ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

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<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/astra-international-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46:1" rel="noopener">Astra International</a> is well-positioned to fend off the challenge of incoming EV players to Indonesia, a country far more suited to Hybrid EVs, with little charging infrastructure.</li>
<li>Despite new entrants, the company has maintained its market share at 57% YTD, with Chinese EV makers fighting amongst themselves and other Japanese ICE brands losing some share. </li>
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<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/astra-international-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46:1" rel="noopener">Astra</a> continues to develop new HEV products, with a line up of 10 BEVs due by 2028 from Toyota but investments in the ecosystem are already underway. Valuations remain attractive.</li>
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Astra International is well-positioned to fend off the challenge of incoming EV players to Indonesia, a country far more suited to Hybrid EVs, with little charging infrastructure.
Despite new entrants, the company has maintained its market share at 57% YTD, with Chinese EV makers fighting amongst themselves and other Japanese ICE brands losing some share. 

Astra continues to develop new HEV products, with a line up of 10 BEVs due by 2028 from Toyota but investments in the ecosystem are already underway. Valuations remain attractive.


Astra International (ASII IJ) - Digging in Against the BEV Threat

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), BRI Danareksa Research

BRI Danareksa Research

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

As a one-stop financial solution with the vision to be the most valuable securities house, BRI Danareksa Sekuritas (BRIDS) has maintained an excellent track record and extensive experience in the capital market as an underwriter, broker, and financial advisor for individual, institutional, foreign and domestic, private and government clients. Established in 1992, PT Danareksa Sekuritas is a securities company that performs activities as a securities broker, underwriter, or arranger and financial advisor.

<ul><li>ASII currently trades at a PBV of 1x vs. 2.8x in FY16, despite a similar ROE level of 16% and improved financial and infra segments.</li><li>ASII’s share price is 13%-26% below peers’ valuation of its businesses, reflecting underappreciation of financial and auto parts.</li><li>We reiterate our BUY rating with a higher TP of Rp5,700, as we believe its resilient 4W market share deserves a higher premium.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

ASII currently trades at a PBV of 1x vs. 2.8x in FY16, despite a similar ROE level of 16% and improved financial and infra segments.ASII’s share price is 13%-26% below peers’ valuation of its businesses, reflecting underappreciation of financial and auto parts.We reiterate our BUY rating with a higher TP of Rp5,700, as we believe its resilient 4W market share deserves a higher premium.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Astra International - Valuation Discount Implies Auto Business Is Still Underappreciated

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), MNC Sekuritas

MNC Sekuritas

MNC Sekuritas, the first wholly-owned subsidiary established by the Group back in 1989, provides a complete range of services, from equity, fixed income, investment banking to providing research to optimize clients’ investments. Thus far, the company has more than 140 points of sales with over 100,000 clients. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>ASII booked IDR160.0tn revenue in 1H24, decreasing by -1.5% YoY and representing 49.5%/51.7% of the MNCS/Consensus estimates for FY24E.</li><li>The automotive segment recorded IDR65.0tn sales, declining by -1.1% YoY.</li><li>Aligned with the downtrend in national car sales to 408k units (-19% YoY) in 1H24, ASII saw a -17% YoY slowdown in 4W sales to 232 units. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

ASII booked IDR160.0tn revenue in 1H24, decreasing by -1.5% YoY and representing 49.5%/51.7% of the MNCS/Consensus estimates for FY24E.The automotive segment recorded IDR65.0tn sales, declining by -1.1% YoY.Aligned with the downtrend in national car sales to 408k units (-19% YoY) in 1H24, ASII saw a -17% YoY slowdown in 4W sales to 232 units. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

ASII IJ - MNC Sekuritas Equity Report August 16, 2024

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<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/astra-international-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46:1" rel="noopener">Astra International (ASII IJ)</a> saw a slight decline in its core earnings in 1H2024, which was an admirable performance given the weakness in the auto market and commodities divisions.</li>
<li>Offsetting the weakness in autos, Astra saw strong performances from its financing businesses for 4W, 2W, heavy equipment, and consumer finance, which booked +8% YoY growth in 1H2024. </li>
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<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/astra-international-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46:1" rel="noopener">Astra</a> remains a key proxy for the overall Indonesian economy, with the diversity of its earnings exposure underpinning its resilience. Valuations are attractive, supported by a 9% FY2024E dividend yield. </li>
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Astra International (ASII IJ) saw a slight decline in its core earnings in 1H2024, which was an admirable performance given the weakness in the auto market and commodities divisions.
Offsetting the weakness in autos, Astra saw strong performances from its financing businesses for 4W, 2W, heavy equipment, and consumer finance, which booked +8% YoY growth in 1H2024. 

Astra remains a key proxy for the overall Indonesian economy, with the diversity of its earnings exposure underpinning its resilience. Valuations are attractive, supported by a 9% FY2024E dividend yield. 


Astra International (ASII IJ) - Strength in Diversity

<ul><li>ASII 1H24/2Q24 NP fell -9%/-4% yoy, but still accounted for 53%/53% of our and consensus estimate, higher than historical seasonality.</li><li>ASII Jul24 sales improved +7% mom, implying 7M24 growth of -15% yoy (vs 6M24 -17% yoy); mgmt. aims to introduce new 4W models.</li><li>We raise our FY24/25F auto and UNTR EBIT by 6%-7%/2%-6%. Reiterate our BUY rating with 4% higher TP of Rp 5,300.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

ASII 1H24/2Q24 NP fell -9%/-4% yoy, but still accounted for 53%/53% of our and consensus estimate, higher than historical seasonality.ASII Jul24 sales improved +7% mom, implying 7M24 growth of -15% yoy (vs 6M24 -17% yoy); mgmt. aims to introduce new 4W models.We raise our FY24/25F auto and UNTR EBIT by 6%-7%/2%-6%. Reiterate our BUY rating with 4% higher TP of Rp 5,300.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Astra International - Upgrading Est. And TP on Better 4W Market Share

Indonesia

PT Astra International Tbk assembles and distributes automobiles, motorcycles, and their related spare parts.  Through its subsidiaries, the Company also operates in the mining, development of plantations, financial and information technology.

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Astra International (ASII IJ)