Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Nintendo will release its Q2 financial results this Tuesday, and we forecast operating profit (OP) to come in at ¥54 billion</li>
<li>We expect Nintendo may revise its full year guidance downward to reflect softer demand for Switch hardware.</li>
<li>In the short term, however, a bearish stance may be prudent, especially if Q2 results disappoint and Nintendo refrains from disclosing a Switch 2 timeline</li>
</ul>


Nintendo will release its Q2 financial results this Tuesday, and we forecast operating profit (OP) to come in at ¥54 billion
We expect Nintendo may revise its full year guidance downward to reflect softer demand for Switch hardware.
In the short term, however, a bearish stance may be prudent, especially if Q2 results disappoint and Nintendo refrains from disclosing a Switch 2 timeline


Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

<ul><li>Acer's subsidiaries are driving growth, providing resilience and optimism in the face of shifts in the PC market.</li><li>China's smartphone industry is experiencing a boom in the second quarter of 2024, indicating strong potential for growth.</li><li>A potential US ban on Chinese vehicle technology could deepen the technology rift with lasting effects, impacting various industries.</li></ul>

Acer's subsidiaries are driving growth, providing resilience and optimism in the face of shifts in the PC market.China's smartphone industry is experiencing a boom in the second quarter of 2024, indicating strong potential for growth.A potential US ban on Chinese vehicle technology could deepen the technology rift with lasting effects, impacting various industries.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (09-Aug-2024): Acer subs drive growth, boost resilience amid PC changes.

<ul>
<li>Nintendo missed Q1 with Operating income coming in at Y54.5b (-71% YoY) vs our estimate Y116b and the street at Y94b</li>
<li>Switch 2 hardware and software units sold are now suffering from buyer fatigue as consumers await the next-gen console</li>
<li>The stock will likely fall quite sharply over the next week. Looking for good buying opportunity in anticipation of the next console cycle</li>
</ul>


Nintendo missed Q1 with Operating income coming in at Y54.5b (-71% YoY) vs our estimate Y116b and the street at Y94b
Switch 2 hardware and software units sold are now suffering from buyer fatigue as consumers await the next-gen console
The stock will likely fall quite sharply over the next week. Looking for good buying opportunity in anticipation of the next console cycle


<ul>
<li>Operating profit: FY3/24 OP was 529 billion yen (+4.9% YoY) vs analyst estimates of 537 billion (1.5% miss)</li>
<li>FY3/25 Operating guidance is 400 billion yen, significantly below analyst expectations of 480 billions (-16% miss).</li>
<li>The initial market reaction may be negative, we would use that as an opportunity to buy into the stock for the cyclical upturn in FY3/26.</li>
</ul>


Operating profit: FY3/24 OP was 529 billion yen (+4.9% YoY) vs analyst estimates of 537 billion (1.5% miss)
FY3/25 Operating guidance is 400 billion yen, significantly below analyst expectations of 480 billions (-16% miss).
The initial market reaction may be negative, we would use that as an opportunity to buy into the stock for the cyclical upturn in FY3/26.


Nintendo (7974) | Negative Surprise....Not Really

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>PCAOB officials concluded their Hong Kong visit last month and PCAOB is due to announce its annual judgment on whether it had adequate access to US listed China companies.</li>
<li>The Hong Kong visit was on the back of the 26th Aug 2022 announcement by PCAOB and CSRC that they had entered into an agreement with US authorities for access.</li>
<li>In this note, we'll talk about the latest developments, possible outcomes and implications.</li>
</ul>


PCAOB officials concluded their Hong Kong visit last month and PCAOB is due to announce its annual judgment on whether it had adequate access to US listed China companies.
The Hong Kong visit was on the back of the 26th Aug 2022 announcement by PCAOB and CSRC that they had entered into an agreement with US authorities for access.
In this note, we'll talk about the latest developments, possible outcomes and implications.


China ADRs Delisting - Friday Could Be Judgment Day for over US$800bn Mcap of Stocks

Japan

Nintendo Co., Ltd. globally develops, manufactures and sells home-use video game hardware and software in home entertainment business.  The company also produces home-game products including cards.

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Nintendo (7974 JP)

Nintendo (7974) | Q2 Earnings Preview

Nintendo's Q2 financial results expected to show ¥54 billion operating profit, but full year guidance may be revised down due to softer Switch...

Mark Chadwick

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (09-Aug-2024): Acer subs drive growth, boost resilience amid PC changes.

Acer's subsidiaries grow amid PC market changes, China's smartphone market booms, potential US ban on Chinese vehicle tech, Nintendo and Sony face...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Nintendo (7974) | Game Over for Switch

Nintendo's Q1 operating income missed estimates, with Switch sales slowing due to buyer fatigue. Stock expected to drop, but potential buying...

Mark Chadwick

Nintendo (7974) | Negative Surprise....Not Really

Nintendo to Report Q1 (02 Aug); Shares Up 4% Since FY3/24 Results First Quarter - Operating income estimate Y116b vs street Y94b - Net sales...

Mark Chadwick

China ADRs Delisting - Friday Could Be Judgment Day for over US$800bn Mcap of Stocks

PCAOB officials concluded their Hong Kong visit last month and PCAOB is due to announce its annual judgment on whether it had adequate access to US...

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Nintendo (7974) | Q2 Earnings Preview

​Nintendo's Q2 financial results expected to show ¥54 billion operating profit, but full year guidance may be revised down due to softer Switch...

Mark Chadwick

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (09-Aug-2024): Acer subs drive growth, boost resilience amid PC changes.

Acer's subsidiaries grow amid PC market changes, China's smartphone market booms, potential US ban on Chinese vehicle tech, Nintendo and Sony face...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Nintendo (7974) | Game Over for Switch

​Nintendo's Q1 operating income missed estimates, with Switch sales slowing due to buyer fatigue. Stock expected to drop, but potential buying...

Mark Chadwick

Nintendo (7974) | Negative Surprise....Not Really

Nintendo to Report Q1 (02 Aug); Shares Up 4% Since FY3/24 Results First Quarter - Operating income estimate Y116b vs street Y94b - Net sales...

Mark Chadwick

China ADRs Delisting - Friday Could Be Judgment Day for over US$800bn Mcap of Stocks

PCAOB officials concluded their Hong Kong visit last month and PCAOB is due to announce its annual judgment on whether it had adequate access to US...

Sumeet Singh

Nintendo's Q2 financial results expected to show ¥54 billion operating profit, but full year guidance may be revised down due to softer Switch...

Nintendo's Q1 operating income missed estimates, with Switch sales slowing due to buyer fatigue. Stock expected to drop, but potential buying...