IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Midea Group Co Ltd A / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/midea-group-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16185:1" rel="noopener">Midea Group Co Ltd A (000333 CH)</a>, the world’s biggest home appliances maker, is premarketing an H Share listing to raise US$3 billion.</li>
<li>In <em><strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/midea-group-h-share-listing-latest-updates-points-to-a-business-in-rude-health" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:157653" rel="noopener">Midea Group H Share Listing: Latest Updates Points to a Business in Rude Health</a></strong></em>, we noted that Midea is in good health, with strong growth, margins, and cash generation.</li>
<li>In this note, we examine the likely discount that Midea will offer its H Shares compared to the A Shares.</li>
</ul>



Midea Group Co Ltd A (000333 CH), the world’s biggest home appliances maker, is premarketing an H Share listing to raise US$3 billion.
In Midea Group H Share Listing: Latest Updates Points to a Business in Rude Health, we noted that Midea is in good health, with strong growth, margins, and cash generation.
In this note, we examine the likely discount that Midea will offer its H Shares compared to the A Shares.


Midea Group H Share Listing: AH Discount Views

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/midea-group-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16185:1" rel="noopener">Midea Group Co Ltd A (000333 CH)</a>, the world’s biggest home appliances maker, is premarketing an H Share listing to raise US$3 billion.   </li>
<li>Midea is the world’s largest home appliance company in sales volume and revenue in 2023. Its subsidiary, KUKA Group, is one of the world’s “big four” industrial robotics companies. </li>
<li>The PHIP update shows that the business is in good health, with accelerating growth, rising margins, and strong cash generation. Therefore, a premium multiple to peers is justified. </li>
</ul>



Midea Group Co Ltd A (000333 CH), the world’s biggest home appliances maker, is premarketing an H Share listing to raise US$3 billion.   
Midea is the world’s largest home appliance company in sales volume and revenue in 2023. Its subsidiary, KUKA Group, is one of the world’s “big four” industrial robotics companies. 
The PHIP update shows that the business is in good health, with accelerating growth, rising margins, and strong cash generation. Therefore, a premium multiple to peers is justified. 


Midea Group H Share Listing: Latest Updates Points to a Business in Rude Health

Analyst

Steve Zhou, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

Gree Electric Appliances / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gree-electric-appliances-inc-of-zhuhai" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7622:1" rel="noopener">Gree Electric Appliances (000651 CH)</a> trades at the lowest valuation multiple among the three major home appliance companies in China, at 7x forward PE and 7% forward yield.</li>
<li>Investment case rests on stable earnings growth and high dividend payout and yield, which works well in a low interest rate environment in China.</li>
<li>Resiliency of earnings for Gree is under-appreciated by the market, making rerating possible. </li>
</ul>



Gree Electric Appliances (000651 CH) trades at the lowest valuation multiple among the three major home appliance companies in China, at 7x forward PE and 7% forward yield.
Investment case rests on stable earnings growth and high dividend payout and yield, which works well in a low interest rate environment in China.
Resiliency of earnings for Gree is under-appreciated by the market, making rerating possible. 


Gree (000651 CH):  Resilient Fundamentals; Rerating Potential In A Low Interest Rate Environment

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Industrials and Consumer Staples Remain Top Overweights, Though Sentiment Fragile for Both.</li>
<li>Energy sector shows signs of a turnaround from long-term decline, whilst Financials remain unloved by China investors.</li>
<li>Real Estate allocations have hit record lows, with average holdings at just 2.93%, while Consumer Discretionary sector approaches all-time highs.</li>
</ul>


Industrials and Consumer Staples Remain Top Overweights, Though Sentiment Fragile for Both.
Energy sector shows signs of a turnaround from long-term decline, whilst Financials remain unloved by China investors.
Real Estate allocations have hit record lows, with average holdings at just 2.93%, while Consumer Discretionary sector approaches all-time highs.


HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haier-smart-home-co-ltd-b3ef445f-0f54-4586-8c58-9073de98d60e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31105:1" rel="noopener">Haier Smart Home (6690 HK)</a> is less exposed to China's real estate market than one would have thought. Despite poor property industry, HSH still generated 12.9% earnings growth in 3Q23.</li>
<li>We are delighted to see further margin pick-up in 2Q23-3Q23, thanks to digitalisation and better efficiency. We believe such a trend can be sustained over the next 12-18 months. </li>
<li>More innovative products will drive market share, and better margin can support a 13% 3-year earnings CAGR. ROE is high at 17-8% despite net cash (8.8% of share price).   </li>
</ul>



Haier Smart Home (6690 HK) is less exposed to China's real estate market than one would have thought. Despite poor property industry, HSH still generated 12.9% earnings growth in 3Q23.
We are delighted to see further margin pick-up in 2Q23-3Q23, thanks to digitalisation and better efficiency. We believe such a trend can be sustained over the next 12-18 months. 
More innovative products will drive market share, and better margin can support a 13% 3-year earnings CAGR. ROE is high at 17-8% despite net cash (8.8% of share price).   


China

Gree Electric Appliances, Inc. of Zhuhai manufactures and sells a series of air conditioners.  The different series of air conditioners include window type, split type, floor type, mobile type, mobile split type and ceiling type.  The Company also produces air purifier.

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Gree Electric Appliances (000651 CH)

Gree (000651 CH): Resilient Fundamentals; Rerating Potential In A Low Interest Rate Environment

Investment case rests on stable earnings growth and high dividend payout and yield, which works well in a low interest rate environment in China.

Steve Zhou, CFA

China Macro: Sector Positioning Update

Sector positioning among active China Funds. Industrials and Consumer Staples Remain Top Overweights, Energy shows signs of a turnaround, whilst...

Steven Holden

Haier Smart Home (6690 HK): Stays Smart

Haier Smart Home is less exposed to real estate market than expected. Digitalisation and efficiency improvements are driving margin; and...

Osbert Tang, CFA

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Midea Group H Share Listing: AH Discount Views

Midea is premarketing an H Share listing to raise US$3 billion. In this note, we examine the likely discount that Midea will offer its H Shares...

Arun George

Midea Group H Share Listing: Latest Updates Points to a Business in Rude Health

The PHIP update shows that the business is in good health, with accelerating growth, rising margins, and strong cash generation. Therefore, a...

Arun George

Gree (000651 CH): Resilient Fundamentals; Rerating Potential In A Low Interest Rate Environment

Investment case rests on stable earnings growth and high dividend payout and yield, which works well in a low interest rate environment in China.

Steve Zhou, CFA

China Macro: Sector Positioning Update

Sector positioning among active China Funds. Industrials and Consumer Staples Remain Top Overweights, Energy shows signs of a turnaround, whilst...

Steven Holden

Haier Smart Home (6690 HK): Stays Smart

​Haier Smart Home is less exposed to real estate market than expected. Digitalisation and efficiency improvements are driving margin; and...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Haier Smart Home is less exposed to real estate market than expected. Digitalisation and efficiency improvements are driving margin; and...