Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Brookfield Asset Management/MidOcean Energy's tilt for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/origin-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:797:1" rel="noopener">Origin Energy (ORG AU)</a>, faced two major hurdles. </li>
<li>The first was ACCC approval. Not just over competition issues, but also the perceived/apparent public benefit from Brookfield's future commitment to renewable generation. ACCC has now cleared the transaction. 
</li>
<li>The second is currying favour with shareholders, several of whom, including AustralianSuper (13.68% stake), reckon the Offer is substantially below long-term value. This needs a bump.</li>
</ul>


Brookfield Asset Management/MidOcean Energy's tilt for Origin Energy (ORG AU), faced two major hurdles. 
The first was ACCC approval. Not just over competition issues, but also the perceived/apparent public benefit from Brookfield's future commitment to renewable generation. ACCC has now cleared the transaction. 

The second is currying favour with shareholders, several of whom, including AustralianSuper (13.68% stake), reckon the Offer is substantially below long-term value. This needs a bump.


Origin/Brookfield: ACCC Rubber Stamped. Now Shareholders Will Have Their Say

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Star Entertainment Group / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/star-entertainment-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:926:1" rel="noopener">Star Entertainment Group (SGR AU)</a> (SGR) plans to raise around US$480m (A$750m) via an entitlement offer cum institutional placement.</li>
<li>SGR undertook a similar sized raising earlier this year in Feb 2023, at a price which was double the current deal price.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Star Entertainment Group (SGR AU) (SGR) plans to raise around US$480m (A$750m) via an entitlement offer cum institutional placement.
SGR undertook a similar sized raising earlier this year in Feb 2023, at a price which was double the current deal price.
In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics.


Star Entertainment Entitlement+Placement - Would You Rescue Me? Again?

<ul>
<li>After <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/origin-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:797:1" rel="noopener">Origin Energy (ORG AU)</a> entered into a Scheme Implementation Deed with Brookfield Asset Management/MidOcean Energy in late March, the ACCC approval process has played out in the public eye.</li>
<li>And it hasn't been all beer and Skittles for the Offerors. Not just on competition issues. But also the perceived/apparent public benefit from Brookfield's future commitment to renewable generation.  </li>
<li>All the while, the ACCC recently blocked <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/australia-and-new-zealand-banking-group-anz" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:443:1" rel="noopener">ANZ (ANZ AU)</a>’s acquisition of Suncorp Bank, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/telstra-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:690:1" rel="noopener">Telstra Corp (TLS AU)</a>/<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tpg-telecom-ltd-5b64c473-761f-4a0a-a7f9-95770efefa20" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30984:1" rel="noopener">TPG Telecom (TPG AU)</a>'s mobile network sharing deal. </li>
</ul>


After Origin Energy (ORG AU) entered into a Scheme Implementation Deed with Brookfield Asset Management/MidOcean Energy in late March, the ACCC approval process has played out in the public eye.
And it hasn't been all beer and Skittles for the Offerors. Not just on competition issues. But also the perceived/apparent public benefit from Brookfield's future commitment to renewable generation.  
All the while, the ACCC recently blocked ANZ (ANZ AU)’s acquisition of Suncorp Bank, and Telstra Corp (TLS AU)/TPG Telecom (TPG AU)'s mobile network sharing deal. 


Origin Energy: ACCC's Concerns And Brookfield's Quid Pro Quo

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ventia-services-group-pty-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34917:1" rel="noopener">Ventia Services Group Pty (VNT AU)</a> (VSG)’s two largest shareholders, Apollo Global Management and CIMIC Group, aim to raise around US$214m via selling 14% of the company.</li>
<li>The two largest shareholders together owned nearly 30% of the company and have pared their stake twice this year.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Ventia Services Group Pty (VNT AU) (VSG)’s two largest shareholders, Apollo Global Management and CIMIC Group, aim to raise around US$214m via selling 14% of the company.
The two largest shareholders together owned nearly 30% of the company and have pared their stake twice this year.
In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics.


Ventia Services Group Placement - Well Flagged and All past Deals Have Done Well

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ventia-services-group-pty-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34917:1" rel="noopener">Ventia Services Group Pty (VNT AU)</a>’s two largest shareholders, Apollo Global Management and CIMIC Group, will come off their placement linked lockup soon.</li>
<li>The two largest shareholders together owned nearly 30% of the company and have pared their stake twice this year.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the likely placement and past deal performance.</li>
</ul>



Ventia Services Group Pty (VNT AU)’s two largest shareholders, Apollo Global Management and CIMIC Group, will come off their placement linked lockup soon.
The two largest shareholders together owned nearly 30% of the company and have pared their stake twice this year.
In this note, we will talk about the likely placement and past deal performance.


Ventia Services Group US$450m Placement Lockup Expiry - Past Deals Have Done Well

Australia

Telstra Corporation Limited is a full service domestic and international telecommunications provider for Australia.  The Company provides telephone exchange lines to homes and businesses, supplying local, long distance and international telephone calls and supplying mobile telecommunications services. Telstra also provides data, internet, on-line services and directory services.

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Telstra Corp (TLS AU)

Origin/Brookfield: ACCC Rubber Stamped. Now Shareholders Will Have Their Say

Shares are up 4.5% today to A$9.15, as I type, suggesting ~7% upside to a possible A$9.80/share revised Offer. I'd be picking up shares around here.

David Blennerhassett

Star Entertainment Entitlement+Placement - Would You Rescue Me? Again?

Star Entertainment Group (SGR AU) (SGR) plans to raise around US$480m (A$750m) via an entitlement offer cum institutional placement. This will be...

Sumeet Singh

Origin Energy: ACCC's Concerns And Brookfield's Quid Pro Quo

The integrated energy play is trading at a healthy 5.1% gross spread to terms, with an off-ramp perhaps mid-1Q24. I would be a buyer around here.

David Blennerhassett

Ventia Services Group Placement - Well Flagged and All past Deals Have Done Well

Ventia Services Group Pty (VNT AU) (VSG)’s two largest shareholders, Apollo Global Management and CIMIC Group, aim to raise around US$214m via...

Sumeet Singh

Ventia Services Group US$450m Placement Lockup Expiry - Past Deals Have Done Well

The deal is now live, with the two investors looking to sell half of their current stake, as we had expected. This will be a very well flagged deal.

Sumeet Singh

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