Chief Economist & Political Strategist, CrossASEAN Research

Prasenjit K. Basu

Chief Economist & Political Strategist

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>We expect a 12.5bp hike in the policy rate in Sep'24, as CPI inflation (2.52%YoY in Jul'24) remains well above the 2% target amid CBC concerns about overheated property markets. </li>
<li>Real GDP grew 5.1%YoY in Q2CY24, following 6.6%YoY growth in Q1 (both faster than mainland China). Exports grew 10%YoY in Jan-Jul'24, and export orders growth is at a 2-year high.</li>
<li>The market's trailing P/E ratio (23.56x) is well above its 20-year mean (19.84x). But we recommend a mild Overweight in Taiwan equities, with a focus on the largest tech stocks. </li>
</ul>


We expect a 12.5bp hike in the policy rate in Sep'24, as CPI inflation (2.52%YoY in Jul'24) remains well above the 2% target amid CBC concerns about overheated property markets. 
Real GDP grew 5.1%YoY in Q2CY24, following 6.6%YoY growth in Q1 (both faster than mainland China). Exports grew 10%YoY in Jan-Jul'24, and export orders growth is at a 2-year high.
The market's trailing P/E ratio (23.56x) is well above its 20-year mean (19.84x). But we recommend a mild Overweight in Taiwan equities, with a focus on the largest tech stocks. 


Taiwan: Rates to Buck Global Loosening as Growth Stays Robust and Inflation Too High

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Aug 9th which has an aggregated holding worth USD914.4bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,693mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight foreign changes in TSMC, Hon Hai, Quanta Computer, Unimicron Tech, Mediatek, Wiwynn.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Aug 9th which has an aggregated holding worth USD914.4bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,693mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight foreign changes in TSMC, Hon Hai, Quanta Computer, Unimicron Tech, Mediatek, Wiwynn.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Aug 9th): TSMC, Hon Hai, Quanta Computer, Unimicron Tech, Mediatek

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Aug 9th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD18.6bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Hon Hai, Quanta Computer, TSMC, Elite Material, Asia Vital, Gigabyte Tech, Zhen Ding Tech, Tcc Group Holdin, Global Unichip.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Aug 9th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD18.6bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Hon Hai, Quanta Computer, TSMC, Elite Material, Asia Vital, Gigabyte Tech, Zhen Ding Tech, Tcc Group Holdin, Global Unichip.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Aug 9th): Hon Hai, Quanta Computer, TSMC, Elite Material, Asia Vital

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Last Week -- TSMC's July Revenue Soared, Asustek Guided for PC Growth Acceleration, While KYEC, Mediatek, and UMC Rebounded</li>
<li>Key Events -- This Week Look to Hon Hai &amp; Zhen Ding Earnings and Guidance for Servers, AI PCs/Mobiles, iPhone 16</li>
<li>PC Monitor: Promising Uptake of Microsoft Copilot and AI Services; Remain Structurally Long </li>
</ul>


Last Week -- TSMC's July Revenue Soared, Asustek Guided for PC Growth Acceleration, While KYEC, Mediatek, and UMC Rebounded
Key Events -- This Week Look to Hon Hai &amp; Zhen Ding Earnings and Guidance for Servers, AI PCs/Mobiles, iPhone 16
PC Monitor: Promising Uptake of Microsoft Copilot and AI Services; Remain Structurally Long 


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Watch Hon Hai & Zhen Ding Guidance for Servers, AI PCs/Mobiles, and IPhone 16

<ul>
<li>TSMC: +16.1% Premium; Strong Spread Rebound, Potential Opportunity to Short the Spread</li>
<li>UMC: +1.6% Premium; Consider Shorting the Spread at This Level</li>
<li>ASE: +3.8% Premium; Uncertainty Remains on the Sustainability of the Recent Breakdown</li>
</ul>


TSMC: +16.1% Premium; Strong Spread Rebound, Potential Opportunity to Short the Spread
UMC: +1.6% Premium; Consider Shorting the Spread at This Level
ASE: +3.8% Premium; Uncertainty Remains on the Sustainability of the Recent Breakdown


Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Strong Spread Rebound Into Short Zone; ASE Remains Broken Down

Taiwan

United Microelectronics Corporation designs, manufactures, and markets integrated circuits (ICs) and related electronic products.  The Company's main products are consumer electronic ICs, memory ICs, personal computer peripheral ICs, and communication ICs.

Price Gauge
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United Microelectronics Corp (2303 TT)

Taiwan: Rates to Buck Global Loosening as Growth Stays Robust and Inflation Too High

Taiwan's RGDP growth outpaced the PRC's for the past 3 quarters, and inflation (2.52%YoY in Jul'24) will require a 12.5bp rate hike. Despite rich...

Prasenjit K. Basu

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Aug 9th): TSMC, Hon Hai, Quanta Computer, Unimicron Tech, Mediatek

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, Hon Hai, Quanta Computer, Unimicron Tech,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Aug 9th): Hon Hai, Quanta Computer, TSMC, Elite Material, Asia Vital

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Hon Hai, Quanta Computer, TSMC, Elite Material,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Watch Hon Hai & Zhen Ding Guidance for Servers, AI PCs/Mobiles, and IPhone 16

TSMC, Asustek, KYEC, Mediatek, and UMC see revenue growth, Hon Hai and Zhen Ding earnings in focus for servers, AI, and iPhone 16. Microsoft...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Strong Spread Rebound Into Short Zone; ASE Remains Broken Down

We analyze the premium and discount levels of dual-listed Taiwan companies, suggesting potential spread trading levels based on historical trends.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Taiwan: Rates to Buck Global Loosening as Growth Stays Robust and Inflation Too High

Taiwan's RGDP growth outpaced the PRC's for the past 3 quarters, and inflation (2.52%YoY in Jul'24) will require a 12.5bp rate hike. Despite rich...

Prasenjit K. Basu

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Aug 9th): TSMC, Hon Hai, Quanta Computer, Unimicron Tech, Mediatek

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, Hon Hai, Quanta Computer, Unimicron Tech,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Aug 9th): Hon Hai, Quanta Computer, TSMC, Elite Material, Asia Vital

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Hon Hai, Quanta Computer, TSMC, Elite Material,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Watch Hon Hai & Zhen Ding Guidance for Servers, AI PCs/Mobiles, and IPhone 16

​TSMC, Asustek, KYEC, Mediatek, and UMC see revenue growth, Hon Hai and Zhen Ding earnings in focus for servers, AI, and iPhone 16. Microsoft...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Strong Spread Rebound Into Short Zone; ASE Remains Broken Down

We analyze the premium and discount levels of dual-listed Taiwan companies, suggesting potential spread trading levels based on historical trends.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TSMC, Asustek, KYEC, Mediatek, and UMC see revenue growth, Hon Hai and Zhen Ding earnings in focus for servers, AI, and iPhone 16. Microsoft...