Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The difference in Indian exposures between Value and Aggressive Growth managers hits record wides of +10.5%.</li>
<li>Value managers are increasing underweights, with today’s level of -5.52% below benchmark the lowest on record.  Key underweights are Reliance Industries, Infosys, HDFC Limited, Bajaj Finance and Bharti Airtel</li>
<li>For Aggressive Growth funds, Infosys was a key driver behind the recent spike in exposure, with 8.6% of funds buying in to the stock and average weights increasing by +0.42%.</li>
</ul>


The difference in Indian exposures between Value and Aggressive Growth managers hits record wides of +10.5%.
Value managers are increasing underweights, with today’s level of -5.52% below benchmark the lowest on record.  Key underweights are Reliance Industries, Infosys, HDFC Limited, Bajaj Finance and Bharti Airtel
For Aggressive Growth funds, Infosys was a key driver behind the recent spike in exposure, with 8.6% of funds buying in to the stock and average weights increasing by +0.42%.


India: Value/Growth Divide Hits New Peak Among GEM Funds.

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>IT Services sector is expected to report strong growth in Q4FY22 primarily on account of the new large deal wins and a ramp-up of deals won in the previous quarter despite seasonality furloughs</li><li>IT spending in North America and Europe has gained momentum and demand for digital transformation has increased exponentially</li><li>Furthermore, improved macro-economic opportunities across the globe are expected to provide further growth impetus to the sector moving forward</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

IT Services sector is expected to report strong growth in Q4FY22 primarily on account of the new large deal wins and a ramp-up of deals won in the previous quarter despite seasonality furloughsIT spending in North America and Europe has gained momentum and demand for digital transformation has increased exponentiallyFurthermore, improved macro-economic opportunities across the globe are expected to provide further growth impetus to the sector moving forwardContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

IT: Supply-Side Constraints Persist; Demand Robust

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Axis Top Picks basket has delivered an astounding return of 127% since its inception, notably beating the 89% return reported by the benchmark Nifty 50 Index over the same period</li>
<li>Pick of the Week (PoW): PoW delivered an excellent monthly strike rate of 77% in Mar’22</li>
<li>Axis Alpha: Axis Alpha continues to deliver robust returns with absolute profits of over 4.2 Lc since its inception. It reported a healthy cumulative strike rate of 68% in Mar’22.</li>
</ul>
Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.


Axis Top Picks basket has delivered an astounding return of 127% since its inception, notably beating the 89% return reported by the benchmark Nifty 50 Index over the same period
Pick of the Week (PoW): PoW delivered an excellent monthly strike rate of 77% in Mar’22
Axis Alpha: Axis Alpha continues to deliver robust returns with absolute profits of over 4.2 Lc since its inception. It reported a healthy cumulative strike rate of 68% in Mar’22.

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Axis Research Scorecard Report - Mar 2022

<ul>
<li>Commodities and IT sectors are the biggest winners of FY22. In the last one year, the Metals sector has gone up 53%, Energy by 40%, commodities by 30%, and the IT index by 40%</li>
<li>However, the consumer-facing sectors closed FY22 on a muted note with FMCG reporting growth of only 4% and the Auto sector of 5%</li>
<li>The current market performance is factoring in the current rising inflation and the rising interest rate regime</li>
</ul>
Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.


Commodities and IT sectors are the biggest winners of FY22. In the last one year, the Metals sector has gone up 53%, Energy by 40%, commodities by 30%, and the IT index by 40%
However, the consumer-facing sectors closed FY22 on a muted note with FMCG reporting growth of only 4% and the Auto sector of 5%
The current market performance is factoring in the current rising inflation and the rising interest rate regime

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>The lows have likely been established for this correction, but a bottoming process would likely take weeks or potentially months and could come with more tests of the lows.</li>
<li>Japan's TOPIX and Nikkei 225 are each testing their respective downtrends. The EURO STOXX 50 is testing resistance in the 4040-4090 range. Germany's DAX is testing major resistance at 14,815-14,950.</li>
<li>It is likely that this initial 2-3 week bounce has run its course; stick with cyclical value and defensives, areas we have been focused on for most of 2022.</li>
</ul>


The lows have likely been established for this correction, but a bottoming process would likely take weeks or potentially months and could come with more tests of the lows.
Japan's TOPIX and Nikkei 225 are each testing their respective downtrends. The EURO STOXX 50 is testing resistance in the 4040-4090 range. Germany's DAX is testing major resistance at 14,815-14,950.
It is likely that this initial 2-3 week bounce has run its course; stick with cyclical value and defensives, areas we have been focused on for most of 2022.


Sticking With Cyclical Value and Defensives; Adding Large-Cap Japan Technology

India

Bharti Airtel Limited, a part of Bharti Enterprises, provides telecommunications services throughout India. The Company provides GSM Mobile Services, broadband, fixed line telephone services, long distance services (international & national) and enterprise services.

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Bharti Airtel (BHARTI IN)

India: Value/Growth Divide Hits New Peak Among GEM Funds.

The difference in Indian exposures between Value and Aggressive Growth managers hits record wides of +10.5%. Value managers go max underweight,...

Steven Holden

IT: Supply-Side Constraints Persist; Demand Robust

IT Services sector is expected to report strong growth in Q4FY22 primarily on account of the new large deal wins and a ramp-up of deals won in the...

Axis Direct

Axis Research Scorecard Report - Mar 2022

Axis Top Picks basket has delivered an astounding return of 127% since its inception, notably beating the 89% return reported by the benchmark...

Axis Direct

Axis Top Picks April 2022

Commodities and IT sectors are the biggest winners of FY22. In the last one year, the Metals sector has gone up 53%, Energy by 40%, commodities by...

Axis Direct

Sticking With Cyclical Value and Defensives; Adding Large-Cap Japan Technology

Sticking With Cyclical Value & Defensives; Adding Large-Cap Japan Technology. 2-3 week bounce has likely run its course with $TOPIX $Nikkei 225,...

Vermilion Research

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