Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 142 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 113.9% as of Sep 16th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -4.6ppt weeok on week, led by financials,  communication services, health care, and offset by consumer staples, consumer discretionary, utilities.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Angang, CIMC, Zoomlion, Huatai securities, Tianqi Lithium, China Telecom.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 142 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 113.9% as of Sep 16th.
The average A-H premium changed by -4.6ppt weeok on week, led by financials,  communication services, health care, and offset by consumer staples, consumer discretionary, utilities.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Angang, CIMC, Zoomlion, Huatai securities, Tianqi Lithium, China Telecom.


A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 16th): Angang, CIMC, Zoomlion, Huatai, Tianqi Lithium

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 116.6% as of Sep 2nd.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 4.9ppt, led by Communication Services, Financials, Health Care and offset by Energy, Consumer Staples.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Remegen, Huaxin, Huatai, Tianqi Lithium, Shandong Gold.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 116.6% as of Sep 2nd.
The average A-H premium changed by 4.9ppt, led by Communication Services, Financials, Health Care and offset by Energy, Consumer Staples.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Remegen, Huaxin, Huatai, Tianqi Lithium, Shandong Gold.


A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 2nd): Remegen, Huaxin, Huatai, Tianqi Lithium

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Over 80% of the way through the review period for the December rebalance, we see 7 stocks in inclusion/exclusion zone. However, there can be a maximum of 5 changes.</li>
<li>We estimate a one-way turnover of 3.9% at the December rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 2.85bn.</li>
<li>The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-stock-exchange-sse-50-a-share-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31073:1" rel="noopener">SSE50 Index (SSE50 INDEX)</a> by a wide margin over the last few months.</li>
</ul>


Over 80% of the way through the review period for the December rebalance, we see 7 stocks in inclusion/exclusion zone. However, there can be a maximum of 5 changes.
We estimate a one-way turnover of 3.9% at the December rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 2.85bn.
The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes and the SSE50 Index (SSE50 INDEX) by a wide margin over the last few months.


SSE50 Index Rebalance Preview: Sector Rotation To Continue

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/magic-empire-global" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36219:1" rel="noopener">Magic Empire Global (MEGL US)</a> shares are currently up 45x since its listing at US$4.00 per share on 5 August. Its market cap currently stands at US$3.6 billion.</li>
<li>Just like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amtd-digital" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36214:1" rel="noopener">AMTD Digital (HKD US)</a>, it is hard to pinpoint the real reason for MEGL’s share price surge. MEGL’s financials are uninspiring and cannot justify the share price ramp.</li>
<li>MEGL has no unique competitive advantage which could justify it's current large premium multiple compared to larger and better-established peers.    </li>
</ul>



Magic Empire Global (MEGL US) shares are currently up 45x since its listing at US$4.00 per share on 5 August. Its market cap currently stands at US$3.6 billion.
Just like AMTD Digital (HKD US), it is hard to pinpoint the real reason for MEGL’s share price surge. MEGL’s financials are uninspiring and cannot justify the share price ramp.
MEGL has no unique competitive advantage which could justify it's current large premium multiple compared to larger and better-established peers.    


Magic Empire Global: More Trick than Treat

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A/H premium on 140 stocks over the last week. </li>
<li>Week on week A-H premium decline was mainly due to the information technology, utilities and health care sector and offset by the increase of premium in consumer discretionary.</li>
<li>We highlight A-H premium changes in Shandong Xinhua, Shenhua, Huaxin Cement, Ganfeng Lithium, Tsingtao Brewery, and Baiyunshan.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A/H premium on 140 stocks over the last week. 
Week on week A-H premium decline was mainly due to the information technology, utilities and health care sector and offset by the increase of premium in consumer discretionary.
We highlight A-H premium changes in Shandong Xinhua, Shenhua, Huaxin Cement, Ganfeng Lithium, Tsingtao Brewery, and Baiyunshan.


A-H Premium Weekly: Shandong Xinhua, Shenhua, Ganfeng Lithium

China

Huatai Securities Co., Ltd. provides financial company. The Company provides securities brokerage services, research consulting services, investment banking and direct investment services, fixed-income services and asset management services.

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Huatai Securities Co Ltd (H) (6886 HK)

A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 16th): Angang, CIMC, Zoomlion, Huatai, Tianqi Lithium

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Angang, CIMC, Zoomlion, Huatai securities, Tianqi Lithium,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 2nd): Remegen, Huaxin, Huatai, Tianqi Lithium

We analyzed A-H premium last week and highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Remegen, Huaxin, Huatai, Tianqi Lithium, Shandong Gold.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

SSE50 Index Rebalance Preview: Sector Rotation To Continue

We forecast 5 changes for the SSE50 Index in December. There are a few names that are close to add/delete zone and price/volume changes can lead to...

Brian Freitas

Magic Empire Global: More Trick than Treat

It is hard to pinpoint the real reason for MEGL’s share price surge. While it is difficult to predict when the share price will reflect...

Arun George

A-H Premium Weekly: Shandong Xinhua, Shenhua, Ganfeng Lithium

We highlight weekly A-H premium changes in Shandong Xinhua, Shenhua, Huaxin Cement, Ganfeng Lithium, Tsingtao Brewery, and Baiyunshan.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

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