Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Orient Overseas International / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The inclusion of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/orient-overseas-international" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:801:1" rel="noopener">Orient Overseas International</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhongsheng-group-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10573:1" rel="noopener">Zhongsheng Group</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/semiconductor-manufacturing-international-corp-smic" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14231:1" rel="noopener">Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-hongqiao-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1909:1" rel="noopener">China Hongqiao</a> plus the deletion of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aac-technologies-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6544:1" rel="noopener">AAC Technologies Holdings</a> takes us to 69 index stocks.</li>
<li>Changes to the stocks, number of shares, float and capping result in an estimated one-way turnover is 3.43% and will result in a one-way trade of HK$7,444m.</li>
<li>There is huge short interest on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhongsheng-group-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10573:1" rel="noopener">Zhongsheng Group (881 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-hongqiao-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1909:1" rel="noopener">China Hongqiao (1378 HK)</a> and there could be some short covering from now to implementation.</li>
</ul>


The inclusion of Orient Overseas International, Zhongsheng Group, Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) and China Hongqiao plus the deletion of AAC Technologies Holdings takes us to 69 index stocks.
Changes to the stocks, number of shares, float and capping result in an estimated one-way turnover is 3.43% and will result in a one-way trade of HK$7,444m.
There is huge short interest on Zhongsheng Group (881 HK) and China Hongqiao (1378 HK) and there could be some short covering from now to implementation.


HSI Index Rebalance: Four Weddings & A Funeral

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/akm-industrial-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7206:1" rel="noopener">AKM Industrial (1639 HK)</a>’s privatisation offer from Alpha Luck and AKM Meadville of HK$1.8345 consists of a base offer (HK$1.82) and a final dividend (HK1.45 cent).</li>
<li>The pre-condition was fulfilled on 22 April. The latest date for the despatch of the scheme document has been extended to 10 June. </li>
<li>Shareholders with blocking stakes have previously provided irrevocables. At last close and for an early-August effective date, the gross and annualised spread to the offer is 3.1% and 10.7%, respectively.</li>
</ul>



AKM Industrial (1639 HK)’s privatisation offer from Alpha Luck and AKM Meadville of HK$1.8345 consists of a base offer (HK$1.82) and a final dividend (HK1.45 cent).
The pre-condition was fulfilled on 22 April. The latest date for the despatch of the scheme document has been extended to 10 June. 
Shareholders with blocking stakes have previously provided irrevocables. At last close and for an early-August effective date, the gross and annualised spread to the offer is 3.1% and 10.7%, respectively.


AKM Industrial’s Offer Risk/Reward – Pre-Condition Satisfied

Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Lucror Analytics' ESG Scores are based on a 3-tiered scale and are adjusted for Controversies (if applicable). We assess AAC Technologies' ESG as "Adequate", in line with its "Adequate" Environmental, Social and Governance scores. Controversies are "Immaterial" and Disclosure is "Adequate".

Lucror Analytics' ESG Scores are based on a 3-tiered scale and are adjusted for Controversies (if applicable).  We assess AAC Technologies' ESG as "Adequate", in line with its "Adequate" Environmental, Social and Governance scores. Controversies are "Immaterial" and Disclosure is "Adequate".  

AAC Technologies - ESG Report - Lucror Analytics

<ul>
<li>Current at 66 constituents, we expect to reach 80 <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">HSI INDEX</a> constituents by the end of the year before moving higher towards 100 index members in 2023.</li>
<li>We list 10 stocks that could be added to the index in June - with one-way turnover close to 6%, the actual number of inclusions will be lower.</li>
<li>We also list out another 8 stocks that could possibly be added in June, though the probability of a September/ December inclusion is higher.</li>
</ul>


Current at 66 constituents, we expect to reach 80 HSI INDEX constituents by the end of the year before moving higher towards 100 index members in 2023.
We list 10 stocks that could be added to the index in June - with one-way turnover close to 6%, the actual number of inclusions will be lower.
We also list out another 8 stocks that could possibly be added in June, though the probability of a September/ December inclusion is higher.


HSI Index Rebalance Preview: Will The Pace of Inclusions Pick Up?

Credit

We view AAC Technologies as "Low Risk" on the LARA scale, mainly due to the company's market position in the acoustics segment, healthy financial profile and diversified product range. AAC is a supplier to reputable brands such as Apple, Samsung, Lenovo, LG Electronics, Huawei Technologies and Xiaomi Corp. The acoustics business is the company's key profit centre. That said, AAC will need to further diversify its products to keep up with clients' needs, as well as expand the customer base to boost revenue. The company's operations and expansion plans could be disrupted by the resurgence of COVID-19 cases. Our Credit Bias on AAC is "Stable", given the company's leading position in the acoustics segment, solid business fundamentals and healthy financial profile. That said, AAC may face supply disruptions due to the resurgence of COVID-19 cases, especially since Greater China is one of the company's largest markets.

  We view AAC Technologies as "Low Risk" on the LARA scale, mainly due to the company's market position in the acoustics segment, healthy financial profile and diversified product range. AAC is a supplier to reputable brands such as Apple, Samsung, Lenovo, LG Electronics, Huawei Technologies and Xiaomi Corp. The acoustics business is the company's key profit centre. That said, AAC will need to further diversify its products to keep up with clients' needs, as well as expand the customer base to boost revenue. The company's operations and expansion plans could be disrupted by the resurgence of COVID-19 cases.   Our Credit Bias on AAC is "Stable", given the company's leading position in the acoustics segment, solid business fundamentals and healthy financial profile. That said, AAC may face supply disruptions due to the resurgence of COVID-19 cases, especially since Greater China is one of the company's largest markets. 

AAC Technologies - Tear Sheet - Lucror Analytics

China

AAC Technologies Holdings Inc designs, develops and manufactures a broad range of miniaturized components that include speakers, receivers and microphones in the acoustic segment and others such as haptics vibrators, RF and antennas, and optical lenses. AAC's products are found in mobile devices such as smartphones, tablets, wearables, ultrabooks, notebooks and electronic book-readers.

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AAC Technologies Holdings (2018 HK)

HSI Index Rebalance: Four Weddings & A Funeral

There are 4 adds & 1 delete to take the number of HSI members to 69. There is reasonable impact on the stocks and huge short interest on some of...

Brian Freitas

AKM Industrial’s Offer Risk/Reward – Pre-Condition Satisfied

The pre-condition was fulfilled on 22 April. The scheme document will be out by 10 June. For an early-August effective date, the annualised spread...

Arun George

AAC Technologies - ESG Report - Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics' ESG Scores are based on a 3-tiered scale and are adjusted for Controversies (if applicable). We assess AAC Technologies' ESG as...

Lucror Analytics

HSI Index Rebalance Preview: Will The Pace of Inclusions Pick Up?

There could be 5-6 inclusions to the HSI in June as part of the move to 80 members. We list 10 stocks that could be added to the index, and another...

Brian Freitas

AAC Technologies - Tear Sheet - Lucror Analytics

We view AAC Technologies as "Low Risk" on the LARA scale, mainly due to the company's market position in the acoustics segment, healthy financial...

Lucror Analytics

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