Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Strong Revenue Growth Signals Robust Demand in PC and Server Markets for Asustek and Acer</li>
<li>Asus Management Continues to Describe Multi-Year PC Growth Cycle Ahead; 3Q24 Will Be Start of 'New Product Lifecycle'</li>
<li>Visit to Guang Hua Digital Plaza to Review New PC Models First-Hand. Remain Structurally Long PC Makers; Acer, Asus, Dell.</li>
</ul>


Strong Revenue Growth Signals Robust Demand in PC and Server Markets for Asustek and Acer
Asus Management Continues to Describe Multi-Year PC Growth Cycle Ahead; 3Q24 Will Be Start of 'New Product Lifecycle'
Visit to Guang Hua Digital Plaza to Review New PC Models First-Hand. Remain Structurally Long PC Makers; Acer, Asus, Dell.


Asustek & Acer Key Takeaways: Strong July Revenue Growth and 'New Product Life Cycle' Starting 3Q24

Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

<ul><li>Acer's subsidiaries are driving growth, providing resilience and optimism in the face of shifts in the PC market.</li><li>China's smartphone industry is experiencing a boom in the second quarter of 2024, indicating strong potential for growth.</li><li>A potential US ban on Chinese vehicle technology could deepen the technology rift with lasting effects, impacting various industries.</li></ul>

Acer's subsidiaries are driving growth, providing resilience and optimism in the face of shifts in the PC market.China's smartphone industry is experiencing a boom in the second quarter of 2024, indicating strong potential for growth.A potential US ban on Chinese vehicle technology could deepen the technology rift with lasting effects, impacting various industries.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (09-Aug-2024): Acer subs drive growth, boost resilience amid PC changes.

<ul>
<li>Given market concerns that AI is overhyped and not yet delivering sufficient value, we analyze Microsoft's Copilot disclosures and examine signs of AI services traction among corporate clients.</li>
<li>Signs indicate that Copilot is gaining substantial traction with corporate clients, adding value to software development, business operations, and healthcare documentation functions.</li>
<li>The number of organizations paying for MSFT's AI services is expanding rapidly. We view this as a promising indicator of increased AI adoption and substantial value creation.</li>
</ul>


Given market concerns that AI is overhyped and not yet delivering sufficient value, we analyze Microsoft's Copilot disclosures and examine signs of AI services traction among corporate clients.
Signs indicate that Copilot is gaining substantial traction with corporate clients, adding value to software development, business operations, and healthcare documentation functions.
The number of organizations paying for MSFT's AI services is expanding rapidly. We view this as a promising indicator of increased AI adoption and substantial value creation.


PC Monitor: Promising Uptake of Microsoft Copilot and AI Services; Remain Structurally Long

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Taiwan Stock Exchange Weighted Index / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-stock-exchange-weighted-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26056:1" rel="noopener">Taiwan Stock Exchange Weighted Index (TWSE INDEX)</a> has surged this year as the Artificial Intelligence <s>hype</s> boom has taken over.</li>
<li>Short notional has risen too, more due to higher stock prices than due to increased shorting. However, there are stocks that have seen big changes in short interest YTD.</li>
<li>The largest YTD increase in shorts have been in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/novatek-microelectronics-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10904:1" rel="noopener">Novatek Microelectronics</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hon-hai-precision-industry-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:745:1" rel="noopener">Hon Hai Precision Industry</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lite-on-technology-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14591:1" rel="noopener">Lite On Technology</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/acer-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15726:1" rel="noopener">Acer</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wistron-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2189:1" rel="noopener">Wistron Corp</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-steel-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:962:1" rel="noopener">China Steel</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhen-ding-technology-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16830:1" rel="noopener">Zhen Ding Technology Holding</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chailease-holding-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6579:1" rel="noopener">Chailease Holding</a>.</li>
</ul>


The Taiwan Stock Exchange Weighted Index (TWSE INDEX) has surged this year as the Artificial Intelligence hype boom has taken over.
Short notional has risen too, more due to higher stock prices than due to increased shorting. However, there are stocks that have seen big changes in short interest YTD.
The largest YTD increase in shorts have been in Novatek Microelectronics, Hon Hai Precision Industry, Lite On Technology, Acer, Wistron Corp, China Steel, Zhen Ding Technology Holding and Chailease Holding.


Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Aug 2nd which has an aggregated short interest worth USD19.4bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Quanta Computer, Evergreen Marine, TSMC, Elite Material, Wiwynn, Gigabyte Tech, Chunghwa Telecom, Global Unichip, Innolux.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Aug 2nd which has an aggregated short interest worth USD19.4bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Quanta Computer, Evergreen Marine, TSMC, Elite Material, Wiwynn, Gigabyte Tech, Chunghwa Telecom, Global Unichip, Innolux.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Aug 2nd): Quanta Computer, Evergreen Marine, TSMC, Elite Material

Taiwan

Acer Inc. manufactures and distributes semiconductor products, personal computers, computer peripherals, multimedia products, and computer software. The Company also provides maintenance and repair services to customers.  In addition, Acer Inc. operates real estate business. The Company markets its products under the Acer brand name.

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Acer Inc (2353 TT)

Asustek & Acer Key Takeaways: Strong July Revenue Growth and 'New Product Life Cycle' Starting 3Q24

Strong revenue growth in PC and server markets for Asustek and Acer signals robust demand, with Asus management forecasting a multi-year growth...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (09-Aug-2024): Acer subs drive growth, boost resilience amid PC changes.

Acer's subsidiaries grow amid PC market changes, China's smartphone market booms, potential US ban on Chinese vehicle tech, Nintendo and Sony face...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

PC Monitor: Promising Uptake of Microsoft Copilot and AI Services; Remain Structurally Long

MSFT's latest Copilot disclosures reveal growing traction with corporates, indicating increased AI adoption and value creation in software...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan: YTD Short Interest Moves

The TWSE has surged this year as semis and AI-linked stocks have rallied. The market crash could lead to covering in stocks with large shorts as...

Brian Freitas

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Aug 2nd): Quanta Computer, Evergreen Marine, TSMC, Elite Material

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Quanta Computer, Evergreen Marine, TSMC, Elite...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Asustek & Acer Key Takeaways: Strong July Revenue Growth and 'New Product Life Cycle' Starting 3Q24

​Strong revenue growth in PC and server markets for Asustek and Acer signals robust demand, with Asus management forecasting a multi-year growth...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (09-Aug-2024): Acer subs drive growth, boost resilience amid PC changes.

Acer's subsidiaries grow amid PC market changes, China's smartphone market booms, potential US ban on Chinese vehicle tech, Nintendo and Sony face...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

PC Monitor: Promising Uptake of Microsoft Copilot and AI Services; Remain Structurally Long

MSFT's latest Copilot disclosures reveal growing traction with corporates, indicating increased AI adoption and value creation in software...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan: YTD Short Interest Moves

The TWSE has surged this year as semis and AI-linked stocks have rallied. The market crash could lead to covering in stocks with large shorts as...

Brian Freitas

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Aug 2nd): Quanta Computer, Evergreen Marine, TSMC, Elite Material

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Quanta Computer, Evergreen Marine, TSMC, Elite...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Strong revenue growth in PC and server markets for Asustek and Acer signals robust demand, with Asus management forecasting a multi-year growth...