External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Tier-1 infrastructure developers are trading at ~16x 1-yr forward valuation.</li><li>The sector has witnessed re-rating as (1) ordering may remain strong with the emergence of new segments like water, railway, etc.</li><li>(2) asset monetisation is fructifying, (3) balance sheets are strong and NWC days are stable, and (4) cash flow generation is likely to be robust.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Tier-1 infrastructure developers are trading at ~16x 1-yr forward valuation.The sector has witnessed re-rating as (1) ordering may remain strong with the emergence of new segments like water, railway, etc.(2) asset monetisation is fructifying, (3) balance sheets are strong and NWC days are stable, and (4) cash flow generation is likely to be robust.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Industrials (Q2FY25 Results Preview): Awaiting ordering revival

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>With 3 trading days left in the review period, there could be 7 changes (including 2 migrations) for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX)</a> in September.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 18% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 55bn (US$660m). 9 stocks will have over 1x ADV to trade from passive trackers.</li>
<li>All the deletes are F&amp;O members while most adds are not. NSE Indices may have to revisit the index membership criteria especially given the launch of futures on the index.</li>
</ul>


With 3 trading days left in the review period, there could be 7 changes (including 2 migrations) for the NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX) in September.
Estimated one-way turnover is 18% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 55bn (US$660m). 9 stocks will have over 1x ADV to trade from passive trackers.
All the deletes are F&amp;O members while most adds are not. NSE Indices may have to revisit the index membership criteria especially given the launch of futures on the index.


NIFTY NEXT50 Index Rebalance Preview: 7 Changes as Non-F&O Stocks Replace F&O Members

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the Potential ADDs/DELs for the BSE SENSEX, 100, and 200 indices in the December 2024 index rebal event.</li>
<li>At present, 3 changes for the BSE 100 index and 7 changes for the BSE 200 index.</li>
<li>The BSE 100 handling rules for names without futures and options (F&amp;O) sometimes punish companies that have enjoyed good share price rallies and Zomato could get into such a trap.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the Potential ADDs/DELs for the BSE SENSEX, 100, and 200 indices in the December 2024 index rebal event.
At present, 3 changes for the BSE 100 index and 7 changes for the BSE 200 index.
The BSE 100 handling rules for names without futures and options (F&amp;O) sometimes punish companies that have enjoyed good share price rallies and Zomato could get into such a trap.


Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/​​​​SENSEX Dec 24: Could Zomato's Share Price Rally Become a Problem?

<ul><li>After a meteoric rise of benchmark indices in FY24, the bull run continues unabated in FY25, notwithstanding general election-led market volatilities</li><li>So far in FY25, the benchmark indices Nifty 50, Nifty midcap 100 and Nifty Small cap 100 have delivered remarkable returns of 9%, 18% and 23% respectively</li><li>These performances follow massive returns of 29%,60% and 70% respectively generated by these indices in FY24</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

After a meteoric rise of benchmark indices in FY24, the bull run continues unabated in FY25, notwithstanding general election-led market volatilitiesSo far in FY25, the benchmark indices Nifty 50, Nifty midcap 100 and Nifty Small cap 100 have delivered remarkable returns of 9%, 18% and 23% respectivelyThese performances follow massive returns of 29%,60% and 70% respectively generated by these indices in FY24Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Earnings Vs Multiples: PE re-rating far outweighs earning upgrades

<ul><li>Budget a big signalling event, though we expect investment continuity: In the interim FY25 union budget, allocation towards capex saw an increase of 7% YoY, with Roads, Railways, Defence and Water as key beneficiaries</li><li>As the final FY25 union budget gets tabled in Jul-24, we expect continued investment in these segments</li><li>Whilst questions have emerged on cut in capex with the expectation of some allocation moving towards social infra, we believe that allocation may remain similar or marginally increase to high single-digit YoY growth</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Budget a big signalling event, though we expect investment continuity: In the interim FY25 union budget, allocation towards capex saw an increase of 7% YoY, with Roads, Railways, Defence and Water as key beneficiariesAs the final FY25 union budget gets tabled in Jul-24, we expect continued investment in these segmentsWhilst questions have emerged on cut in capex with the expectation of some allocation moving towards social infra, we believe that allocation may remain similar or marginally increase to high single-digit YoY growthContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Industrials (Q1FY25 Results Preview): All eyes on the budget

India

ABB India Limited undertakes engineering and construction projects and manufactures heavy engineering and industrial equipment. The Company undertakes projects in the field of energy production, power transmission, transportation, process automation and pollution control. ABB India's products include pollution control equipment, switch gears and high current rectifiers.

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ABB India Ltd (ABB IN)

Industrials (Q2FY25 Results Preview): Awaiting ordering revival

The sector has witnessed re-rating as (1) ordering may remain strong with the emergence of new segments like water, railway, etc.

HDFC Securities

NIFTY NEXT50 Index Rebalance Preview: 7 Changes as Non-F&O Stocks Replace F&O Members

There could be 7 changes for the Nifty Next 50. The addition of non-FnO stocks and deletion of FnO stocks raises index replication issues. Expect...

Brian Freitas

Earnings Vs Multiples: PE re-rating far outweighs earning upgrades

After a meteoric rise of benchmark indices in FY24, the bull run continues unabated in FY25, notwithstanding general election-led market volatilities

HDFC Securities

Industrials (Q1FY25 Results Preview): All eyes on the budget

In the interim FY25 union budget, allocation towards capex saw an increase of 7% YoY, with Roads, Railways, Defence and Water as key beneficiaries

HDFC Securities

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Industrials (Q2FY25 Results Preview): Awaiting ordering revival

The sector has witnessed re-rating as (1) ordering may remain strong with the emergence of new segments like water, railway, etc.

HDFC Securities

NIFTY NEXT50 Index Rebalance Preview: 7 Changes as Non-F&O Stocks Replace F&O Members

There could be 7 changes for the Nifty Next 50. The addition of non-FnO stocks and deletion of FnO stocks raises index replication issues. Expect...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/​​​​SENSEX Dec 24: Could Zomato's Share Price Rally Become a Problem?

We see Zomato as a BSE 100 DEL for December 2024 as it currently violates one of the derivative linkage requirements. Zomato's fate will depend on...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Earnings Vs Multiples: PE re-rating far outweighs earning upgrades

After a meteoric rise of benchmark indices in FY24, the bull run continues unabated in FY25, notwithstanding general election-led market volatilities

HDFC Securities

Industrials (Q1FY25 Results Preview): All eyes on the budget

In the interim FY25 union budget, allocation towards capex saw an increase of 7% YoY, with Roads, Railways, Defence and Water as key beneficiaries

HDFC Securities

Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/SENSEX Dec 24: Could Zomato's Share Price Rally Become a Problem?