Greater China Equity Long/Short Analyst

Eric Chen

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We expect PDD to report the highest growth in topline for 4Q23 over last three years. In particular, we believe its bottom line will beat by wide margin.</li>
<li>But easy days are gone for PDD’s domestic e-commerce business and high base will kick in from 1Q24, resulting in tough comps, notable deceleration and potentially short-term share price volatility.</li>
<li>We see 20% upside to current PDD valuation by assigning 20xPE to our US$12 billion adjusted net profit estimate for 2024.</li>
</ul>


We expect PDD to report the highest growth in topline for 4Q23 over last three years. In particular, we believe its bottom line will beat by wide margin.
But easy days are gone for PDD’s domestic e-commerce business and high base will kick in from 1Q24, resulting in tough comps, notable deceleration and potentially short-term share price volatility.
We see 20% upside to current PDD valuation by assigning 20xPE to our US$12 billion adjusted net profit estimate for 2024.


Pinduoduo (PDD US): Another Strong Beat Around the Corner

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amer-sports-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21751:1" rel="noopener">Amer Sports (AS US)</a> plans to raise more than US$1bn in its US IPO. Proceeds will be used to pay down loans to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anta-sports-products-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10261:1" rel="noopener">Anta Sports Products (2020 HK)</a> led consortium.</li>
<li>Amer Sports is a sports and outdoor brands company making clothing and other sporting equipment for use in snow sports, running, climbing, baseball, american football, tennis and other sports.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Amer Sports (AS US) plans to raise more than US$1bn in its US IPO. Proceeds will be used to pay down loans to Anta Sports Products (2020 HK) led consortium.
Amer Sports is a sports and outdoor brands company making clothing and other sporting equipment for use in snow sports, running, climbing, baseball, american football, tennis and other sports.
In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.


Amer Sports Pre-IPO - The Negatives - COVID Rebound, Weak Margins

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

<ul>
<li>In this note, we will take a look at broker performance for ASEAN IPOs and placements in 2023. </li>
<li>The following dataset includes all ASEAN IPOs and placements above US$100m, <strong>which amounted to a total of 18 deals. </strong>
</li>
<li>The deals you see in this note are based on our historical IPO and placement tracker. Feel free to drop us a message for additional information.</li>
</ul>


In this note, we will take a look at broker performance for ASEAN IPOs and placements in 2023. 
The following dataset includes all ASEAN IPOs and placements above US$100m, which amounted to a total of 18 deals. 

The deals you see in this note are based on our historical IPO and placement tracker. Feel free to drop us a message for additional information.


Aequitas ASEAN IPOs + Placements Broker Performance 2023

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jan 5th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Baba, Petrochina, and China Mobile.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jan 5th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in Baba, Petrochina, and China Mobile.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Baba, Petrochina, China Mobile

Samsung Electronics / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>On the IPO front, a number of large filings over the holidays is somewhat positive for 2024 prospects.</li>
<li>On the placement front, 2024 picked up where 2023 left off, with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)</a> leading the way.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
On the IPO front, a number of large filings over the holidays is somewhat positive for 2024 prospects.
On the placement front, 2024 picked up where 2023 left off, with Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) leading the way.


ECM Weekly (14th Jan 2024) - Samsung, Lasertec, Ayala, Indigo, Amer, IPO Pipeline, 2023 Performance

China

Alibaba Group Holding Limited provides online sales services. The Company provides internet infrastructure, electronic commerce, online financial, and internet content services through its subsidiaries. Alibaba Group Holding offers its products and services worldwide.

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Alibaba Group Holding (BABA US)

Pinduoduo (PDD US): Another Strong Beat Around the Corner

For 4Q23, we expect PDD to report highest revenue growth rate in 3 years and strong beat in bottom line. Yet muted earnings in 1Q24 will likely...

Eric Chen

Amer Sports Pre-IPO - The Negatives - COVID Rebound, Weak Margins

Amer Sports (AS US) plans to raise US$1bn in its US IPO. Proceeds will be used to pay down loans to Anta (2020 HK) led consortium. In this note, we...

Sumeet Singh

Aequitas ASEAN IPOs + Placements Broker Performance 2023

In this note, we will take a look at broker performance for ASEAN IPOs and placements in 2023, which amounted to a total of 18 deals.

Ethan Aw

HK Short Interest Weekly: Baba, Petrochina, China Mobile

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jan 5th and highlight short interest changes in Baba, Petrochina, China...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

ECM Weekly (14th Jan 2024) - Samsung, Lasertec, Ayala, Indigo, Amer, IPO Pipeline, 2023 Performance

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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Dividend (Yield)