Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Dell and HP's latest results indicate an improving PC industry environment in 2H23E, though weaker than expected China demand has softened initial expectations.</li>
<li>A key take-away is that a major AI PC upgrade cycle is indeed on the horizon, with additional clarity now provided as to when and how it will unfold.</li>
<li>A 'step-change' AI PC upgrade cycle will make the strength of the current near-term cycle recovery less relevant, and isn't yet priced-in by the market.</li>
</ul>


Dell and HP's latest results indicate an improving PC industry environment in 2H23E, though weaker than expected China demand has softened initial expectations.
A key take-away is that a major AI PC upgrade cycle is indeed on the horizon, with additional clarity now provided as to when and how it will unfold.
A 'step-change' AI PC upgrade cycle will make the strength of the current near-term cycle recovery less relevant, and isn't yet priced-in by the market.


Recent Dell & HP Results Provide Additional Clarity on Coming AI PC Wave

<ul>
<li>Asustek and Acer recently reported 2Q23 results with both companies showing a rebound in margins and normalized inventory levels. The cycle trough is clearly past.</li>
<li>Asustek expects to grow its server product revenue by 500% by 2027 and is also developing AI PCs that could generate a significant sales volume by 3Q24.</li>
<li>The latest results and comments not just make a coming PC up-cycle clear, but also imply that it could be stronger than previous cycles thanks to AI PCs.</li>
</ul>


Asustek and Acer recently reported 2Q23 results with both companies showing a rebound in margins and normalized inventory levels. The cycle trough is clearly past.
Asustek expects to grow its server product revenue by 500% by 2027 and is also developing AI PCs that could generate a significant sales volume by 3Q24.
The latest results and comments not just make a coming PC up-cycle clear, but also imply that it could be stronger than previous cycles thanks to AI PCs.


PC Monitor: Asustek Preparing for AI PC Upgrade Wave, Volume Sales in 3Q24

<ul>
<li>Intel's latest results imply a potential bottoming of its business &amp; nascent turn-around; however the greater take-away is that the PC industry is heading into a major AI-driven up-cycle.</li>
<li>PC industry inventories are now "healthy" and Intel's Client Computing segment (PCs) showed the strongest QoQ revenue growth. Management is guiding for continued improvement next quarter.</li>
<li>Edge AI will drive a major upgrade cycle for PCs worldwide and Intel's new Meteor Lake chip could be a catalyst. Invest ahead of AI PCs having their "ChatGPT Moment".</li>
</ul>


Intel's latest results imply a potential bottoming of its business &amp; nascent turn-around; however the greater take-away is that the PC industry is heading into a major AI-driven up-cycle.
PC industry inventories are now "healthy" and Intel's Client Computing segment (PCs) showed the strongest QoQ revenue growth. Management is guiding for continued improvement next quarter.
Edge AI will drive a major upgrade cycle for PCs worldwide and Intel's new Meteor Lake chip could be a catalyst. Invest ahead of AI PCs having their "ChatGPT Moment".


Intel Results #1 Take-Away: Major Readthrough for PC Upgrade Cycle and Edge AI

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>There's been a major disconnect between performance of the Philly Semiconductor Index and the Taiwan market recently.</li>
<li>Semi optimism has picked up substantially in U.S. markets and institutional favor towards the Taiwan market could improve as a result.</li>
<li>We indentify US$1bn+  market cap stocks most under-held by institutions, as well as those who may be most at risk of a short squeeze.</li>
</ul>


There's been a major disconnect between performance of the Philly Semiconductor Index and the Taiwan market recently.
Semi optimism has picked up substantially in U.S. markets and institutional favor towards the Taiwan market could improve as a result.
We indentify US$1bn+  market cap stocks most under-held by institutions, as well as those who may be most at risk of a short squeeze.


Taiwan Short Squeeze Ahead? Taiwan Market Significantly Lagging Philly SOX Index

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Nvidia CEO to unveil new developments at the company's GTC developer conference tonight Asia time. TSMC and ASML could have read-throughs from the event given their key roles.</li>
<li>AUO's chairman said that he expects PC panel demand to return to normal levels later this year; indicating another sign of potential improvement in the PC and display space.</li>
<li>PC maker Asustek was a top loser in the past week; we highlight it as a potential Long/Short opportunity.</li>
</ul>


Nvidia CEO to unveil new developments at the company's GTC developer conference tonight Asia time. TSMC and ASML could have read-throughs from the event given their key roles.
AUO's chairman said that he expects PC panel demand to return to normal levels later this year; indicating another sign of potential improvement in the PC and display space.
PC maker Asustek was a top loser in the past week; we highlight it as a potential Long/Short opportunity.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Nvidia's Latest Strategy Unveil Tonight; AUO Says PC Panel Demand Normalizing

Taiwan

Acer Inc. manufactures and distributes semiconductor products, personal computers, computer peripherals, multimedia products, and computer software. The Company also provides maintenance and repair services to customers.  In addition, Acer Inc. operates real estate business. The Company markets its products under the Acer brand name.

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Acer Inc (2353 TT)

Recent Dell & HP Results Provide Additional Clarity on Coming AI PC Wave

A 'step-change' AI PC upgrade cycle will make the strength of the current near-term cycle recovery less relevant, and isn't yet priced-in by the...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

PC Monitor: Asustek Preparing for AI PC Upgrade Wave, Volume Sales in 3Q24

Asustek and Acer recently reported 2Q23 results with both companies showing a rebound in margins and normalized inventory levels. The cycle trough...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Intel Results #1 Take-Away: Major Readthrough for PC Upgrade Cycle and Edge AI

Edge AI will drive a major upgrade cycle for PCs worldwide -- We recommend getting ahead of PC's having their "ChatGPT Moment".

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Short Squeeze Ahead? Taiwan Market Significantly Lagging Philly SOX Index

We indentify US$1bn+ market cap stocks most under-held by institutions, as well as those who may be most at risk of a short squeeze.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Nvidia's Latest Strategy Unveil Tonight; AUO Says PC Panel Demand Normalizing

Nvidia CEO to unveil new developments at the company's GTC developer conference. TSMC and ASML could have read-throughs from the event given their...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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