Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>BHP shareholders received US$18bn worth of Woodside petroleum shares on 1st Jun 2022, post the completion of the merger.</li>
<li>As a part of the distribution, some shares belonging to ineligible and other small shareholders are being sold by the sales agent, JPM, in a US$823m block.</li>
<li>In this note, we will look at the possible deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>


BHP shareholders received US$18bn worth of Woodside petroleum shares on 1st Jun 2022, post the completion of the merger.
As a part of the distribution, some shares belonging to ineligible and other small shareholders are being sold by the sales agent, JPM, in a US$823m block.
In this note, we will look at the possible deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.


BHP Woodside Placement - Here Comes the Block, Will Be Tricky Trading over the Next Few Days

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>The Australian Financial Review's "Street Talk" column says the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/woodside-petroleum-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:177:1" rel="noopener">Woodside Petroleum (WPL AU)</a> (new ticker is WDS AU) block is out. </li>
<li>Bookbuild is at $28.65 to $30.19 a share with is a 0% to 5.1% discount to the close (stock was up 1.44% today).</li>
<li>The size of the trade is apparently 38 million shares. If you have been in the Woodside/Santos trade, I would take the deal, tactically.</li>
</ul>


The Australian Financial Review's "Street Talk" column says the Woodside Petroleum (WPL AU) (new ticker is WDS AU) block is out. 
Bookbuild is at $28.65 to $30.19 a share with is a 0% to 5.1% discount to the close (stock was up 1.44% today).
The size of the trade is apparently 38 million shares. If you have been in the Woodside/Santos trade, I would take the deal, tactically.


Woodside Block - Medium Bigly, Well-Prepared, and More To Come

David Blennerhassett

<ul>
<li>Post-Spin, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bhp-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:147:1" rel="noopener">BHP (BHP AU)</a> should look more like RIO. It's not clear it does, but it does move around in a way that allows one to harvest ratio noise. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-of-kyoto" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5248:1" rel="noopener">Bank of Kyoto (8369 JP)</a> has been the poster child for "deep value" Japan traders and occasional wannabe activists. It has a huge equity portfolio which dwarfs market cap. </li>
<li>Fourteen years after its acquisition, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/incitec-pivot-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1127:1" rel="noopener">Incitec Pivot (IPL AU)</a> plans to demerge Dyno Nobel from its fertilizer ops. The split has been a long time coming. </li>
</ul>


Post-Spin, BHP (BHP AU) should look more like RIO. It's not clear it does, but it does move around in a way that allows one to harvest ratio noise. 

Bank of Kyoto (8369 JP) has been the poster child for "deep value" Japan traders and occasional wannabe activists. It has a huge equity portfolio which dwarfs market cap. 
Fourteen years after its acquisition, Incitec Pivot (IPL AU) plans to demerge Dyno Nobel from its fertilizer ops. The split has been a long time coming. 


Last Week in Event SPACE: BHP, Bank of Kyoto, Incitec Pivot, Yancoal, Virtus

<ul>
<li>BHP goes ex-WPL at the open of 25 May 2022. The ex-WPL price is A$5.24 lower than Tuesday's close and there is another A$2.20 of franking credits on top.</li>
<li>Historically, the BHP/RIO ratio has traded within a relatively defined range. It moves, then after a while it tends to revert. I present a trading model.</li>
<li>And grids. I present spinoff grids with live tracking of the BHP ex-WPL/RIO Ratio within its last 6- and 12-month (div-adjusted) ratios.</li>
</ul>


BHP goes ex-WPL at the open of 25 May 2022. The ex-WPL price is A$5.24 lower than Tuesday's close and there is another A$2.20 of franking credits on top.
Historically, the BHP/RIO ratio has traded within a relatively defined range. It moves, then after a while it tends to revert. I present a trading model.
And grids. I present spinoff grids with live tracking of the BHP ex-WPL/RIO Ratio within its last 6- and 12-month (div-adjusted) ratios.


Marking Post-WPL-Spin BHP to Market and Model

<ul>
<li>BHP shareholders will receive US$18bn worth of Woodside petroleum shares on 1st Jun 2022, post the completion of the merger. Block, worth US$1.5bn, could be sold in early June.</li>
<li>As a part of the distribution, some shares belonging to ineligible and other small shareholders will have to be sold by the sales agent, JPM. </li>
<li>In this note, we will look at the possible deal dynamics and the overall background of the deal.</li>
</ul>


BHP shareholders will receive US$18bn worth of Woodside petroleum shares on 1st Jun 2022, post the completion of the merger. Block, worth US$1.5bn, could be sold in early June.
As a part of the distribution, some shares belonging to ineligible and other small shareholders will have to be sold by the sales agent, JPM. 
In this note, we will look at the possible deal dynamics and the overall background of the deal.


BHP Woodside Distribution - Could Be a Large Block (~US$1bn) In Early June

Australia

Santos Limited explores for and produces natural gas, crude oil, condensate, naphtha and liquid petroleum gas.  The Company conducts major onshore and offshore petroleum exploration activities at oil and gas fields in Australia (Cooper/Eromanga Basins), the United States (Gulf of Mexico), Indonesia and Papua New Guinea. The Company also transports crude oil by pipeline.

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Santos Ltd (STO AU)

BHP Woodside Placement - Here Comes the Block, Will Be Tricky Trading over the Next Few Days

BHP shareholders received US$18bn worth of Woodside petroleum shares on 1st Jun 2022. As a part of the merger, JPM is looking to sell around...

Sumeet Singh

Woodside Block - Medium Bigly, Well-Prepared, and More To Come

The Woodside "Sale Facility" block is out at a 0-5.1% discount. This block is well-flagged, somewhat well-prepared, and some people are long Santos...

Travis Lundy

Last Week in Event SPACE: BHP, Bank of Kyoto, Incitec Pivot, Yancoal, Virtus

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Marking Post-WPL-Spin BHP to Market and Model

BHP vs RIO changes shape on 25 May 2022 as the WPL spin-off goes live. This is a look at the new BHP/RIO pair, with BHP ex-WPL history, and a...

Travis Lundy

BHP Woodside Distribution - Could Be a Large Block (~US$1bn) In Early June

BHP shareholders will receive US$18bn worth of Woodside petroleum shares on 1st Jun 2022, post the completion of the merger. Block, worth US$1.5bn,...

Sumeet Singh

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