Global Multi-Asset Investment Strategist, True Insights

Jeroen Blokland

Global Multi-Asset Investment Strategist

Build Well-Diversified Multi-Asset Portfolios

True Insights

Our research helps investors build well-diversified multi-asset portfolios and profit from market developments. In addition, our unique and proven Macro – Sentiment – Valuation (MSV) investment framework ensures a consistent flow of new investment opportunities. Together with our market views, these opportunities will be reflected in our live ETF-based Global Multi-Asset Portfolios.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>While early, the comparison to the previous quarter is remarkable. Almost all sectors reported better-than-expected earnings, but the market reaction has been negative in most cases. </li>
<li>Investors are fixated on inflation and the end of the Fed's tightening cycle. But the strong US labor market means the Fed will want to keep rates higher for longer. </li>
<li>The net percentage of bulls in the survey has risen to nearly 30%, pushing our Fear &amp; Frenzy Sentiment Index further into 'Frenzy' territory.</li>
</ul>


While early, the comparison to the previous quarter is remarkable. Almost all sectors reported better-than-expected earnings, but the market reaction has been negative in most cases. 
Investors are fixated on inflation and the end of the Fed's tightening cycle. But the strong US labor market means the Fed will want to keep rates higher for longer. 
The net percentage of bulls in the survey has risen to nearly 30%, pushing our Fear &amp; Frenzy Sentiment Index further into 'Frenzy' territory.


The Weekly Market Monitor (29) - The Moment of Truth?

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Investment firm Temasek International Pte. Ltd. will keep a close eye on the long-term prospects of generative artificial intelligence (AI) in China, but will hold off on investing in mainland-listed stocks in the industry given their lack of fundamentals, the company’s China president said.</li><li>The state-owned Singaporean firm hasn’t made a single investment on the mainland in artificial-intelligence generated content (AIGC) stocks, a term commonly used for shares related to generative AI, Wu Yibing told Caixin in an interview on July 13.</li><li>Fueled by the success of ChatGPT, AIGC concept stocks have rallied this year, making them one of the few segments in China’s sluggish domestic market that have experienced significant growth.</li></ul>

Investment firm Temasek International Pte. Ltd. will keep a close eye on the long-term prospects of generative artificial intelligence (AI) in China, but will hold off on investing in mainland-listed stocks in the industry given their lack of fundamentals, the company’s China president said.The state-owned Singaporean firm hasn’t made a single investment on the mainland in artificial-intelligence generated content (AIGC) stocks, a term commonly used for shares related to generative AI, Wu Yibing told Caixin in an interview on July 13.Fueled by the success of ChatGPT, AIGC concept stocks have rallied this year, making them one of the few segments in China’s sluggish domestic market that have experienced significant growth.

Why Temasek Is Steering Clear of China’s Generative AI Stock Frenzy for Now

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>TSMC will report its 2Q23 results today in the afternoon Taiwan time. Look for key readthroughs from the company in terms of robustness of the AI boom and PC recovery.</li>
<li>AMD's Chairman and CEO arrived in Taiwan and met with key supply chain partners -- Related stocks are surging; ASML beat expectations and raised its guidance.</li>
<li>Taiwan AI,  PC-linked, and AMD-linked shares are flying; Our recent Memory Monitor piece also highlights signs that the DRAM cycle has bottomed.</li>
</ul>


TSMC will report its 2Q23 results today in the afternoon Taiwan time. Look for key readthroughs from the company in terms of robustness of the AI boom and PC recovery.
AMD's Chairman and CEO arrived in Taiwan and met with key supply chain partners -- Related stocks are surging; ASML beat expectations and raised its guidance.
Taiwan AI,  PC-linked, and AMD-linked shares are flying; Our recent Memory Monitor piece also highlights signs that the DRAM cycle has bottomed.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Results Today; ASML Beats & Raises; AMD in Taiwan Sparking Rallies

Quantitative Researcher, MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Quantitative Researcher

