APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mitsui-e-s-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2402:1" rel="noopener">Mitsui E&amp;S Holdings (7003 JP)</a> is looking to raise approximately US$451m through a secondary follow-on offering, via selling approximately 21.9m shares (32% of TSO) of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/modec-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2840:1" rel="noopener">Modec Inc (6269 JP)</a>’s stock. </li>
<li>The deal is a large one to digest at 81 days of three month ADV. </li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>



Mitsui E&amp;S Holdings (7003 JP) is looking to raise approximately US$451m through a secondary follow-on offering, via selling approximately 21.9m shares (32% of TSO) of Modec Inc (6269 JP)’s stock. 
The deal is a large one to digest at 81 days of three month ADV. 
In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Modec Placement - Deal Seems a Little Opportunistic but Not Particularly Expensive

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Following <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/exxon-mobil-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:811:1" rel="noopener">Exxon Mobil (XOM US)</a>'s acquisition of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pioneer-natural-resources" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10341:1" rel="noopener">Pioneer Natural Resources (PXD)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vistra-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27958:1" rel="noopener">Vistra (VST US)</a> will be added to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-500-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22886:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P 500 INDEX (SPX INDEX)</a> at the close on 7 May.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/marathon-digital-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33244:1" rel="noopener">Marathon Digital Holdings (MARA US)</a> is an add to the S&amp;P SmallCap 600 Index and the stock could move higher till implementation.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/marathon-digital-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33244:1" rel="noopener">Marathon Digital Holdings (MARA US)</a> stock has underperformed its close peers this year and the ratio of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/marathon-digital-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33244:1" rel="noopener">Marathon Digital Holdings</a> stock price to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bitcoin-usd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25895:1" rel="noopener">Bitcoin (XBTUSD CURNCY)</a> is near the lows.</li>
</ul>


Following Exxon Mobil (XOM US)'s acquisition of Pioneer Natural Resources (PXD), Vistra (VST US) will be added to the S&amp;P 500 INDEX (SPX INDEX) at the close on 7 May.

Marathon Digital Holdings (MARA US) is an add to the S&amp;P SmallCap 600 Index and the stock could move higher till implementation.

Marathon Digital Holdings (MARA US) stock has underperformed its close peers this year and the ratio of Marathon Digital Holdings stock price to Bitcoin (XBTUSD CURNCY) is near the lows.


S&P500 Index Rebalance: Bitcoin Miner Is a SPCY Add

Oil and Gas, Mint Finance

Suhas Reddy

Oil and Gas

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>This paper contrasts performance of integrated oil exploration and refining firms ("Explorers") with oil refineries ("Refiners").</li>
<li>Hypothesis is that Refiners outperform Explorers when the crack spread widens. Back testing based on select firms proves the hypothesis.</li>
<li>This paper posits that Refiners will outdo Explorers when crack spreads tear based on historical performance.</li>
</ul>


This paper contrasts performance of integrated oil exploration and refining firms ("Explorers") with oil refineries ("Refiners").
Hypothesis is that Refiners outperform Explorers when the crack spread widens. Back testing based on select firms proves the hypothesis.
This paper posits that Refiners will outdo Explorers when crack spreads tear based on historical performance.


Widening Crack Spreads Enable Oil Refiners to Outdo Oil Explorers

Equity Capital Markets and Advisory Business, Auctus Advisors

Auctus Advisors

Equity Capital Markets and Advisory Business

Auctus Advisors is a specialist Equity Capital Markets and Advisory business with a focus in the Energy Sector. The partners have complementary skill sets, with decades of experience across Equity Capital Markets, Investment Banking and the Energy industry. We have worked at Société Générale, Canaccord Capital, BMO Capital Markets and Schlumberger. Most recently we have worked together for many years at GMP FirstEnergy. Auctus has been set up at the beginning of a new decade in which we see significant opportunities in the Energy space. Globally, demand for energy is at record levels and continues to grow. Conversely, investment in traditional energy sources has been severely constrained. We believe this imbalance creates opportunities for both companies and investors. Auctus provides Corporate Broking, Equity Research and Investment Banking services.

<ul>
<li>ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$1.00 per share: Logging results at Welchau further derisk the discovery – The logging program has confirmed open fracture networks and vuggy porosity (matrix porosity) essential for well productivity coincident with hydrocarbon shows between 1346 m and 1702 m measured depth.</li>
<li>This represents 356 m of gross interval across three interpreted lithological sequences.</li>
<li>This compares with only 115 m of liquids-rich gas shows announced previously.</li>
</ul>


ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$1.00 per share: Logging results at Welchau further derisk the discovery – The logging program has confirmed open fracture networks and vuggy porosity (matrix porosity) essential for well productivity coincident with hydrocarbon shows between 1346 m and 1702 m measured depth.
This represents 356 m of gross interval across three interpreted lithological sequences.
This compares with only 115 m of liquids-rich gas shows announced previously.


<ul>
<li>ADX Energy (ADX AU) C ; target price of A$1.00 per share: Very high impact exploration well encounters gas and condensate in Austria – The Welchau well (ADX WI: 75%) encountered 115 m of liquids-rich gas shows in the primary target formation (Steinalm Formation) between 1452 m and 1567 m.</li>
<li>The deepest gas shows were encountered at a depth of 1645 m.</li>
<li>The well has reached TD at 1733 m. The Steinalm Formation intersection in the well is in line with the pre-drill prognosis.</li>
</ul>


ADX Energy (ADX AU) C ; target price of A$1.00 per share: Very high impact exploration well encounters gas and condensate in Austria – The Welchau well (ADX WI: 75%) encountered 115 m of liquids-rich gas shows in the primary target formation (Steinalm Formation) between 1452 m and 1567 m.
The deepest gas shows were encountered at a depth of 1645 m.
The well has reached TD at 1733 m. The Steinalm Formation intersection in the well is in line with the pre-drill prognosis.


United States

Exxon Mobil Corporation operates petroleum and petrochemicals businesses on a worldwide basis.  The Company's operations include exploration and production of oil and gas, electric power generation, and coal and minerals operations. Exxon Mobil also manufactures and markets fuels, lubricants, and chemicals.

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Exxon Mobil (XOM US)

Modec Placement - Deal Seems a Little Opportunistic but Not Particularly Expensive

Books will be closing today (21st May 24) and pricing will be tomorrow (22nd May 24) at the earliest. The stock has fallen by around 15% since we...

Ethan Aw

S&P500 Index Rebalance: Bitcoin Miner Is a SPCY Add

ExxonMobil's acquisition will lead to Vistra being added to the SPX. Marathon Digital is an inclusion to the SmallCap 600 index and there could be...

Brian Freitas

Widening Crack Spreads Enable Oil Refiners to Outdo Oil Explorers

Pure play crude oil refining and marketing firms outperformed integrated oil E&P companies during times of widening crack oil spreads.

Mint Finance

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 28/03/2024

This represents 356 m of gross interval across three interpreted lithological sequences. This compares with only 115 m of liquids-rich gas shows...

Auctus Advisors

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 15/03/2024

The Welchau well (ADX WI: 75%) encountered 115 m of liquids-rich gas shows in the primary target formation (Steinalm Formation) between 1452 m and...

Auctus Advisors

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