Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Last week saw a wave of major tech companies report earnings with significance toward the semiconductor and technology space in Taiwan.</li>
<li>Memory chip takeaways - SK Hynix, Samsung see better supply/demand in 2023E. PC market -- Recent results discuss slight decline, potential stabilization in 2023E.</li>
<li>Mobile phones -- Relative strength in high-end vs. low-end. Auto &amp; Industrial -- Relative strength seen continuing. AMD, Qualcom, Elan, CHIPMos, Acer, Globalwafers results ahead.</li>
</ul>


Last week saw a wave of major tech companies report earnings with significance toward the semiconductor and technology space in Taiwan.
Memory chip takeaways - SK Hynix, Samsung see better supply/demand in 2023E. PC market -- Recent results discuss slight decline, potential stabilization in 2023E.
Mobile phones -- Relative strength in high-end vs. low-end. Auto &amp; Industrial -- Relative strength seen continuing. AMD, Qualcom, Elan, CHIPMos, Acer, Globalwafers results ahead.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Earnings Insights Emerging for Memory, Mobiles, PCs, and Autos

Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

Algosun Global

Private Capital Markets

UBTech Robotics / Private Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>UBTech Robotics is a pioneer in AI and leader in intelligent humanoid robots. The company commercialized robots for consumers with a mission to deliver the affordable robot to each family. </li>
<li>UBTech Robotics has raised ~$940M in equity financing and closed an $820M Series C round in May 2018, the single largest funding ever for AI private company.</li>
<li>We were impressed by healthy growth at scale, diversified business lines, core AI and robotics technologies, and strong partnerships with Tencent, Apple, and Walt Disney. </li>
</ul>


UBTech Robotics is a pioneer in AI and leader in intelligent humanoid robots. The company commercialized robots for consumers with a mission to deliver the affordable robot to each family. 
UBTech Robotics has raised ~$940M in equity financing and closed an $820M Series C round in May 2018, the single largest funding ever for AI private company.
We were impressed by healthy growth at scale, diversified business lines, core AI and robotics technologies, and strong partnerships with Tencent, Apple, and Walt Disney. 


UBTech Robotics: China’s Global AI and High-Tech Robotics Unicorn

Hon Hai Precision Industry / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Some workers have been fleeing Hon Hai's largest iPhone production facility in Zhengzhou, China over the weekend, due to COVID-19 outbreak lock-downs.</li>
<li>Even a significant hit to 4Q22E earnings is unlikely to change the 2023E and 2024E financial outlook or valuation multiples for the company, in our view.</li>
<li>Even after considering that Q4 is a high production period, if we assume November is about 1/10th of annual production, then only an estimated 2% annual reduction is at risk.</li>
</ul>


Some workers have been fleeing Hon Hai's largest iPhone production facility in Zhengzhou, China over the weekend, due to COVID-19 outbreak lock-downs.
Even a significant hit to 4Q22E earnings is unlikely to change the 2023E and 2024E financial outlook or valuation multiples for the company, in our view.
Even after considering that Q4 is a high production period, if we assume November is about 1/10th of annual production, then only an estimated 2% annual reduction is at risk.


Foxconn / Hon Hai: Quick-Take On The Zhengzhou Outbreak; Accumulate on Weakness

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst, Obex Capital Research

Aaron Gabin

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research

Obex Capital Research

“Obex” is Latin for Barriers to Entry. Obex Capital Management’s investment philosophy is driven by an intense focus on which business model’s Barriers to Entry are able to withstand the ever increasing competitive disruption in the TMT and Consumer Sectors.

Meta Platforms (Facebook) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Blowout (in a bad way) opex and capex guidance triggered a puke in META. Metaverse spending slowdowns completely ignored by Zuck.</li>
<li>Underlying engagement trends are suprisingly solid, as is underlying revenue growth (which was 8% organic this quarter ex-FX, IDFA, and Reels).</li>
<li>The key question is...what is the LT capital intensity for META to retain its competitive advantage through AI - related spending.</li>
</ul>


Blowout (in a bad way) opex and capex guidance triggered a puke in META. Metaverse spending slowdowns completely ignored by Zuck.
Underlying engagement trends are suprisingly solid, as is underlying revenue growth (which was 8% organic this quarter ex-FX, IDFA, and Reels).
The key question is...what is the LT capital intensity for META to retain its competitive advantage through AI - related spending.


META Platforms 3Q22: You Got to Keep ‘em Separated

<ul>
<li>ASML and Lam Research beat estimates last week and provided some relief to the semiconductor space.</li>
<li>Major global industry earnings coming this week include -- Samsung, SK Hynix, Texas Instruments, KLA Tencor, Apple, and Intel.</li>
<li>Major Taiwan earnings this week -- AUO, UMC, ASE, Realtek, Delta Electronics, Mediatek.</li>
</ul>


ASML and Lam Research beat estimates last week and provided some relief to the semiconductor space.
Major global industry earnings coming this week include -- Samsung, SK Hynix, Texas Instruments, KLA Tencor, Apple, and Intel.
Major Taiwan earnings this week -- AUO, UMC, ASE, Realtek, Delta Electronics, Mediatek.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: ASML & Lam Provide Industry Optimism, Wave of Earnings This Week

United States

Apple Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets smartphones, personal computers, tablets, wearables and accessories, and sells a variety of related accessories. The Company also offers payment, digital content, cloud and advertising services. Apple Inc.'s customers are primarily in consumer, small & mid-sized business, education, enterprise and government markets worldwide.

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Apple (AAPL US)

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Earnings Insights Emerging for Memory, Mobiles, PCs, and Autos

Last week saw a wave of major tech companies report earnings with significance toward the semiconductor and technology space in Taiwan.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

UBTech Robotics: China’s Global AI and High-Tech Robotics Unicorn

Tencent-backed UBTech Robotics is one of the key players in the global consumer robotics market, which is expected to reach ~$94B by 2028, growing...

Andrei Zakharov

Foxconn / Hon Hai: Quick-Take On The Zhengzhou Outbreak; Accumulate on Weakness

Even a significant hit to 4Q22E earnings is unlikely to change the 2023E and 2024E financial outlook or valuation multiples for the company, in our...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

META Platforms 3Q22: You Got to Keep ‘em Separated

We think the current trajectory for META is unsustainable. The company will lose talent soon if the stock doesn't start to work, which requires...

Aaron Gabin

Taiwan Tech Weekly: ASML & Lam Provide Industry Optimism, Wave of Earnings This Week

Earnings season is now in full swing with a wave of results to be released this week for both the global industry and within Taiwan.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

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