IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nitro-software-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30943:1" rel="noopener">Nitro Software Ltd (NTO AU)</a> has entered into a binding agreement with Alludo at A$2.00 per share via a scheme or an off-market takeover, with a 50.1% minimum acceptance condition.</li>
<li>This is a good move by the Board to force Potentia to improve its off-market takeover bid of A$1.80 per share. Alludo can leverage synergies to support a higher bid.</li>
<li>The shares are trading through Alludo’s terms as there is an expectation of Potentia returning with improved terms. The break fee implies that Potentia needs to offer at least A$2.02.</li>
</ul>



Nitro Software Ltd (NTO AU) has entered into a binding agreement with Alludo at A$2.00 per share via a scheme or an off-market takeover, with a 50.1% minimum acceptance condition.
This is a good move by the Board to force Potentia to improve its off-market takeover bid of A$1.80 per share. Alludo can leverage synergies to support a higher bid.
The shares are trading through Alludo’s terms as there is an expectation of Potentia returning with improved terms. The break fee implies that Potentia needs to offer at least A$2.02.


Nitro (NTO AU)’s Binding Offer from Alludo to Force Potentia’s Hand?

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nitro-software-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30943:1" rel="noopener">Nitro Software Ltd (NTO AU)</a> has received a competing proposal from Alludo. The offer is A$2.00 via a scheme or an off-market takeover at A$2.00, with a 50.1% minimum acceptance condition.</li>
<li>Unsurprisingly, the Board rejected Potentia’s A$1.80 per share off-market takeover offer. Potentia has three options - lift its offer, do nothing or sell into Alludo’s offer. </li>
<li>While Alludo’s offer is 11.1% above Potentia’s offer, it is far from a knockout bid. Therefore, there is a good chance that Potentia returns with improved terms.</li>
</ul>



Nitro Software Ltd (NTO AU) has received a competing proposal from Alludo. The offer is A$2.00 via a scheme or an off-market takeover at A$2.00, with a 50.1% minimum acceptance condition.
Unsurprisingly, the Board rejected Potentia’s A$1.80 per share off-market takeover offer. Potentia has three options - lift its offer, do nothing or sell into Alludo’s offer. 
While Alludo’s offer is 11.1% above Potentia’s offer, it is far from a knockout bid. Therefore, there is a good chance that Potentia returns with improved terms.


Nitro Attracts a Competing Offer from KKR's Alludo

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nitro-software-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30943:1" rel="noopener">Nitro Software Ltd (NTO AU)</a> entered a trading halt in response to Potentia’s off-market takeover offer of A$1.80 per share, a 13.9% premium to its previous rejected offer of A$1.58.</li>
<li>Potentia will block rival schemes and not accept competing takeover offers. This move will make it hard for the Board to convince a rival bidder to table an offer.</li>
<li>Potentia wants a friendly offer and placed majority Board support as a condition. The offer is unattractive but Potentia has hinted at improved terms if provided due diligence access. </li>
</ul>



Nitro Software Ltd (NTO AU) entered a trading halt in response to Potentia’s off-market takeover offer of A$1.80 per share, a 13.9% premium to its previous rejected offer of A$1.58.
Potentia will block rival schemes and not accept competing takeover offers. This move will make it hard for the Board to convince a rival bidder to table an offer.
Potentia wants a friendly offer and placed majority Board support as a condition. The offer is unattractive but Potentia has hinted at improved terms if provided due diligence access. 


Nitro’s Carrot-And-Stick A$1.80 Takeover Offer from Potentia

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nitro-software-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30943:1" rel="noopener">Nitro Software Ltd (NTO AU)</a> entered a trading halt in response to an AFR report that Potentia has lobbed an indicative non-binding proposal at A$1.58 per share.</li>
<li>Potentia’s offer follows its success in securing a 17% stake at A$1.58 per share on Monday night. The stake is large enough to deter rival schemes. </li>
<li>The offer is opportunistic and unattractive. However, the ability of Potentia to relatively quickly secure a significant stake suggests that the Board will be under pressure to engage.</li>
</ul>



Nitro Software Ltd (NTO AU) entered a trading halt in response to an AFR report that Potentia has lobbed an indicative non-binding proposal at A$1.58 per share.
Potentia’s offer follows its success in securing a 17% stake at A$1.58 per share on Monday night. The stake is large enough to deter rival schemes. 
The offer is opportunistic and unattractive. However, the ability of Potentia to relatively quickly secure a significant stake suggests that the Board will be under pressure to engage.


Nitro’s Opportunistic A$1.58 Offer from Potentia

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

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Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Adobe has witnessed a particularly robust demand over Experience Cloud, Document Cloud, and Creative Cloud.</li><li>Adobe is winning in its established business and is viewing significant momentum in innovative categories.</li><li>During the quarter, it hiked prices for particular creative cloud subscriptions which helped the revenue growth.</li></ul>

Adobe has witnessed a particularly robust demand over Experience Cloud, Document Cloud, and Creative Cloud.Adobe is winning in its established business and is viewing significant momentum in innovative categories.During the quarter, it hiked prices for particular creative cloud subscriptions which helped the revenue growth.

