Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/suzuki-motor-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:732:1" rel="noopener">Suzuki Motor (7269 JP)</a>'s implied stub and simple ratio (Suzuki/ <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/maruti-suzuki-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:733:1" rel="noopener">Maruti Suzuki India (MSIL IN)</a>) are currently at all-time lows.</li>
<li>This bifurcation has become endemic in the relative value space, especially in Japan. </li>
<li>Maruti is trading rich amid its ongoing support for hybrid vehicles. That scenario won't play out well. </li>
</ul>



Suzuki Motor (7269 JP)'s implied stub and simple ratio (Suzuki/ Maruti Suzuki India (MSIL IN)) are currently at all-time lows.
This bifurcation has become endemic in the relative value space, especially in Japan. 
Maruti is trading rich amid its ongoing support for hybrid vehicles. That scenario won't play out well. 


Suzuki’s NAV Discount And Implied Stub Plumb New Lows. Again

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>FY22 was a difficult year for the auto industry on account of supply-chain challenges as well as RM headwinds, resulting in an increased total cost of ownership</li>
<li>In Mar’22, wholesale volumes for the PV industry remained flat but it continued its sequential recovery (up 6% MoM), led by improvement in chip availability</li>
<li>The 2W and tractor segments declined by 21% and 10% respectively on a YoY basis on account of muted demand and the high base of the last year</li>
</ul>
Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.


FY22 was a difficult year for the auto industry on account of supply-chain challenges as well as RM headwinds, resulting in an increased total cost of ownership
In Mar’22, wholesale volumes for the PV industry remained flat but it continued its sequential recovery (up 6% MoM), led by improvement in chip availability
The 2W and tractor segments declined by 21% and 10% respectively on a YoY basis on account of muted demand and the high base of the last year

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Auto Monthly Volume Update - Mar 2022 - Easing Supply Chain Issues Improve PV & CV Traction

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Commodities and IT sectors are the biggest winners of FY22. In the last one year, the Metals sector has gone up 53%, Energy by 40%, commodities by 30%, and the IT index by 40%</li>
<li>However, the consumer-facing sectors closed FY22 on a muted note with FMCG reporting growth of only 4% and the Auto sector of 5%</li>
<li>The current market performance is factoring in the current rising inflation and the rising interest rate regime</li>
</ul>
Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.


Commodities and IT sectors are the biggest winners of FY22. In the last one year, the Metals sector has gone up 53%, Energy by 40%, commodities by 30%, and the IT index by 40%
However, the consumer-facing sectors closed FY22 on a muted note with FMCG reporting growth of only 4% and the Auto sector of 5%
The current market performance is factoring in the current rising inflation and the rising interest rate regime

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), ICICI Securities Ltd

ICICI Securities Limited

ICICI Securities Ltd

ICICI Securities Limited provides investment services. The Company provides corporate and investment banking, securities, wealth management, retail brokerage, initial public offerings, and advisory services. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>Resurfaced chip availability concerns amid geopolitical issues Russia is the largest producer (~40% share in global production) of rare earth metal palladium, which is used in manufacturing of semiconductor.</li><li>Further Ukraine is the largest producer of neon gas, which is another important component for semiconductor (chip) manufacturing.</li><li>Therefore, any supply chain disruption of these critical raw materials in this space would impact the availability of chips, resulting in an adverse impact on OEM volumes and associated productivity.</li></ul><div class="content-highlight">Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</div>

Resurfaced chip availability concerns amid geopolitical issues Russia is the largest producer (~40% share in global production) of rare earth metal palladium, which is used in manufacturing of semiconductor.Further Ukraine is the largest producer of neon gas, which is another important component for semiconductor (chip) manufacturing.Therefore, any supply chain disruption of these critical raw materials in this space would impact the availability of chips, resulting in an adverse impact on OEM volumes and associated productivity.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Growth, Margin Concerns Resurface for Auto Sector Amid Prevailing Geopolitical Crises

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-motors-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:216:1" rel="noopener">Tata Motors Ltd (TTMT IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-motors-ltd-a-dvr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:349:1" rel="noopener">Tata Motors DVR (TTMT/A IN)</a> are likely inclusions to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-bse-sensex-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31494:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P SENSEX INDEX</a> in June while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dr-reddy-s-laboratories-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16406:1" rel="noopener">Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN)</a> could be deleted.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hindalco-industries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18490:1" rel="noopener">Hindalco Industries (HNDL IN)</a> could be added depending on sector balance while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nestle-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13101:1" rel="noopener">Nestle India (NEST IN)</a> is a close delete on liquidity.</li>
<li>The inclusion of Tata Motors could result in the discount on the DVR line <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-motors-ltd-a-dvr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:349:1" rel="noopener">Tata Motors DVR (TTMT/A IN)</a> narrowing versus the common shares <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-motors-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:216:1" rel="noopener">Tata Motors Ltd (TTMT IN)</a>. </li>
</ul>



Tata Motors Ltd (TTMT IN) and Tata Motors DVR (TTMT/A IN) are likely inclusions to the S&amp;P SENSEX INDEX in June while Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN) could be deleted.

Hindalco Industries (HNDL IN) could be added depending on sector balance while Nestle India (NEST IN) is a close delete on liquidity.
The inclusion of Tata Motors could result in the discount on the DVR line Tata Motors DVR (TTMT/A IN) narrowing versus the common shares Tata Motors Ltd (TTMT IN). 


SENSEX Index Rebalance Preview (June): Down to the Wire

India

Maruti Suzuki India Limited manufactures and exports automobiles. Maruti collaborated with Suzuki of Japan to produce affordable cars for the average Indian.

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Maruti Suzuki India (MSIL IN)

Suzuki’s NAV Discount And Implied Stub Plumb New Lows. Again

I'd be setting up the stub here - long Suzuki, short Maruti - once the momentum begins to turn. Maruti is supporting outdated tech, which will be...

David Blennerhassett

Auto Monthly Volume Update - Mar 2022 - Easing Supply Chain Issues Improve PV & CV Traction

FY22 was a difficult year for the auto industry on account of supply-chain challenges as well as RM headwinds, resulting in an increased total cost...

Axis Direct

Axis Top Picks April 2022

Commodities and IT sectors are the biggest winners of FY22. In the last one year, the Metals sector has gone up 53%, Energy by 40%, commodities by...

Axis Direct

Growth, Margin Concerns Resurface for Auto Sector Amid Prevailing Geopolitical Crises

Resurfaced chip availability concerns amid geopolitical issues Russia is the largest producer (~40% share in global production) of rare earth metal...

ICICI Securities Limited

SENSEX Index Rebalance Preview (June): Down to the Wire

Tata Motors could replace Dr Reddy in the Sensex at the June rebalance. Hindalco is a close add while Nestle is a close delete. The inclusion of...

Brian Freitas

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