Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets, JapanConsuming

Michael Causton

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets

Real Insight on Japanese Consumer Markets

JapanConsuming

JapanConsuming is a specialist research firm producing intelligence on Japanese retail and consumer markets. Founded in 2000, JapanConsuming has become the leading provider of insights on Japanese retailers and consumer trends to retailers, brands, government agencies and investors. As well as a highly regarded monthly report on the market, JapanConsuming produces in-depth reports on retail sectors, seminars on key trends and telephone consulting to investors on trends and retailers.

JapanConsuming was founded by Michael Causton and Roy Larke. 

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>After stellar growth in 2020, the e-commerce market grew much slower in 2021 but still outpaced all other channels and set the second highest increase in four years.</li>
<li>At this rate, by 2025 e-commerce should become the largest retail channel, overtaking chain stores.</li>
<li>Japan’s easy access to retail stores means shops aren’t about to disappear anytime soon and Japan will become a model for omnichannel retailing with stores still playing a key role.</li>
</ul>


After stellar growth in 2020, the e-commerce market grew much slower in 2021 but still outpaced all other channels and set the second highest increase in four years.
At this rate, by 2025 e-commerce should become the largest retail channel, overtaking chain stores.
Japan’s easy access to retail stores means shops aren’t about to disappear anytime soon and Japan will become a model for omnichannel retailing with stores still playing a key role.


Japanese E-Commerce Big Review: Still Taking Market Share as Omnichannel Becomes the Norm

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On 16th Nov 22, post-market close, along with its 3Q22 results Tencent declared an interim dividend by way of distribution in specie of Class B Ordinary shares of Meituan.</li>
<li>At the time of declaration, the dividend amounted to US$20bn or 15.5% of Meituan’s outstanding shares. Its value has since declined to US$17bn.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the implications of the deal and what one can glean from looking at the previous dividend payout for JD.com.</li>
</ul>


On 16th Nov 22, post-market close, along with its 3Q22 results Tencent declared an interim dividend by way of distribution in specie of Class B Ordinary shares of Meituan.
At the time of declaration, the dividend amounted to US$20bn or 15.5% of Meituan’s outstanding shares. Its value has since declined to US$17bn.
In this note, we talk about the implications of the deal and what one can glean from looking at the previous dividend payout for JD.com.


Tencent Meituan Dividend - The US$17bn Overhang Is Almost Here - Lesson from JD.com

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japan-post-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:359:1" rel="noopener">Japan Post Holdings (6178 JP)</a> plans to sell around US$9bn worth of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japan-post-bank-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:838:1" rel="noopener">Japan Post Bank (7182 JP)</a>, trimming its stake by a third.</li>
<li>We have looked at the deal in our past note, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/japan-post-bank-placement-deal-structure-past-deals-index-buyback" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:96666" rel="noopener">Japan Post Bank Placement - Deal Structure, past Deals, Index, Buyback</a>.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the updates since our last note and have a look at some of the past deals.</li>
</ul>



Japan Post Holdings (6178 JP) plans to sell around US$9bn worth of Japan Post Bank (7182 JP), trimming its stake by a third.
We have looked at the deal in our past note, Japan Post Bank Placement - Deal Structure, past Deals, Index, Buyback.
In this note, we talk about the updates since our last note and have a look at some of the past deals.


Japan Post Bank Placement - Misbehaving - Still Has Time to Correct - A Look at past Deals

Equity Capital Markets

SBI Sumishin Net Bank  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbi-sumishin-net-bank" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34572:1" rel="noopener">SBI Sumishin Net Bank (7163 JP)</a> (SSNB) is now looking to raise around US$380m in its second listing attempt.</li>
<li>SBI Sumishin Net Bank is a Japanese digital bank set up as a 50-50 joint venture between Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Bank, Japan’s largest trust bank, and SBI Group.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about our updated earnigns forecast and thoughts on valuations</li>
</ul>



SBI Sumishin Net Bank (7163 JP) (SSNB) is now looking to raise around US$380m in its second listing attempt.
SBI Sumishin Net Bank is a Japanese digital bank set up as a 50-50 joint venture between Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Bank, Japan’s largest trust bank, and SBI Group.
In this note, we talk about our updated earnigns forecast and thoughts on valuations


SBI Sumishin Net Bank Pre-IPO - Revised Forecast and Valuations - RoA or RoE?

Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS. US Equities rise, defying higher yields and further yield curve inversion;  Fed's Bostic out again - talking of a summer pause; Telsa Day: Musk's Master Plan lacking details</li>
<li>JAPAN. NKY Futs +0.7% vs Cash; USDJPY Weakens to ¥136.8 on stronger USD;  Expectations rise  BOJ Policy Change in June;  Invidual invetors shifting to risk assets; Strong Retail SSS </li>
<li>NUGGET:Japan Video Streaming Wars: U-Next(9418) well positioned to flourish as consolidation kicks off in earnest.</li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS. US Equities rise, defying higher yields and further yield curve inversion;  Fed's Bostic out again - talking of a summer pause; Telsa Day: Musk's Master Plan lacking details
JAPAN. NKY Futs +0.7% vs Cash; USDJPY Weakens to ¥136.8 on stronger USD;  Expectations rise  BOJ Policy Change in June;  Invidual invetors shifting to risk assets; Strong Retail SSS 
NUGGET:Japan Video Streaming Wars: U-Next(9418) well positioned to flourish as consolidation kicks off in earnest.


Good Morning Japan |Equities DEFY Yield Rise; Tesla Master Plan-Details Absent; NUGGET: U-Next(9418)

Japan

FAST RETAILING CO., LTD. operates a chain of clothing stores, UNIQLO, throughout Japan and in other markets overseas including UK, China, Hong Kong, South Korea, US, France, Singapore and Russia.  The Company designs, manufactures, and retails its own line of casual clothing.

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Fast Retailing (9983 JP)

Tencent Meituan Dividend - The US$17bn Overhang Is Almost Here - Lesson from JD.com

On 16th Nov 22, Tencent declared an interim dividend by way of distribution in specie of Class B Ordinary shares of Meituan. The US$17bn overhang...

Sumeet Singh

Japan Post Bank Placement - Misbehaving - Still Has Time to Correct - A Look at past Deals

Japan Post Holdings (6178 JP) plans to sell US$9bn of Japan Post Bank (7182 JP). The stock price hasn't been behaving particularly well in terms of...

Sumeet Singh

SBI Sumishin Net Bank Pre-IPO - Revised Forecast and Valuations - RoA or RoE?

SBI Sumishin Net Bank (7163 JP) (SSNB) is now looking to raise around US$380m in its second listing attempt. In this note we talk about our revised...

Sumeet Singh

Good Morning Japan |Equities DEFY Yield Rise; Tesla Master Plan-Details Absent; NUGGET: U-Next(9418)

NKY Futs +0.7% vs Cash; USDJPY Weakens to ¥136.8 on stronger USD; Expectations rise BOJ Policy Change in June; Invidual invetors shifting to...

Mark Chadwick

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Japanese E-Commerce Big Review: Still Taking Market Share as Omnichannel Becomes the Norm

Japanese e-commerce continues to take more share from other retail channels but Japan is developing a sophisticated omnichannel model where stores...

Michael Causton

Tencent Meituan Dividend - The US$17bn Overhang Is Almost Here - Lesson from JD.com

On 16th Nov 22, Tencent declared an interim dividend by way of distribution in specie of Class B Ordinary shares of Meituan. The US$17bn overhang...

Sumeet Singh

Japan Post Bank Placement - Misbehaving - Still Has Time to Correct - A Look at past Deals

Japan Post Holdings (6178 JP) plans to sell US$9bn of Japan Post Bank (7182 JP). The stock price hasn't been behaving particularly well in terms of...

Sumeet Singh

SBI Sumishin Net Bank Pre-IPO - Revised Forecast and Valuations - RoA or RoE?

SBI Sumishin Net Bank (7163 JP) (SSNB) is now looking to raise around US$380m in its second listing attempt. In this note we talk about our revised...

Sumeet Singh

Good Morning Japan |Equities DEFY Yield Rise; Tesla Master Plan-Details Absent; NUGGET: U-Next(9418)

NKY Futs +0.7% vs Cash; USDJPY Weakens to ¥136.8 on stronger USD; Expectations rise BOJ Policy Change in June; Invidual invetors shifting to...

Mark Chadwick