Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The CSRC has approved <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/midea-group-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16185:1" rel="noopener">Midea Group Co Ltd A (000333 CH)</a>'s application to issue H-shares to be listed on the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-exchanges-clearing" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:490:1" rel="noopener">HKEX (388 HK)</a>. </li>
<li>Under the approval, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/midea-group-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16185:1" rel="noopener">Midea Group Co Ltd A (000333 CH)</a> can issue up to 650.85m shares. Depending on the H-share discount, that could raise up to HK$43.6bn (US$5.6bn).</li>
<li>The IPO is likely to be smaller and will depend on market conditions and the discount demanded on the H-shares. That in turn will determine index inclusion for the H-shares.</li>
</ul>


The CSRC has approved Midea Group Co Ltd A (000333 CH)'s application to issue H-shares to be listed on the HKEX (388 HK). 
Under the approval, Midea Group Co Ltd A (000333 CH) can issue up to 650.85m shares. Depending on the H-share discount, that could raise up to HK$43.6bn (US$5.6bn).
The IPO is likely to be smaller and will depend on market conditions and the discount demanded on the H-shares. That in turn will determine index inclusion for the H-shares.


Midea Group (000333 CH): CSRC Approval ✓; IPO Size Will Depend on H-Share Discount

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 103.3% as of Jun 21st.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -1.5ppt week-on-week, led by real estate, communication services, consumer staples and offset by utilities, information technology.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Tourism, Shenhua, China Telecom, CNOOC, Hua Hong Semi, YOFC, Huadian.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 103.3% as of Jun 21st.
The average A-H premium changed by -1.5ppt week-on-week, led by real estate, communication services, consumer staples and offset by utilities, information technology.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Tourism, Shenhua, China Telecom, CNOOC, Hua Hong Semi, YOFC, Huadian.


A-H Premium Weekly (Jun 21st): China Tourism, Shenhua, China Telecom, CNOOC, Hua Hong Semi, YOFC

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 105.3% as of Jun 14th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 1.6ppt week-on-week, led by consumer discretionary, information technology, financials and offset by consumer staples, utilities, real estate.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for  China Tourism, CGN Power, Huadian Power, Hua Hong Semi, Huaneng Power.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 105.3% as of Jun 14th.
The average A-H premium changed by 1.6ppt week-on-week, led by consumer discretionary, information technology, financials and offset by consumer staples, utilities, real estate.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for  China Tourism, CGN Power, Huadian Power, Hua Hong Semi, Huaneng Power.


A-H Premium Weekly (Jun 14th): China Tourism, CGN Power, Huadian Power, Hua Hong Semi, Huaneng Power

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 103.8% as of Jun 7th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -4.8ppt week-on-week, led by consumer staples, information technology, utilities and offset by consumer discretionary.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for PetroChina, Huadian, Hua Hong Semi, Junshi, GWM.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 103.8% as of Jun 7th.
The average A-H premium changed by -4.8ppt week-on-week, led by consumer staples, information technology, utilities and offset by consumer discretionary.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for PetroChina, Huadian, Hua Hong Semi, Junshi, GWM.


A-H Premium Weekly (Jun 7th): PetroChina, Huadian, Hua Hong Semi, Junshi, GWM

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Capital Markets

Midea Group Co Ltd A / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Although Midea’s performance keeps growing, it is difficult for the home appliance industry to return to rapidly growing incremental market as it was during the robust development of real estate.</li>
<li>As Midea’s To C business encounters growth bottleneck, To B business has become new performance driver and second growth curve, but several new businesses are facing challenges in 24Q1.</li>
<li>For mature leading enterprises in home appliance industry, a valuation of 10-20x PE is reasonable, which means market value of RMB370-740 billion, assuming 2024 net profit would reach RMB37 billion.</li>
</ul>


Although Midea’s performance keeps growing, it is difficult for the home appliance industry to return to rapidly growing incremental market as it was during the robust development of real estate.
As Midea’s To C business encounters growth bottleneck, To B business has become new performance driver and second growth curve, but several new businesses are facing challenges in 24Q1.
For mature leading enterprises in home appliance industry, a valuation of 10-20x PE is reasonable, which means market value of RMB370-740 billion, assuming 2024 net profit would reach RMB37 billion.


Pre-IPO Midea Group H Share - Even in the Face of Challenges, There Is Still Investment Value

China

Haier Smart Home Co. Ltd. manufactures and distributes appliances. The Company produces air conditioners, refrigerators, freezers, small household electrical appliances, and other related products. Haier Smart Home markets its products domestically and internationally.

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Haier Smart Home (600690 CH)

A-H Premium Weekly (Jun 21st): China Tourism, Shenhua, China Telecom, CNOOC, Hua Hong Semi, YOFC

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Tourism, Shenhua, China Telecom, CNOOC, Hua Hong Semi,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Jun 14th): China Tourism, CGN Power, Huadian Power, Hua Hong Semi, Huaneng Power

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Tourism, CGN Power, Huadian Power, Hua Hong Semi,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Jun 7th): PetroChina, Huadian, Hua Hong Semi, Junshi, GWM

We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for PetroChina, Huadian Power, Hua Hong Semi, Shanghai Junshi, Great Wall Motor.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Midea Group (000333 CH): CSRC Approval ✓; IPO Size Will Depend on H-Share Discount

The CSRC has approved Midea Group's application to list H-shares on the HKEX. The amount raised will depend on market conditions, investor...

Brian Freitas

A-H Premium Weekly (Jun 21st): China Tourism, Shenhua, China Telecom, CNOOC, Hua Hong Semi, YOFC

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Tourism, Shenhua, China Telecom, CNOOC, Hua Hong Semi,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Jun 14th): China Tourism, CGN Power, Huadian Power, Hua Hong Semi, Huaneng Power

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Tourism, CGN Power, Huadian Power, Hua Hong Semi,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Jun 7th): PetroChina, Huadian, Hua Hong Semi, Junshi, GWM

We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for PetroChina, Huadian Power, Hua Hong Semi, Shanghai Junshi, Great Wall Motor.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Pre-IPO Midea Group H Share - Even in the Face of Challenges, There Is Still Investment Value

Midea’s To C business encounters growth bottleneck as the industry beta has gone. To B business is new growth driver but it's facing challenges....

Xinyao (Criss) Wang