Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The initial AUM is 510 billion KRW, a solid start, while TIGER pulled in 200 billion KRW, but KODEX barely exceeded 100 billion—somewhat disappointing.</li>
<li>There's strong potential for more inflows, especially from pension funds. The KRX 300 saw passive inflows rise 30% in two months and 130% in eight months.</li>
<li>We should lower expectations for December's ad-hoc changes, as the 200 billion KRW fund aims to limit impacts by channeling passive capital into excluded assets.</li>
</ul>


The initial AUM is 510 billion KRW, a solid start, while TIGER pulled in 200 billion KRW, but KODEX barely exceeded 100 billion—somewhat disappointing.
There's strong potential for more inflows, especially from pension funds. The KRX 300 saw passive inflows rise 30% in two months and 130% in eight months.
We should lower expectations for December's ad-hoc changes, as the 200 billion KRW fund aims to limit impacts by channeling passive capital into excluded assets.


KRX Official: Value-Up ETFs Launch Nov 4 with ₩510B AUM, but Expect a KRX 300-Like Flow Surge

<ul>
<li>KRX 300 hit 1 trillion won AUM fast, but with local pensions more aggressive, the value-up's early AUM could top 1 trillion, hitting up to 3 trillion in six months.</li>
<li>Hanjin KAL, S1 Corp, Hyundai Elevator, Nice Info, and Huchems are set for strong price action. The financial sector also stands out, seeing the biggest impact compared to other sectors.</li>
<li>Small caps under 1 trillion won see little passive impact, but solid plays exist under 3 trillion, so splitting large and small caps won't limit target options much.</li>
</ul>


KRX 300 hit 1 trillion won AUM fast, but with local pensions more aggressive, the value-up's early AUM could top 1 trillion, hitting up to 3 trillion in six months.
Hanjin KAL, S1 Corp, Hyundai Elevator, Nice Info, and Huchems are set for strong price action. The financial sector also stands out, seeing the biggest impact compared to other sectors.
Small caps under 1 trillion won see little passive impact, but solid plays exist under 3 trillion, so splitting large and small caps won't limit target options much.


Crunching Passive Impact Numbers for KRX Value-Up Index Names, Based on KRX's Free-Float Rate Data

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Dec 13th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD3.7bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in SEM, KT&amp;G, Samsung C&amp;T.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Dec 13th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD3.7bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in SEM, KT&amp;G, Samsung C&amp;T.


KRX Short Interest Weekly (Dec 13th):SEM, KT&G, Samsung C&T

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Dec 6th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD3.8bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Lg Energy Solution, Samsung Electronics, KB Financial.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Dec 6th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD3.8bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Lg Energy Solution, Samsung Electronics, KB Financial.


KRX Short Interest Weekly (Dec 6th): Lg Energy Solution, Samsung Electronics, KB Financial

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>The KRX announced the 100 constituents of the much-awaited Korea Value-Up Index on 24 September. There were hits and misses but broad consensus was that the index is a miss.</li>
<li>Following market feedback, the KRX could conduct a special rebalance of the index in December. But this could be after the launch of ETFs tracking the index.</li>
<li>With a big overlap and similar characteristics as the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI 200 Index</a>, there could be limited assets benchmarked to the Korea Value-Up Index in the short-term.</li>
</ul>


The KRX announced the 100 constituents of the much-awaited Korea Value-Up Index on 24 September. There were hits and misses but broad consensus was that the index is a miss.
Following market feedback, the KRX could conduct a special rebalance of the index in December. But this could be after the launch of ETFs tracking the index.
With a big overlap and similar characteristics as the KOSPI 200 Index, there could be limited assets benchmarked to the Korea Value-Up Index in the short-term.


Korea Value-Up Index: Estimated Passive Flows as ETF Launches Coming

South Korea

S1 Corporation provides security systems services.  The Company installs, maintains, and sells a variety of security systems used in households, businesses, financial institutions, and automobiles.  S1 also provides guarding services, systems integration services, structural safety diagnosis services.

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S 1 Corporation (012750 KS)

KRX Official: Value-Up ETFs Launch Nov 4 with ₩510B AUM, but Expect a KRX 300-Like Flow Surge

KRX has officially announced the listing of Value-Up ETFs on November 4, kicking off with a launch AUM of ₩510B. We can also expect a passive...

Sanghyun Park

Crunching Passive Impact Numbers for KRX Value-Up Index Names, Based on KRX's Free-Float Rate Data

This post crunches the passive impact numbers for the KRX Value-up Index constituents, based on KRX's free-float rate data.

Sanghyun Park

KRX Short Interest Weekly (Dec 13th):SEM, KT&G, Samsung C&T

We analyzed KRX short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in SEM, KT&G, Samsung C&T.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

KRX Short Interest Weekly (Dec 6th): Lg Energy Solution, Samsung Electronics, KB Financial

We analyzed KRX short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Lg Energy Solution, Samsung Electronics, KB...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Korea Value-Up Index: Estimated Passive Flows as ETF Launches Coming

The Korea Value-Up Index is very similar to the KOSPI200 Index. That could mean not a lot of passive assets tracking the index. Stocks with the...

Brian Freitas

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