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The S&amp;P500 E-Mini (ES) is approaching a DAILY resistance level at a point in time where it could perform a quick reversal - a SHORT trade opportunity.</li>
<li>Watch the 4483-4525 price area, today is the 3rd consecutive day up, the reversal could begin in that area, today or tomorrow.</li>
<li>The probability for a quick reversal, after 3 days up, in the 4483-4525 price area, is between 67% to 79%, depending on the resistance levels reached.</li>
</ul>


The S&amp;P500 E-Mini (ES) is approaching a DAILY resistance level at a point in time where it could perform a quick reversal - a SHORT trade opportunity.
Watch the 4483-4525 price area, today is the 3rd consecutive day up, the reversal could begin in that area, today or tomorrow.
The probability for a quick reversal, after 3 days up, in the 4483-4525 price area, is between 67% to 79%, depending on the resistance levels reached.


EQD | S&P500 E-Mini (ES) DAILY SHORT, Speculative High-Probability Trade

Independent Research, US Dominant Players, Investment Talk

Investment Talk

Independent Research, US Dominant Players

Investment Talk is for readers who wish to learn about companies that are potentially outside of their own circle of research, as well as those who are longing to become part of a community of like-minded investors and learn more about investment research. I would describe myself as a long-term investor who typically takes a 3Y to 5Y outlook, before reassessing once that period matures. I follow the adage that one should research, reach a conclusion, and then verify and continue to hold so long as the thesis remains intact. My own investing style is one that seeks to find dominant players within their respective market who have shown signs of monopoly or oligopolistic behaviour, unlikely to be disrupted, in tandem with discovering market disruptors who have a high likelihood of disrupting their respective market. Equally (and weighted accordingly) I seek to discover more nuanced, misunderstood, situations with a shorter time frame.

<ul><li>You might have heard the news that Nasdaq Inc announced1 a “special rebalance” for the Nasdaq 100; an index which tracks the largest technology stocks across a range of America’s sectors.</li><li>This reshuffle seeks to “address overconcentration in the index by redistributing the weights”; specifically the weightings of the Big 7 (Google, Microsoft, Apple, Nvidia, Amazon, Tesla, and Meta) who, together, account for ~54% of the index.</li><li>The rebalance will be based on the shares outstanding as of July 3rd, and changes are expected to be announced on July 14th; taking effect by July 24th2.</li></ul>

You might have heard the news that Nasdaq Inc announced1 a “special rebalance” for the Nasdaq 100; an index which tracks the largest technology stocks across a range of America’s sectors.This reshuffle seeks to “address overconcentration in the index by redistributing the weights”; specifically the weightings of the Big 7 (Google, Microsoft, Apple, Nvidia, Amazon, Tesla, and Meta) who, together, account for ~54% of the index.The rebalance will be based on the shares outstanding as of July 3rd, and changes are expected to be announced on July 14th; taking effect by July 24th2.

The Nasdaq's Special Rebalance Is Not So Special

United States

NVIDIA Corporation designs, develops, and markets three dimensional (3D) graphics processors and related software.  The Company's products provide interactive 3D graphics to the mainstream personal computer market.

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NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US)

The Weekly Market Monitor (29) - The Moment of Truth?

The US labor market remains uncomfortably tight, keeping bond yields high, providing massive pressure on overvalued Big Tech stocks to deliver on...

Jeroen Blokland

Why Temasek Is Steering Clear of China’s Generative AI Stock Frenzy for Now

Investment firm Temasek International Pte. Ltd. will keep a close eye on the long-term prospects of generative artificial intelligence (AI) in...

Caixin Global

Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Results Today; ASML Beats & Raises; AMD in Taiwan Sparking Rallies

TSMC will report its 2Q23 results today in the afternoon Taiwan time. Look for key readthroughs from the company in terms of robustness of the AI...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

EQD | S&P500 E-Mini (ES) DAILY SHORT, Speculative High-Probability Trade

Market Reversal Matrix (MRM)'s analysis of the S&P500 Futures (ES) DAILY resistance levels + probability of trend reversal for the next few days,...

Nico Rosti

The Nasdaq's Special Rebalance Is Not So Special

The rebalance will be based on the shares outstanding as of July 3rd, and changes are expected to be announced on July 14th; taking effect by July...

Investment Talk

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