Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On Friday, Toshiba investors got two bits of news which have been taken as non-bullish.</li>
<li>Affiliate and former subsidiary <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kioxia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29243:1" rel="noopener">Kioxia (6600 JP)</a> announced it would cut wafer input volume by 30% starting in October, and Toshiba's announcement on the Privatisation process status implied some delay.</li>
<li>Today the shares are getting hit vs Peers. It's still a problem of lots of moving parts. </li>
</ul>


On Friday, Toshiba investors got two bits of news which have been taken as non-bullish.
Affiliate and former subsidiary Kioxia (6600 JP) announced it would cut wafer input volume by 30% starting in October, and Toshiba's announcement on the Privatisation process status implied some delay.
Today the shares are getting hit vs Peers. It's still a problem of lots of moving parts. 


David Blennerhassett

<ul>
<li>There are 49 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>Three new deals were discussed this week: Boyu's Offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jinke-smart-services-group-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29214:1" rel="noopener">Jinke Smart Services (9666 HK)</a>;  Chinachems's Offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pine-care-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28845:1" rel="noopener">Pine Care (1989 HK)</a>, &amp; Accenture Japan bid for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/albert-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29668:1" rel="noopener">ALBERT (3906 JP)</a>.</li>
<li>Key updates took place for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hitachi-metals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8561:1" rel="noopener">Hitachi Metals (5486 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/maca-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11390:1" rel="noopener">MACA Ltd (MLD AU)</a> .</li>
</ul>


There are 49 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
Three new deals were discussed this week: Boyu's Offer for Jinke Smart Services (9666 HK);  Chinachems's Offer for Pine Care (1989 HK), &amp; Accenture Japan bid for ALBERT (3906 JP).
Key updates took place for Hitachi Metals (5486 JP) and MACA Ltd (MLD AU) .


(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Jinke Smart, Pine Care, MACA, Hitachi Metals

<ul>
<li>The only way that noisy shareholders in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toshiba-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:637:1" rel="noopener">Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)</a> can be eliminated, allowing management and employees to focus on "making Toshiba stronger" is to arrange a privatisation. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bhp-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:147:1" rel="noopener">BHP Group Ltd (BHP AU)</a> approached <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oz-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1138:1" rel="noopener">OZ Minerals Ltd (OZL AU)</a> with a bid of A$25/share. Oz very quickly rejected. There are hints now that A$30 may be the price.   </li>
<li>After 23 months of negotiations with various parties, culminating in a protracted on-again, off-again, negotiation with Dye &amp; Durham, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-administration-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:970:1" rel="noopener">Link Administration (LNK AU)</a> is now without an Offer.</li>
</ul>


The only way that noisy shareholders in Toshiba Corp (6502 JP) can be eliminated, allowing management and employees to focus on "making Toshiba stronger" is to arrange a privatisation. 

BHP Group Ltd (BHP AU) approached OZ Minerals Ltd (OZL AU) with a bid of A$25/share. Oz very quickly rejected. There are hints now that A$30 may be the price.   
After 23 months of negotiations with various parties, culminating in a protracted on-again, off-again, negotiation with Dye &amp; Durham, Link Administration (LNK AU) is now without an Offer.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Toshiba, Oz Minerals, Link Admin, Sands China

<ul>
<li>There are 51 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>Three new deals were discussed this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shandong-fengxiang-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29164:1" rel="noopener">Shandong Fengxiang (9977 HK)</a>'s judicial auction; Oasis' Offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/raysum-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6084:1" rel="noopener">Raysum Co Ltd (8890 JP)</a>; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/central-glass-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8462:1" rel="noopener">Central Glass (4044 JP)</a>'s Tender Offer.</li>
<li>Key updates took place for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oz-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1138:1" rel="noopener">OZ Minerals Ltd (OZL AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-administration-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:970:1" rel="noopener">Link Administration (LNK AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toshiba-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:637:1" rel="noopener">Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kito-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19512:1" rel="noopener">Kito Corporation (6409 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/true-corp-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8:1" rel="noopener">True Corp (TRUE TB)</a>/<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/total-access-communication" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:948:1" rel="noopener">Total Access Communication (DTAC TB)</a>.</li>
</ul>


There are 51 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
Three new deals were discussed this week: Shandong Fengxiang (9977 HK)'s judicial auction; Oasis' Offer for Raysum Co Ltd (8890 JP); Central Glass (4044 JP)'s Tender Offer.
Key updates took place for OZ Minerals Ltd (OZL AU), Link Administration (LNK AU), Toshiba Corp (6502 JP), Kito Corporation (6409 JP), True Corp (TRUE TB)/Total Access Communication (DTAC TB).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Shandong Fengxiang; Raysum, Kito Corp, True/DTAC, OZ Min

<ul>
<li>When the Bidding started, at least 10 parties were in the data room. It ended up with 4 parties moving from Round1 to Round2 where binding bids come.</li>
<li>The Final Four: Brookfield, Bain, JIC+JIP, and CVC. Bidders advancing to Round2 weren't allowed to join together. But JIC+JIP are apparently splitting, and now JIC wants to partner with Bain.</li>
<li>They'd need an exception but this keeps four in the same format. It also likely makes more bids competitive. </li>
</ul>


When the Bidding started, at least 10 parties were in the data room. It ended up with 4 parties moving from Round1 to Round2 where binding bids come.
The Final Four: Brookfield, Bain, JIC+JIP, and CVC. Bidders advancing to Round2 weren't allowed to join together. But JIC+JIP are apparently splitting, and now JIC wants to partner with Bain.
They'd need an exception but this keeps four in the same format. It also likely makes more bids competitive. 


Toshiba Bidders Switching Partners May Be Bullish

Japan

Toshiba Corporation manufactures and markets electrical and electronic products. The Company's products include digital products such as PCs and televisions, NAND flash memories, and system LSIs (large-scale integrated), as well as social infrastructures such as power generators, medical equipment, and home appliances.

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Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)

Two Bits of Non-Bullish Toshiba News

Toshiba's possible deal timeline extended just as semi sector troubles start to make themselves better-known. Not bullish. But not hugely bearish....

Travis Lundy

(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Jinke Smart, Pine Care, MACA, Hitachi Metals

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Last Week in Event SPACE: Toshiba, Oz Minerals, Link Admin, Sands China

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Shandong Fengxiang; Raysum, Kito Corp, True/DTAC, OZ Min

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Toshiba Bidders Switching Partners May Be Bullish

Toshiba has 4 bidders in the proposal process, one of which WAS a joint domestic bid by JIC+JIP. They appear to be Splitsville and not JIC wants to...

Travis Lundy

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