Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>On 2 March, it was reported in numerous media that Apple Inc will stop all product sales in Russia. This is a measure in response to Russia's invasion of Ukraine.</li>
<li>The US-led <strong>Foreign Direct Product Rule (FDPR) regulation</strong> may force a more stringent sanction that could force Samsung to stop selling smartphones in Russia. </li>
<li>Despite these concerns about FDPR, the decision as to whether to totally block Samsung's smartphone sales to Russia has not been finalized. </li>
</ul>


On 2 March, it was reported in numerous media that Apple Inc will stop all product sales in Russia. This is a measure in response to Russia's invasion of Ukraine.
The US-led Foreign Direct Product Rule (FDPR) regulation may force a more stringent sanction that could force Samsung to stop selling smartphones in Russia. 
Despite these concerns about FDPR, the decision as to whether to totally block Samsung's smartphone sales to Russia has not been finalized. 


Will Samsung Follow Apple and Be Forced to Stop Selling Smartphones in Russia Due to FDPR Rule?

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/razer-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24380:1" rel="noopener">Razer Inc (1337 HK)</a> announced that all the pre-conditions were fulfilled. The scheme document will be released after the FY21 results (scheduled on or before 17 March).  </li>
<li>The headcount test is a key challenge. While the deal's success benefits from the de-rating of technology shares, it is also undermined by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/logitech-international-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22422:1" rel="noopener">Logitech International SA (LOGN SW)</a>’s strong 3Q. </li>
<li>The shares are broadly fairly valued at last close both on a SoTP and deal probability basis. We would be buyers up to HK$2.5 per share (implies 65% deal probability).</li>
</ul>



Razer Inc (1337 HK) announced that all the pre-conditions were fulfilled. The scheme document will be released after the FY21 results (scheduled on or before 17 March).  
The headcount test is a key challenge. While the deal's success benefits from the de-rating of technology shares, it is also undermined by Logitech International SA (LOGN SW)’s strong 3Q. 
The shares are broadly fairly valued at last close both on a SoTP and deal probability basis. We would be buyers up to HK$2.5 per share (implies 65% deal probability).


Razer's Offer Spread Risk/Reward – Pre-Conditions Fulfilled

<ul>
<li>Lg Innotek (011070 KS), a leading global producer of optical electronic parts, has one of the most attractive fundamentals in Korea. </li>
<li>LG Innotek has become one of the critical suppliers for Apple's smartphones. For example, LG Innotek accounted for more than 70% of the camera modules used for Apple's iPhone 13.</li>
<li>In the intermediate term, LG Innotek is expected to benefit from higher demand for metaverse related cameras, 3D sensing modules, and autonomous vehicle cameras. </li>
</ul>


Lg Innotek (011070 KS), a leading global producer of optical electronic parts, has one of the most attractive fundamentals in Korea. 
LG Innotek has become one of the critical suppliers for Apple's smartphones. For example, LG Innotek accounted for more than 70% of the camera modules used for Apple's iPhone 13.
In the intermediate term, LG Innotek is expected to benefit from higher demand for metaverse related cameras, 3D sensing modules, and autonomous vehicle cameras. 


LG Innotek: One of the Most Attractive Fundamentals in the Korean Stock Market

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul><li>Apple set an all-time revenue record of nearly $124 billion during the busy holiday season, up 11% from last year and better than they had expected at the start of the quarter.</li><li>Despite supply constraints, its largest revenue contributor, the iPhone revenue increased 9% year over year to an all-time high of $71.6 billion, thanks to a strong customer response to their new iPhone 13 family.</li><li>It is worth highlighting that Apple has a staggering $203 billion in cash and marketable securities on its balance sheet owing to its strong operating performance and holiday quarter seasonality.</li></ul>

Apple set an all-time revenue record of nearly $124 billion during the busy holiday season, up 11% from last year and better than they had expected at the start of the quarter.Despite supply constraints, its largest revenue contributor, the iPhone revenue increased 9% year over year to an all-time high of $71.6 billion, thanks to a strong customer response to their new iPhone 13 family.It is worth highlighting that Apple has a staggering $203 billion in cash and marketable securities on its balance sheet owing to its strong operating performance and holiday quarter seasonality.

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst, Obex Capital Research

Aaron Gabin

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research

Obex Capital Research

“Obex” is Latin for Barriers to Entry. Obex Capital Management’s investment philosophy is driven by an intense focus on which business model’s Barriers to Entry are able to withstand the ever increasing competitive disruption in the TMT and Consumer Sectors.

<ul>
<li>Snapchat largely dispelled the Apple bear case, and should return to the mid $60s.</li>
<li>Actual competitive differentiation vs. TikTok and Facebook means Snapchat's user growth and engagement remain strong.</li>
<li>Revenue growth will reaccelerate as it works through IDFA, but international monetization is the kicker.</li>
</ul>


Snapchat largely dispelled the Apple bear case, and should return to the mid $60s.
Actual competitive differentiation vs. TikTok and Facebook means Snapchat's user growth and engagement remain strong.
Revenue growth will reaccelerate as it works through IDFA, but international monetization is the kicker.


Snapchat 4Q21: A Quick Turnaround…And Why Facebook Didn’t Snapback

United States

Apple Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets smartphones, personal computers, tablets, wearables and accessories, and sells a variety of related accessories. The Company also offers payment, digital content, cloud and advertising services. Apple Inc.'s customers are primarily in consumer, small & mid-sized business, education, enterprise and government markets worldwide.

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Apple (AAPL US)

Will Samsung Follow Apple and Be Forced to Stop Selling Smartphones in Russia Due to FDPR Rule?

The US-led Foreign Direct Product Rule (FDPR) regulation may force a more stringent sanction that could force Samsung to stop selling smartphones...

Douglas Kim

Razer's Offer Spread Risk/Reward – Pre-Conditions Fulfilled

While the privatisation's success benefits from the de-rating of technology shares, it is also undermined by Logitech’s strong 3Q. We would be...

Arun George

LG Innotek: One of the Most Attractive Fundamentals in the Korean Stock Market

Lg Innotek has a combination of relatively reasonable valuation multiples and excellent sales and profit growth rates. LG Innotek has become one of...

Douglas Kim

Apple Inc.: Upcoming Pipeline

Apple set an all-time revenue record of nearly $124 billion during the busy holiday season, up 11% from last year and better than they had...

Baptista Research

Snapchat 4Q21: A Quick Turnaround…And Why Facebook Didn’t Snapback

With Snapchat's LT thesis restored, we would buy the stock even up 50%. A return to its 5 yr P/S average of 14x would equate to $66 on 2023 revenues.

Aaron Gabin

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