Adobe Inc.: Creative Cloud Upside & Other Drivers

United States

VMware, Inc. provides virtualization solutions from the desktop to the data center. The Company's solution products addresses a range of IT problems, which includes cost and operational inefficiencies, business continuity, software lifecycle management and desktop management.

Oracle Corporation supplies software for enterprise information management. The Company offers databases and relational servers, application development and decision support tools, and enterprise business applications. Oracle's software runs on network computers, personal digital assistants, set-top devices, PCs, workstations, minicomputers, mainframes, and massively parallel computers.

Electronic Arts Inc. develops, publishes, and distributes branded interactive entertainment software worldwide for video game consoles, personal computers, handheld game players, and cellular handsets. The Company also provides online game-related services.

ServiceNow, Inc. provides enterprise information technology (IT) management software. The Company designs, develops, and produces prepackaged computer software, cloud services, and IT service management platform. ServiceNow serves customers throughout the United States.

Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. develops, markets and supports a range of software and hardware products and services for information technology (IT) security and offers its customers a network and gateway security solutions, data and endpoint security solutions and management solutions.

Fair Isaac Corporation provides analytics, including predictive modeling, decision analysis, intelligence management, decision management systems, and consulting services.  The Company helps companies in countries around the world acquire customers more efficiently, increase customer value, reduce fraud, lower operating expenses, and enter new markets more profitably.

Synopsys, Inc. supplies electronic design automation solutions to the global electronics market.  The Company provides design technologies to creators of advanced integrated circuits, electronic systems, and systems on a chip. Synopsys also provides consulting services and support to its customers to streamline the overall design process and accelerate time to market.

Activision Blizzard, Inc. publishes, develops, and distributes interactive entertainment software and peripheral products. The Company's products cover diverse game categories, including action/adventure, action sports, racing, role playing, simulation, first-person action, music-based gaming and strategy.

Workday, Inc. provides enterprise cloud-based applications. The Company offers human capital, spend, and financial management, as well as payroll, initiatives and higher education solutions. Workday serves the finance, healthcare, manufacturing, education, and technology industries worldwide.

HubSpot, Inc. provides a cloud-based marketing and sales software platform. The Company offers integrated applications that helps in lead generation and social marketing.

Nintendo Co., Ltd. globally develops, manufactures and sells home-use video game hardware and software in home entertainment business.  The company also produces home-game products including cards.

Nexon Co., Ltd. mainly develops and services, online games for PC and mobile devices. The company also offers consulting services related to online-games. Nexon operates in Japan.

Dassault Systemes operates as a software company. The develops and offers 3Dexperience platform to create innovative new products and services using virtual experiences. Dassault Systemes serves aerospace, construction, business services, consumer packaged goods, high-tech, life science, health care, marine, energy, and industrial equipment industries worldwide.

WiseTech Global Pty Ltd provides various technology and information technology management solutions. The Company offers cloud based various technology platforms, market specific software and logistics technology solutions, such as edienterprise, a platform supply chain logistics management system, software-as-a-service, and clinical management software. 

Constellation Software Inc is a software holding company.  The Company acquires mission-critical, vertical market software companies, and helps them to grow.

Spotify Technology S.A. provides music streaming services. The Company offers commercial free music and ad-supported services to subscribers. Spotify Technology serves clients worldwide.

Dassault Systemes is a technology company. The company provides software applications services designed to support client company's innovation processes. The company's line of business includes provision of 3D design software, 3D digital mock up and product lifecycle Management. Dassault Systemes also provides several software brands.

Xero Limited offers an online accounting system.  The software features bank transaction importing, a cashbook, a general ledger, invoicing, accounts receivable, accounts payable, financial reporting, and management of expense claims.

CAPCOM CO., LTD. develops consumer video game software.  The Company also develops, manufactures, markets, and leases arcade game machines.  Capcom also operates amusement facilities.

International Games System Co., Ltd. plans, designs, develops, manufactures, and markets software and hardware for arcade games, PC games, and Internet on-line games.

Adobe Systems Incorporated develops, markets, and supports computer software products and technologies.  The Company's products allow users to express and use information across all print and electronic media.  Adobe offers a line of application software products, type products, and content for creating, distributing, and managing information.

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Adobe Systems (ADBE US)

Nitro (NTO AU)’s Binding Offer from Alludo to Force Potentia’s Hand?

The shares are trading through Alludo’s terms as there is an expectation of Potentia returning with improved terms. The break fee implies that...

Arun George

Nitro Attracts a Competing Offer from KKR's Alludo

While Alludo’s offer is 11.1% above Potentia’s offer, it is far from a knockout bid. Therefore, there is a good chance that Potentia returns with...

Arun George

Nitro’s Carrot-And-Stick A$1.80 Takeover Offer from Potentia

The offer is unattractive but Potentia has hinted at improved terms if provided due diligence access. An offer of around A$2.00 per share should...

Arun George

Nitro’s Opportunistic A$1.58 Offer from Potentia

AFR reports Potentia has lobbed a bid at A$1.58. While the offer is unattractive, the ability of Potentia to secure a significant stake suggests...

Arun George

Adobe Inc.: Creative Cloud Upside & Other Drivers

Adobe has witnessed a particularly robust demand over Experience Cloud, Document Cloud, and Creative Cloud. Adobe is winning in its established...

Baptista Research

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