IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>At the last close prices, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/total-access-communication" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:948:1" rel="noopener">Total Access Communication (DTAC TB)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/true-corp-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8:1" rel="noopener">True Corp Pcl (TRUE TB)</a>’s gross spread to the dividend-adjusted VTO price is 5.6% and 11.1%, respectively.  </li>
<li>The merger has received DTAC and True shareholder approvals. The merger hinges on regulatory approval.</li>
<li>The LONG True and SHORT DTAC trade is attractive, with the current spread of 5.5% trading above the average spread since the merger announcement of 3.4% (ex. transaction costs).</li>
</ul>


At the last close prices, Total Access Communication (DTAC TB) and True Corp Pcl (TRUE TB)’s gross spread to the dividend-adjusted VTO price is 5.6% and 11.1%, respectively.  
The merger has received DTAC and True shareholder approvals. The merger hinges on regulatory approval.
The LONG True and SHORT DTAC trade is attractive, with the current spread of 5.5% trading above the average spread since the merger announcement of 3.4% (ex. transaction costs).


<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/axiata-group-berhad" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:944:1" rel="noopener">Axiata Group (AXIATA MK)</a> EGM to approve the ordinary resolution relating to the proposed acquisition of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-net-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1050:1" rel="noopener">Link Net (LINK IJ)</a> shares and the proposed MTO is on 26 May. </li>
<li>The proposed acquisition is targeted to be complete by 2Q and the subsequent MTO at IDR4,800 per share will complete by 3Q.</li>
<li>At the last close, the gross and annualised spread to the MTO price for a 3Q completion is 7.1% and 11.7%, respectively.</li>
</ul>


The Axiata Group (AXIATA MK) EGM to approve the ordinary resolution relating to the proposed acquisition of Link Net (LINK IJ) shares and the proposed MTO is on 26 May. 
The proposed acquisition is targeted to be complete by 2Q and the subsequent MTO at IDR4,800 per share will complete by 3Q.
At the last close, the gross and annualised spread to the MTO price for a 3Q completion is 7.1% and 11.7%, respectively.


Axiata’s EGM in Relation to the Link Net MTO Set for 26 May

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>Last week <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/first-pacific-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:173:1" rel="noopener">First Pacific Co (142 HK)</a></strong> announced a 33% increase in recurring profit to a record high.</li>
<li>The full-year distribution up to 19.0 HK cents/share backs out a yield of 6.3%.</li>
<li>The current discount to NAV of 56% compares with a 12-month average of 59%, and a long-term average of 50%.</li>
</ul>


Last week First Pacific Co (142 HK) announced a 33% increase in recurring profit to a record high.
The full-year distribution up to 19.0 HK cents/share backs out a yield of 6.3%.
The current discount to NAV of 56% compares with a 12-month average of 59%, and a long-term average of 50%.


First Pac (142 HK): Perennially Inexpensive

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-net-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1050:1" rel="noopener">Link Net (LINK IJ)</a>’s two largest shareholders (66.03% of the outstanding shares) have signed a SPA to sell their stakes to Axiata Investments and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xl-axiata-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15028:1" rel="noopener">XL Axiata (EXCL IJ)</a> at IDR4,800.</li>
<li>Post-Completion, Axiata Investments and XL Axiata will then be required to launch a mandatory tender offer to acquire the remaining 33.97% Link Net shares at IDR4,800 per share</li>
<li>The tender offer is expected to be completed in 3Q2022. At the last close price of IDR4,430, the shares are trading at an 8.4% gross spread to the offer.</li>
</ul>



Link Net (LINK IJ)’s two largest shareholders (66.03% of the outstanding shares) have signed a SPA to sell their stakes to Axiata Investments and XL Axiata (EXCL IJ) at IDR4,800.
Post-Completion, Axiata Investments and XL Axiata will then be required to launch a mandatory tender offer to acquire the remaining 33.97% Link Net shares at IDR4,800 per share
The tender offer is expected to be completed in 3Q2022. At the last close price of IDR4,430, the shares are trading at an 8.4% gross spread to the offer.


Link Net’s MTO from Axiata Investments and XL Axiata

<div>
<p>This week in StubWorld ...</p>
</div>
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<div class="content-highlight">
<p>Decent 2021 interims and continual buybacks have not curbed <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/first-pacific-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:173:1" rel="noopener">First Pacific Co (142 HK)</a>'s recent underperformance, with the market assigning US$300mn <em>less</em> for the stub ops than before.</p>
</div>
</div>
<div>
<p>Preceding my comments on First Pac are the weekly setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.</p>
</div>
<div>
<p>These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity threshold of US$1mn on a 90-day moving average, and a % market capitalisation threshold - the $ value of the holding/opco held, over the parent’s market capitalisation, expressed in percent - of at least 20%.</p>
</div>


This week in StubWorld ...



Decent 2021 interims and continual buybacks have not curbed First Pacific Co (142 HK)'s recent underperformance, with the market assigning US$300mn less for the stub ops than before.



Preceding my comments on First Pac are the weekly setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.


These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity threshold of US$1mn on a 90-day moving average, and a % market capitalisation threshold - the $ value of the holding/opco held, over the parent’s market capitalisation, expressed in percent - of at least 20%.


StubWorld: First Pac (142 HK)'s Correction After Year-Long Contraction

Philippines

PLDT Inc. is a telecommunications and digital services provider. The company offers fixed line, wireless, and fiber optic communication technology services in The Philippines.

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PLDT (TEL PM)

DTAC/True Merger VTO Risk/Reward

The DTAC/True merger hinges on regulatory approval. The LONG True and SHORT DTAC trade is attractive, with the current spread to the div-adjusted...

Arun George

Axiata’s EGM in Relation to the Link Net MTO Set for 26 May

The proposed MTO at IDR4,800 per share will complete by 3Q. At the last close, the annualised spread to the MTO price for a 3Q completion is 11.7%.

Arun George

First Pac (142 HK): Perennially Inexpensive

First Pac is doing all the right things: buying back shares, a steady payout ratio, excellent transparency, and accessible management. But shares...

David Blennerhassett

Link Net’s MTO from Axiata Investments and XL Axiata

The two largest shareholders have agreed to sell their stakes to Axiata Investments and XL Axiata at IDR4,800. Post completion, the two buyers will...

Arun George

StubWorld: First Pac (142 HK)'s Correction After Year-Long Contraction

in the short term, absent a major catalyst, I'd like to see the share price settle a bit. Longer-term, this appears a decent entry point, with a...

David Blennerhassett

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