Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Korea banned all short selling in March 2020 and resumed short selling only on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI 200</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150</a> index constituents in May 2021.</li>
<li>News reports indicate that there could be another short sell ban as soon as the coming week. Indications are that the ban could last 6 months.</li>
<li>There are many implications of a total short sell ban including futures backwardation, market manipulation, and no emerging to developed market promotion.</li>
</ul>


Korea banned all short selling in March 2020 and resumed short selling only on KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150 index constituents in May 2021.
News reports indicate that there could be another short sell ban as soon as the coming week. Indications are that the ban could last 6 months.
There are many implications of a total short sell ban including futures backwardation, market manipulation, and no emerging to developed market promotion.


Korea Short Sell Ban: Background, Manipulation, Holdings, Flows, Short Interest, Implications

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mnc-solution" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44082:1" rel="noopener">MNC Solution (MNC KS)</a> MNC Solutions is looking to raise US$200m in its upcoming Korea IPO.</li>
<li>MNC Solutions (MNC) supplies high-precision control components for maritime and aviation weaponry, and travel devices for stabilization to the defense industry.</li>
<li>In this note, we look at the firm’s past performance.</li>
</ul>



MNC Solution (MNC KS) MNC Solutions is looking to raise US$200m in its upcoming Korea IPO.
MNC Solutions (MNC) supplies high-precision control components for maritime and aviation weaponry, and travel devices for stabilization to the defense industry.
In this note, we look at the firm’s past performance.


MNC Solutions Pre-IPO - Momentum Has Been Very Strong, Although Some Corp Gov Issues to Watch For

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

<ul>
<li>Our valuation analysis suggests an implied price per share of 120,295 won for MNC Solution, which is 29% above the high end of the IPO price range. </li>
<li>Our base case valuation is based on EV/EBITDA of 24.1x which is 30% higher than the average EV/EBITDA multiple of the comps in 2023.</li>
<li>We believe a premium valuation to the comps' valuation multiple is appropriate due to higher sales growth, operating margins, and ROE.</li>
</ul>


Our valuation analysis suggests an implied price per share of 120,295 won for MNC Solution, which is 29% above the high end of the IPO price range. 
Our base case valuation is based on EV/EBITDA of 24.1x which is 30% higher than the average EV/EBITDA multiple of the comps in 2023.
We believe a premium valuation to the comps' valuation multiple is appropriate due to higher sales growth, operating margins, and ROE.


Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Nov 1st which has an aggregated holding worth USD507.9bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,513mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Apr, Korzinc, Samsung Electronics, Hyundai Motor.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Nov 1st which has an aggregated holding worth USD507.9bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,513mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Apr, Korzinc, Samsung Electronics, Hyundai Motor.


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Nov 1st): Apr, Korzinc, Samsung Electronics, Hyundai Motor

Quantitative Researcher, MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Quantitative Researcher

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

<ul>
<li>While the short-selling ban for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI 200 INDEX</a> will remain in place until the first months of 2025, that does not prevent the index from pulling back.</li>
<li>Pullbacks, in this context, are an opportunity to buy, in the hope the index will rise higher from its current position.</li>
<li>Our models right now are showing a short-term WEEKLY OVERBOUGHT scenario coming in the next 2 weeks. Keep reading for more details.</li>
</ul>


While the short-selling ban for the KOSPI 200 INDEX will remain in place until the first months of 2025, that does not prevent the index from pulling back.
Pullbacks, in this context, are an opportunity to buy, in the hope the index will rise higher from its current position.
Our models right now are showing a short-term WEEKLY OVERBOUGHT scenario coming in the next 2 weeks. Keep reading for more details.


South Korea

Korea Aerospace Industries Ltd. designs and produces aircraft parts including fixed wings for aircrafts and rotary wings for helicopters. The Company also engages in aircraft upgrade and modification business and satellite development business.

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Korea Aerospace Industries (047810 KS)

Korea Short Sell Ban: Background, Manipulation, Holdings, Flows, Short Interest, Implications

Media reports indicate that there could be a temporary short sell ban in Korea. This could lead to futures backwardation, market manipulation and a...

Brian Freitas

MNC Solutions Pre-IPO - Momentum Has Been Very Strong, Although Some Corp Gov Issues to Watch For

MNC Solution (MNC KS) MNC Solutions is looking to raise US$200m in its upcoming Korea IPO. In this note, we look at the firm’s past performance.

Clarence Chu

MNC Solution IPO Valuation Analysis

Our valuation analysis suggests an implied price per share of 120,295 won for MNC Solution, which is 29% above the high end of the IPO price range.

Douglas Kim

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Nov 1st): Apr, Korzinc, Samsung Electronics, Hyundai Motor

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Apr, Korzinc, Samsung Electronics, Hyundai Motor.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

EQD | KOSPI 200 May Pullback Soon...

Pullbacks on the KOSPI 200 INDEX are currently a buy opportunity, given the short-selling ban still in place. We predict a short-term WEEKLY...

Nico Rosti

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