, driven by new launches. Ajanta plans to file 10–12 ANDAs during FY23.</li>
<li>Ajanta has taken 1% price increase across all its market, which should drive margin improvement in coming quarters. The company has guided for EBITDA margin of 26–27% for FY23.</li>
</ul>



Ajanta Pharma (AJP IN) has a well-diversified business model in terms of markets and therapies. The company’s largest revenue contributing segment, branded generics is seeing healthy double-digit revenue growth.
Ajanta focuses on limited competition product in US. Going forward, the US business will see accelerated growth, driven by new launches. Ajanta plans to file 10–12 ANDAs during FY23.
Ajanta has taken 1% price increase across all its market, which should drive margin improvement in coming quarters. The company has guided for EBITDA margin of 26–27% for FY23.


Ajanta Pharma (AJP IN): Branded Generics Focus Ensures Consistent Growth

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Most of the large Indian pharmaceutical companies have reported double-digit revenue growth in their respective U.S. business in Q1FY23. New launches are mostly offsetting the impact of price erosion.</li>
<li>Although the companies are still facing price erosion in the U.S. market, the pace has slowed down. Price erosion seems to be near its bottom.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dr-reddy-s-laboratories-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16406:1" rel="noopener">Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zydus-lifesciences-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12914:1" rel="noopener">Zydus Lifesciences Ltd (ZYDUSLIF IN)</a> remain our top picks. Aided by new launches both the companies are seeing sustainable recovery in U.S. business.</li>
</ul>


Most of the large Indian pharmaceutical companies have reported double-digit revenue growth in their respective U.S. business in Q1FY23. New launches are mostly offsetting the impact of price erosion.
Although the companies are still facing price erosion in the U.S. market, the pace has slowed down. Price erosion seems to be near its bottom.

Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN) and Zydus Lifesciences Ltd (ZYDUSLIF IN) remain our top picks. Aided by new launches both the companies are seeing sustainable recovery in U.S. business.


Indian Generic Pharmaceutical Companies: The US Business Is Recovering Slowly

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/piramal-enterprises-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14158:1" rel="noopener">Piramal Enterprises (PIEL IN)</a> obtained shareholders nod for demerging its pharma business and consolidated under Piramal Pharma Limited (PPL). Later, PPL will be listed on India stock exchange.</li>
<li>PPL has a differentiated pharmaceutical business model, with three business verticals. CDMO, the largest revenue contributor, has track record of consistent above-market growth due to its niche and complex capabilities.  </li>
<li>Listed as a separate entity, PPL will see multiple expansion and command premium valuation over other Indian generic drug makers, due to its niche and limited competition portfolio.</li>
</ul>



Piramal Enterprises (PIEL IN) obtained shareholders nod for demerging its pharma business and consolidated under Piramal Pharma Limited (PPL). Later, PPL will be listed on India stock exchange.
PPL has a differentiated pharmaceutical business model, with three business verticals. CDMO, the largest revenue contributor, has track record of consistent above-market growth due to its niche and complex capabilities.  
Listed as a separate entity, PPL will see multiple expansion and command premium valuation over other Indian generic drug makers, due to its niche and limited competition portfolio.


Piramal Enterprises (PIEL IN): Demerger to Create a Differentiated and Niche Pharmaceutical Business

India

Ajanta Pharma Limited is a pharmaceutical company involved in the areas of product research, manufacturing, and marketing. The Company's manufacturing capabilities include segments such as antiretrovirals, antimalarials, cardiovascular, dermatology, and ophthalmology. The Company also markets over the counter products that include some nature-based remedies.

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Ajanta Pharma (AJP IN)

2023 High Conviction Idea: Cipla (CIPLA IN)- Complex Generics and India Business to Drive Growth

Cipla is a strong play on Indian pharma. Riding on a differentiated product portfolio and new launches gaining market share, Cipla is well...

Tina Banerjee

Ajanta Pharmaceuticals - Margins Weak but Branded Generics Outlook Strong…

Ajanta Pharma is a focused player in branded, which constitutes ~72% of overall sales, spread across geographies including India

ICICI Securities Limited