Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Part of our housing finance checks, we have been visiting <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aavas-financiers-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27422:1" rel="noopener">Aavas Financiers Ltd (AAVAS IN)</a>  branches for over two years now.</li>
<li>While the situation was grim early on post the management change and increased competitive intensity, the current channel inputs are encouraging.</li>
<li>Key areas that warrant attention are growth trajectory, yields, and tech upgrade. </li>
</ul>


Part of our housing finance checks, we have been visiting Aavas Financiers Ltd (AAVAS IN)  branches for over two years now.
While the situation was grim early on post the management change and increased competitive intensity, the current channel inputs are encouraging.
Key areas that warrant attention are growth trajectory, yields, and tech upgrade. 


Aavas Financiers Ltd (AAVAS IN) | Regaining Glory

<ul>
<li>Market momentum continues to be strong. As we head into earnings season, the momentum is likely to continue.</li>
<li>Strong operational updates <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/info-edge-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14461:1" rel="noopener">Info Edge India (INFOE IN)</a>; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aavas-financiers-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27422:1" rel="noopener">Aavas Financiers Ltd (AAVAS IN)</a> &amp; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sula-vineyards-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36206:1" rel="noopener">Sula Vineyards (SULA IN)</a>.  </li>
<li>The overall market sentiment, represented by the average revisions across all sectors, is nearly flat, with a slight positive revision for FY1E at 0.02% and essentially stable for FY2E.</li>
</ul>


Market momentum continues to be strong. As we head into earnings season, the momentum is likely to continue.
Strong operational updates Info Edge India (INFOE IN); Aavas Financiers Ltd (AAVAS IN) &amp; Sula Vineyards (SULA IN).  
The overall market sentiment, represented by the average revisions across all sectors, is nearly flat, with a slight positive revision for FY1E at 0.02% and essentially stable for FY2E.


[#21] Namaste India 🙏 | Business Updates and Earnings Playbook

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>With the "Postcard" series, our objective is to bring to our readers on-ground insights based on interactions across key channels located in tier 2 and tier 3 locations.</li>
<li>For this Postcard, we traveled to Mandya, a city in the southern state of Karnataka, also known as the 'Sugar City,' on a rented E6 by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD (1211 HK)</a>.  </li>
<li>Sectors in focus include Consumer Finance, Mortgage Lenders, and Retailers.</li>
</ul>


With the "Postcard" series, our objective is to bring to our readers on-ground insights based on interactions across key channels located in tier 2 and tier 3 locations.
For this Postcard, we traveled to Mandya, a city in the southern state of Karnataka, also known as the 'Sugar City,' on a rented E6 by BYD (1211 HK).  
Sectors in focus include Consumer Finance, Mortgage Lenders, and Retailers.


Postcard from Mandya | Cruising Around the Sugar City in a BYD

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/india-shelter-finance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40025:1" rel="noopener">India Shelter Finance (0570670D IN)</a> listed in India on 20th Dec 2023 after raising US$144m. The pre-IPO investors had trimmed a portion of their stakes in the IPO</li>
<li>India Shelter Finance (ISF) is a retail-focused HFC targeting the self-employed customer with a focus on first time home loan takers in the low and middle income group.</li>
<li>Coming up for six-month lockup expiry on 18th Jun 2024 are the firm's pre-IPO shareholders and a portion of the promoters’ stakes.</li>
</ul>



India Shelter Finance (0570670D IN) listed in India on 20th Dec 2023 after raising US$144m. The pre-IPO investors had trimmed a portion of their stakes in the IPO
India Shelter Finance (ISF) is a retail-focused HFC targeting the self-employed customer with a focus on first time home loan takers in the low and middle income group.
Coming up for six-month lockup expiry on 18th Jun 2024 are the firm's pre-IPO shareholders and a portion of the promoters’ stakes.


India Shelter Finance US$240m Lock-Up Expiry - Multi-Bagger Gains Are Ripe for the Taking

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Equity Capital Markets

Aadhar Housing Finance Ltd / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aadhar-housing-finance-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32152:1" rel="noopener">Aadhar Housing Finance</a>(AHF) raised around US$360m in its India IPO, via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares.</li>
<li>AHF is focused on the low income housing segments (ticket size less than INR1.5m) in India. It offers a range of mortgage-related loan products.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s performance and valuation in our past notes. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Aadhar Housing Finance(AHF) raised around US$360m in its India IPO, via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares.
AHF is focused on the low income housing segments (ticket size less than INR1.5m) in India. It offers a range of mortgage-related loan products.
We have looked at the company’s performance and valuation in our past notes. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.


Aadhar Housing Finance IPO Trading - More Loved by Institutional Investors than Retail

India

Aavas Financiers Limited provides consumer finance services. The Company offers home, land purchase, construction, home improvement, balance transfer, and business loans. Aavas Financiers serves customers in India.

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Aavas Financiers Ltd (AAVAS IN)